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Arrependimento de agir vs. não agir

Investir na bolsa cedo vs manter o dinheiro em contas poupança ou depósitos a prazo

Se você agir

Investir cedo em ações/mercados

15%

Se você não agir

Manter o dinheiro em poupança/depósitos a prazo

48%

Porcentagem de quem mais tarde se arrepende de cada escolha. As barras e o registro completo aparecem abaixo.


Financeiro

Última revisão 2026-04-26

Qualidade das evidências 4.0/5

Pontuação de revisão em oito dimensões segundo a grelha de qualidade . Cada dimensão pontuada de 1 a 5.

D1 Verificação das fontes
3/5
D2 Autoridade e independência das fontes
4/5
D3 Precisão da taxa de arrependimento
3/5
D4 Comparabilidade das fontes
3/5
D5 Padrão de Gilovich
5/5
D6 Qualidade da prosa
5/5
D7 Completude das ressalvas
5/5
D8 Qualidade da amostra
4/5
Média 4.0/5
Two hourglasses side by side, one with coins flowing through, the other with coins stuck at the top.

Arrependimento por ação

Investir cedo em ações/mercados

15%

~15% dos investidores se arrependem de um movimento ativo no mercado (vender e sair)

Adultos nos EUA que investem, painel online

retrospectivo, último ano

Arrependimento por omissão

Manter o dinheiro em poupança/depósitos a prazo

48%

48% dizem que deveriam ter começado a poupar/investir mais cedo para a aposentadoria

Adultos nos EUA, painel online

retrospectivo, sem prazo fixo

% se arrependem desta escolha

inaction dominates — A inacção domina — a maioria arrepende-se de não ter agido.

Decisões relacionadas

Decisões semanticamente semelhantes — mesmo terreno, compromissos diferentes.

Financeiro

Investimento

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 3.2× maior

FinanceiroDireta

Poupança para reforma

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 11.0× maior

Financeiro

Cripto vs. investimento tradicional

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 2.9× maior

FinanceiroDireta

Comprar casa

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 5.6× maior

lifestyle

Gastos com viagem

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 11.8× maior

Financeiro

Dívida estudantil vs. caminho mais barato

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.3× maior

Financeiro

Presente de entrada vs. proteger poupança

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 2.3× maior

Financeiro

Negociação do aluguel

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.9× maior

A Clarify Capital survey of 1,000 adults named “not investing earlier in life” as the single biggest financial regret Americans report, and found that nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving for retirement earlier. Respondents estimated their net worth would be $40,000 higher today had they started sooner — and one in three put the figure at $100,000 or more. On the action side, regret about having invested is far rarer and is not directly surveyed: the closest cited measure comes from MagnifyMoney/CNBC, where 38% of investors pulled money out during volatility and 40% of that group regret it — roughly 15% of investors who took an active market move they wish they hadn’t. Bankrate’s own biggest-financial-regret menu (retirement 22%, emergency savings 18%, credit card debt 14%) contains no investment-loss category at all, underscoring how far action-type investing regret sits below the inaction regrets.

The mechanism is compound interest working in reverse as a regret amplifier. A 25-year-old who puts $10,000 into an S&P 500 index fund and leaves it for 30 years at the historical ~10% nominal return ends up with roughly $175,000; the same person waiting until 35 ends up with ~$67,000 — a gap that exists entirely because of the ten lost years, not because of any difference in skill or risk tolerance. Börsch-Supan et al. (2023) confirmed this pattern with peer-reviewed rigor: surveying US adults aged 60-79, they found 58.5% affirm saving regret — the wish to have saved more earlier. Notably, their analysis found that life shocks (unemployment, health crises, divorce) explained more of the variation than procrastination or psychological traits, suggesting that saving regret is partly driven by circumstance rather than pure inaction bias.

