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Likelier
Government report US Bureau of Labor Statistics

Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries Summary, 2024

Cited in 2 Likelier entries (2 risks, 0 decisions).

Used in 2 entries

For each citing entry, the verbatim excerpt and Likelier's calculation notes (how the source's number was converted to the lifetime-probability framing) are shown below. Click through to read the full claim ledger.

  1. Statistic
    All-industry US fatal work injury rate was 3.3 per 100,000 full-time-equivalent workers in 2024, down from 3.5 in 2023
    “"The fatal work injury rate was 3.3 fatalities per 100,000 full-time equivalent (FTE) workers in 2024, a decrease from a rate of 3.5 in 2023."”
    Calculation notes
    This is the all-industry CFOI topline rate, used in the body prose as the comparison baseline against the EMS-specific headline rate of 5.5 per 100,000 (2003-2020 cohort study above) — roughly double the all-worker average. It is the same BLS CFOI program as the EMS cohort study cited above, reporting the all-industry topline rather than the EMS occupational subset; it is an independent annual release, not a re-derivation of the EMS-specific figures.
    

    Source date: 2026-02-19 · Accessed: 2026-07-03

  2. Statistic
    5,070 fatal work injuries in 2024; fatal work injury rate of 3.3 per 100,000 FTE workers, down from 3.5 in 2023
    “"There were 5,070 fatal work injuries recorded in the United States in 2024, down 4.0 percent from the revised count of 5,283 fatal work injuries in 2023. The fatal work injury rate was 3.3 fatalities per 100,000 full-time equivalent (FTE) workers in 2024, a decrease from a rate of 3.5 in 2023."”
    Calculation notes
    The BLS CFOI 2024 headline figures anchor both the native ratio and the normalized lifetime estimate. Annual rate: 5,070 / ~155 million employed ≈ 3.27 per 100,000 (BLS reports 3.3 per 100,000 FTE, which adjusts for part-time workers). Career-lifetime conversion: 1 − (1 − 3.3e-5)^44 ≈ 0.00145, using a 44-year working career from age 18 to 62. Transportation incidents account for 38.2% of all fatal work injuries (1,937 deaths), making them the leading event type.
    

    Source date: 2026-02-19 · Accessed: 2026-04-18

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