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Penyesalan bertindak vs. tidak bertindak

Diagnosis dan pengobatan dini vs penyangkalan dan penghindaran

Jika Anda bertindak

Mendiagnosis sejak dini

20%

Jika Anda tidak bertindak

Menghindari/menyangkal masalah kesehatan

25%

Persentase orang yang kemudian menyesali setiap pilihan. Diagram batang dan catatan lengkap ditampilkan di bawah.


Kesehatan

Terakhir ditinjau 2026-04-26

Kualitas bukti 4.5/5

Skor tinjauan delapan dimensi terhadap rubrik kualitas . Setiap dimensi dinilai 1–5.

D1 Verifikasi sumber
5/5
D2 Otoritas & independensi sumber
5/5
D3 Akurasi tingkat penyesalan
4/5
D4 Keterbandingan sumber
3/5
D5 Pola Gilovich
4/5
D6 Kualitas prosa
5/5
D7 Kelengkapan peringatan
5/5
D8 Kualitas sampel
5/5
Rata-rata 4.5/5
Bukti langsung
A medical chart and stethoscope beside an unopened envelope on a table.

Penyesalan atas tindakan

Mendiagnosis sejak dini

20%

20% menyesali keputusan perawatan dini

Pasien kanker prostat terlokalisasi, 14 studi

retrospektif, tindak lanjut bervariasi (median ~5 tahun)

Penyesalan atas kelambanan

Menghindari/menyangkal masalah kesehatan

25%

~25,2% menyesali ketidakaktifan secara khusus (skrining tertunda, tidak mencari info)

Penyintas kanker payudara muda, AS

retrospektif, pasca-perawatan

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

inaction dominates — Tidak bertindak mendominasi — sebagian besar menyesali karena tidak bertindak.

Keputusan terkait

Keputusan yang serupa secara semantik — area yang sama, kompromi yang berbeda.

Kesehatan

Perawatan kecanduan vs. menghindari

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 1.5× lebih tinggi

Kesehatan

Kejar umur panjang vs terima penuaan

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 1.5× lebih tinggi

Kesehatan

Hanya alternatif vs. kanker konvensional

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 2.6× lebih tinggi

Kesehatan

Kemo agresif vs. perawatan paliatif awal

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 1.3× lebih tinggi

Kesehatan

Berhenti merokok

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 90.0× lebih tinggi

Kesehatan

Waktu arahan awal

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 10.0× lebih tinggi

Kesehatan

Mencari pengobatan vs. menyembunyikan kecanduan

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 4.3× lebih tinggi

Kesehatan

Kebiasaan olahraga

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 13.4× lebih tinggi

Among 449 young breast cancer survivors, 25.2% regretted inactions specifically — not seeking information sooner, not getting second opinions, not being more proactive about their own care (Friedman et al. 2011). That figure is the inaction-specific rate: 42.5% of the sample expressed any regret, and of those, 59.2% pointed to inactions (42.5% × 59.2% = 25.2%). Brewer et al.’s meta-analysis of 81 studies (N = 45,618) across vaccination, screening, and other health domains confirmed the direction: anticipated inaction regret correlated with actual health behavior at r = 0.29 and with intentions at r = 0.52.

On the action side, a meta-analysis of 14 studies covering 17,883 localized prostate cancer patients found that 20% reported significant decision regret about their treatment choice, measured with the validated Decision Regret Scale (Fanshawe et al. 2023). The regret clusters around side effects — sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, bowel problems — that follow aggressive treatment of cancers that may never have become life-threatening. Active surveillance patients reported the lowest regret (13%), while surgery and radiotherapy patients hovered near 18–19%. A separate 15-year follow-up of 934 men in the population-based Prostate Cancer Outcomes Study put the overall figure at 14.6% (Hoffman et al. 2017). This is the best-quantified cost of early diagnosis: roughly one in five to one in seven patients wish, in retrospect, they had chosen differently.