The caveat is regime dependence. These surveys were fielded during or shortly after a 13-year US equity bull run in which the S&P 500 returned roughly 15% annualized. Someone who invested early in Japan’s Nikkei in 1989 waited over 30 years to break even; someone who bought US equities in March 2000 was underwater for a decade. The 48% inaction-regret figure is partly a product of hindsight bias magnified by a historically favorable period. In a high-interest-rate environment — such as 2023-2024, when US savings accounts and CDs offered 5%+ — the gap between “invest early” and “keep in term deposits” narrows considerably. The directional finding (timing regret favors starting early) is robust across most long horizons; the magnitude is era-dependent and should not be read as a universal constant.

Fontes: acção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

  1. [1] CNBC / MagnifyMoney — Nearly 40% of investors who pulled money out of markets in the last year regret it
    Nearly 40% of investors who pulled money out of markets in the last year regret it
    Estatística
    38% of investors pulled money from the stock market due to current events; of those, 40% wish they had stayed invested (≈15% of investors)
    Trecho
    “"38 percent of investors said they sold stocks last year due to a current event, and of that group, 40 percent said they wish they'd kept their money invested." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2022-05-16
    Acessado
    2026-04-26
    Cálculo
    MagnifyMoney/CNBC: 38% of investors pulled money out of the market due to current events, and 40% of that group now regret it. That implies roughly 0.38 × 0.40 ≈ 15% of investors took an active market move they regret. We use this ≈15% as the action-regret rate, because among people who acted on their investments the regret overwhelmingly runs toward wishing they had stayed in the market — not toward wishing they had never invested. The predominant action-regret is about exiting, not entering; no reached survey reports a clean "regret investing early" rate, so this exit-regret figure is the closest cited action-regret measure.
  2. [2] Bankrate — Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    Estatística
    Bankrate's biggest-financial-regret menu is led by inaction-type regrets (retirement 22%, emergencies 18%, credit card debt 14%); investment losses are not among the top listed categories
    Trecho
    “"22% of Americans said not saving for retirement early enough is their top financial regret. 18% of Americans said they regretted not socking away enough money to cover emergency expenses. Other financial regrets included incurring too much credit card debt (14%) and buying more house than they could afford (2%)." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2024-08-20
    Acessado
    2026-04-26
    Cálculo
    Bankrate commissioned YouGov to survey US adults in July 2024, nationally representative via non-probability sample with quotas. The top financial regrets are retirement saving (22%), emergency savings (18%), and credit card debt (14%) — all inaction-type regrets. "Investment losses" or "poor investment decisions" is not a listed top category, which is context that action-side (regret-having-invested) rates are low; Bankrate does not itself supply the action rate.

Fontes: inacção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

1/3 fontes verificadas de forma independente palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada

  1. [1] Clarify Capital — The Financial Regrets Report: What Americans Wish They Did Differently
    The Financial Regrets Report: What Americans Wish They Did Differently

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Estatística
    Nearly half (48%) of Americans say they should have started saving for retirement earlier; not investing earlier in life ranked as the single biggest financial regret, with respondents estimating $40,000 higher net worth had they started sooner
    Trecho
    “"Americans' biggest financial regrets were not investing earlier in life, overspending, and taking on too much debt. On average, they estimated their net worth would be $40,000 higher today if they had avoided their biggest financial mistake, while 1 in 3 believed they'd have $100,000 more in their accounts. Retirement accounts topped the list of investments Americans regretted not making sooner. Nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving earlier, including 56% of Gen X, 51% of baby boomers, and 35% of Gen Z." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2023-06-15
    Acessado
    2026-04-26
    Cálculo
    Clarify Capital surveyed 1,000 Americans (average age 41). The survey names "not investing earlier in life" as the top-ranked biggest financial regret but attaches no single headline percentage to that rank; the closest stated figure for the timing dimension is that "nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving earlier" for retirement. We use that verbatim 48% as the inaction-regret rate. The $40K net-worth gap (and 1 in 3 estimating $100,000 more) is self-estimated and likely conservative for those who kept money in term deposits during a prolonged equity bull market. Verified against the archived snapshot (web.archive.org/web/20250607215536).
  2. [2] Bankrate — Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    Estatística
    22% of Americans say not saving for retirement early enough is their No. 1 financial regret — the top regret for six of seven years Bankrate has tracked it
    Trecho
    “"Not saving for retirement early enough has been the No. 1 regret among Americans for six out of the seven years Bankrate has asked about financial regrets. 22 percent cited it as their top regret in 2024. Only 15 percent of people with a financial regret have made significant progress on it in the last 12 months." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2024-08-20
    Acessado
    2026-04-26
    Cálculo
    Bankrate's 22% figure uses a different framing — "not saving for retirement early enough" — which captures the same timing regret but in a broader financial-regret menu. The lower figure reflects competition with other regret categories (debt, emergencies), not weaker sentiment. The persistence across seven annual surveys confirms this is not a one-year anomaly.
  3. [3] Journal of Economic Psychology / Börsch-Supan, Bucher-Koenen, Hurd & Rohwedder — Saving regret and procrastination Verificado
    Saving regret and procrastination

