Fatality Facts 2022: Teenagers
Cited in 2 Likelier entries (2 risks, 0 decisions).
Used in 2 entries
For each citing entry, the verbatim excerpt and Likelier's calculation notes (how the source's number was converted to the lifetime-probability framing) are shown below. Click through to read the full claim ledger.
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- Statistic
Per mile driven, the fatal crash rate for drivers 16-19 is just over 3 times the rate for drivers 20 and older (2022 data)
“"The fatal crash rate per miles driven for 16-19 year-olds is just over 3 times the rate for drivers ages 20 and over."”
Calculation notes
Basis for the teen-driver multiplier. The 3× figure is a fatal-crash involvement rate per mile driven; police-reported all-severity crash rates for 16-19-year-olds show a similar or larger per-mile elevation, so 3× is used as a conservative injury-risk proxy and labeled with its fatal-crash basis.
Independence note: IIHS computes rates from FARS fatality counts and FHWA/NHTSA travel survey mileage, independent of the CRSS injury estimates.
Source date: 2024-05-01 · Accessed: 2026-07-26
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- Statistic
Per mile driven, the fatal crash rate for drivers 16-19 is just over 3 times the rate for drivers 20 and older
“"The fatal crash rate per miles driven for 16-19 year-olds is just over 3 times the rate for drivers ages 20 and over."”
Calculation notes
Basis for the teen-driver multiplier: a child passenger's crash exposure scales with the per-mile crash rate of whoever is driving. Fatal-crash basis used as a conservative proxy for all-severity crash involvement.
Independence note: IIHS rates derive from FARS counts and federal mileage surveys, independent of the CRSS injury estimates and the insurance-claims Durbin sample.
Source date: 2024-05-01 · Accessed: 2026-07-26