The gap is narrower than it first appears. Prostate cancer screening is the single most contested domain in the overdiagnosis debate — roughly 60% of PSA-detected cancers may be overdiagnosed — so the 20% action-regret figure is arguably an upper bound for early diagnosis in general. The corrected inaction-specific rate (25.2%, not the previously stated 42.5%) comes from a sample of young women with an aggressive cancer subtype, where the consequences of delay are stark and visible. The revised delta (-0.052) indicates a slight tilt toward inaction regret rather than a dramatic 2:1 ratio. For genuinely indolent conditions detected only by screening, the calculus may reverse entirely. The directional finding — that health inaction generates more long-term regret than health action — is supported across the literature, but the magnitude depends heavily on what you are being screened for and how likely the disease is to matter.

Sumber: tindakan

Buku besar klaim

Setiap angka di bawah ini adalah apa yang dilaporkan masing-masing sumber, dengan kutipan kata demi kata yang kami andalkan dan bagaimana kami sampai pada angka kami. Klik tautan mana saja untuk memverifikasi langsung.

3/3 sumber diverifikasi secara independen kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip

  1. [1] European Urology Open Science — Decision Regret in Patients with Localised Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Terverifikasi
    Decision Regret in Patients with Localised Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
    Statistik
    Pooled 20% (95% CI 16–23%) of patients reported significant decision regret across 14 studies
    Kutipan
    “"Significant decision regret was present in a pooled 20% (95% confidence interval 16–23) of patients across 14 studies and 17,883 patients. Regret was lower in active surveillance (13%), with little difference between radiotherapy (19%) and prostatectomy (18%)." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2023-03-01
    Diakses
    2026-04-26
    Verifikasi
    Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
    Perhitungan
    Fanshawe et al. 2023 meta-analysis of 14 studies using the Decision Regret Scale. The 20% pooled estimate captures regret from overdiagnosis, overtreatment, and side effects (sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence) following early detection via PSA screening. Used as proxy for the broader cost of early diagnosis and aggressive treatment.
  2. [2] Journal of Clinical Oncology — Treatment Decision Regret Among Long-Term Survivors of Localized Prostate Cancer: Results From the Prostate Cancer Outcomes Study Terverifikasi
    Treatment Decision Regret Among Long-Term Survivors of Localized Prostate Cancer: Results From the Prostate Cancer Outcomes Study
    Statistik
    14.6% expressed treatment decision regret at 15 years
    Kutipan
    “"Overall, 14.6% expressed treatment decision regret: 8.2% of those whose disease was managed conservatively, 15.0% of those who received surgery, and 16.6% of those who underwent radiotherapy." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2017-07-12
    Diakses
    2026-04-26
    Verifikasi
    Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
    Perhitungan
    Hoffman et al. 2017. Prostate Cancer Outcomes Study, population-based cohort of 934 men followed for 15 years. The 14.6% overall figure is lower than the meta-analytic pooled 20%, likely because the longer follow-up selects survivors who have had time to rationalize their decision.
  3. [3] Reviews in Urology / Andriole et al. — Overdiagnosis of Prostate Cancer Terverifikasi
    Overdiagnosis of Prostate Cancer
    Statistik
    Using ERSPC (European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer) data, Welch and Black estimated that 60% of PSA screen-detected prostate cancers were overdiagnosed
    Kutipan
    “"Using ERSPC data, Welch and Black estimated that 60% of such screen-detected cancers were overdiagnosed." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2012-09-01
    Diakses
    2026-07-03
    Verifikasi
    Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
    Perhitungan
    Andriole GL et al., Reviews in Urology 2012;14(3-4) (PMC3540879), reviewing Welch HG & Black WC, "Overdiagnosis in Cancer," J Natl Cancer Inst 2010;102(9):605-613. The 60% figure is the upper end of published PSA-detected prostate cancer overdiagnosis estimates (other estimates in the literature range from ~20% to 50%); cited here as context for why the 20% action-side decision-regret figure (Fanshawe et al. 2023) is plausibly an upper bound rather than an underestimate for early diagnosis in general. Not used in regret_rate arithmetic.