    See all 3 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Estatística
    58% of US adults aged 60-79 affirm saving regret — the wish in hindsight to have saved more earlier in life
    Trecho
    “"We defined saving regret as the wish in hindsight to have saved more earlier in life, and measured this along with possible determinants in a survey of U.S. households where respondents were aged 60–79. We found high levels of saving regret: approximately 58% of respondents affirmed it. Married, older, healthier and wealthier respondents were less likely to report saving regret." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2023-02-01
    Acessado
    2026-04-26
    Verificação
    Trecho obtido novamente de forma independente e confirmado palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada durante nossa auditoria de fundamentação.
    Cálculo
    Börsch-Supan et al. (2023), Journal of Economic Psychology 94. Peer-reviewed study using a nationally representative US sample of adults aged 60-79. The paper's preferred estimate is 58.5%; its abstract states "approximately 58% of respondents affirmed it." This corroborates the survey-based timing-regret findings (Clarify Capital 48%, Bankrate 22%) with a stronger methodology. The higher rate likely reflects that older adults have more hindsight and larger realized opportunity costs. Shocks (unemployment, health, divorce) explained more variation than procrastination, suggesting saving regret is partly driven by life events rather than pure inaction bias.

Ressalvas

The 48% inaction rate (Clarify Capital) and the ≈15% action rate (MagnifyMoney/CNBC) come from different surveys with different question structures, and they measure related but not identical constructs. The Clarify Capital survey named "not investing earlier in life" as the top-ranked biggest financial regret but attached no headline percentage to that rank; the 48% we use is its nearest stated timing figure — "nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving earlier" for retirement — so the inaction rate is a saving/investing-timing regret, not strictly a "wish I had invested in stocks" rate. The ≈15% action figure is derived from exit-regret (38% of investors sold during volatility, 40% of them regret it) because no reached survey reports a clean "regret investing early" rate — action-regret about having invested is not directly measured, and Bankrate's regret menu (retirement 22%, emergencies 18%, credit card debt 14%) contains no investment-loss category at all. The $40,000 net-worth gap is self-estimated, not actuarially calculated — people anchor on round numbers and may overstate or understate the true opportunity cost. The inaction surveys were conducted during or shortly after a historically strong US equity bull market (2009-2022, S&P 500 ~15% annualized). In a prolonged bear market or stagnation regime (Japan post-1989, US 2000-2010), inaction regret would be significantly lower and action regret higher. Term deposit holders in high-interest environments (e.g., 5%+ rates in 2023-2024) may have less regret than these surveys suggest. The Börsch-Supan et al. peer-reviewed finding (58.5% saving regret among 60-79 year-olds) confirms the directional pattern with stronger methodology but also shows that life shocks, not just procrastination, drive much of the variation. The delta of 0.33 is moderate and regime-dependent. Survey data are drawn exclusively from United States samples; satisfaction and regret rates in countries with different institutional structures — financial markets, tax-advantaged account structures, and capital-gains regimes — may differ substantially.

Dados brutos: /api/decisions.json

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