Sumber: tidak bertindak

Buku besar klaim

Setiap angka di bawah ini adalah apa yang dilaporkan masing-masing sumber, dengan kutipan kata demi kata yang kami andalkan dan bagaimana kami sampai pada angka kami. Klik tautan mana saja untuk memverifikasi langsung.

  1. [1] Psycho-Oncology / PMC — Post-Treatment Regret Among Young Breast Cancer Survivors
    Post-Treatment Regret Among Young Breast Cancer Survivors
    Statistik
    42.5% of 449 young breast cancer survivors expressed regret; of those, 59.2% regretted inactions
    Kutipan
    “"The majority (59.2%) of participants who expressed regret did so over inactions ('I wish I had…', 'I would have…') as opposed to actions. Many women wished they had been more proactive in their care with respect to seeking information and having a better understanding of long-term effects and side effects of their treatment options." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2011-01-01
    Diakses
    2026-04-26
    Perhitungan
    Friedman et al. 2011. Study of 449 young breast cancer survivors. 42.5% (191 of 449) expressed any regret. Of those who expressed regret, 59.2% regretted inactions (delayed screening, not seeking information sooner) rather than actions. Inaction-specific rate: 42.5% × 59.2% = 25.2% of the full sample regretted inactions. The prior entry incorrectly used 42.5% (total regret) as the inaction rate; the correct inaction-specific figure is 25.2%.
  2. [2] Health Psychology — Anticipated Regret and Health Behavior: A Meta-Analysis
    Anticipated Regret and Health Behavior: A Meta-Analysis
    Statistik
    Anticipated inaction regret predicted health behavior (r = 0.29, p < .001) and intentions (r = 0.52) across 81 studies
    Kutipan
    “"Greater anticipated regret from not engaging in a behavior (i.e., inaction regret) predicted stronger intentions and behavior. Anticipated inaction regret has a stronger and more stable association with health behavior than previously thought." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2016-09-01
    Diakses
    2026-04-26
    Perhitungan
    Brewer et al. 2016 meta-analysis of 81 studies (N = 45,618). Demonstrates that across vaccination, screening, and other health domains, anticipated inaction regret consistently exceeds action regret. The correlation with actual health behavior is r = 0.29 (not r = 0.52, which is the correlation with intentions). The r = 0.29 figure is the relevant behavioral predictor; r = 0.52 applies to intention formation only. Both are statistically significant (p < .001).

Catatan

Angka tindakan dan non-tindakan berasal dari populasi klinis yang berbeda: meta-analisis pasien kanker prostat terlokalisasi (kebanyakan pria yang lebih tua) versus studi penyintas kanker payudara muda. Angka 20% penyesalan tindakan khusus untuk penyesalan keputusan-perawatan setelah kanker yang terdeteksi PSA — kemungkinan melebih-lebihkan penyesalan untuk diagnosis dini secara umum, karena skrining kanker prostat adalah area paling diperdebatkan dalam debat overdiagnosis. Tingkat spesifik non-tindakan (25,2%) diturunkan dari Friedman et al.: 42,5% sampel menyatakan penyesalan, dan 59,2% dari penyesalan itu adalah tindakan-tidak (42,5% × 59,2% = 25,2%). Meta-analisis Brewer menunjukkan penyesalan non-tindakan yang diantisipasi berkorelasi dengan perilaku kesehatan aktual di r = 0,29. Delta yang direvisi (−0,052) menunjukkan kesenjangan lebih sempit — diagnosis dini membawa biaya penyesalan bermakna (efek samping pengobatan berlebihan). Orang dengan kondisi yang benar-benar indolen — terdeteksi hanya karena skrining — mungkin mengalami bahaya bersih dari diagnosis dini.

Data mentah: /api/decisions.json

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