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Сожаление о действии против бездействия

Поступить на государственную службу в Южной Корее vs. строить карьеру в частном секторе

Если вы действуете

Пойти на госслужбу

59%

Если вы бездействуете

Выбрать частный сектор

37%

Доля тех, кто впоследствии жалеет о каждом выборе. Столбцы и полный реестр показаны ниже.


Карьера

Последнее обновление 2026-05-13

Качество доказательств 3.5/5

Оценка по восьми измерениям согласно рубрике качества . Каждое измерение оценивается от 1 до 5.

D1 Проверка источников
3/5
D2 Авторитетность и независимость источника
4/5
D3 Точность уровня сожаления
2/5
D4 Сопоставимость источников
2/5
D5 Шаблон Гиловича
5/5
D6 Качество текста
4/5
D7 Полнота оговорок
4/5
D8 Качество выборки
4/5
Среднее 3.5/5
Two contrasting desks: one with government stamps and official binders, one with a laptop and startup pitch deck.

Сожаление о действии

Пойти на госслужбу

59%

Прокси раннего ухода: ~58% добровольных увольнений из центрального правительства Южной Кореи приходятся на сотрудников со стажем менее 5 лет (доля ранней текучести, а не самоотчётная доля сожаления)

Южнокорейские госслужащие центральных органов

увольнения среди 21–30-летних госслужащих, годовые данные 2024

Сожаление о бездействии

Выбрать частный сектор

37%

Прокси структурной незащищённости: ~37% наёмных работников Южной Кореи имеют нерегулярные (bijeonggyujik) контракты (воздействие незащищённости работы, а не прямой опрос о сожалении)

Южнокорейские работники частного сектора

ретроспективный опрос, 2022

% сожалеют об этом выборе

action dominates — Действие преобладает — большинство сожалеет, что действовали.

Похожие решения

Семантически близкие решения — та же область, другие компромиссы.

lifestyle

Корея: военная служба vs. альтернативная

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 1.5× выше

career

Китай: прими гаокао vs. пересдай

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 2.2× выше

career

Смена карьеры

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает бездействие

Сожаление о бездействии в 1.5× выше

career

Карьера или баланс

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 1.3× выше

career

Решение об учёбе

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 1.2× выше

careerПрямые

Отчисление vs. получение степени

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 1.1× выше

career

Частный vs государственный университет

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Сбалансировано

Примерно сбалансировано

career

Удалёнка или офис

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает бездействие

Сожаление о бездействии в 1.8× выше

South Korea’s Ministry of Personnel Management recorded that in 2024 59.3% of general voluntary resignations from the central government (12,013 people) came from employees with fewer than five years of service, and the number of 21-30-year-old civil servants who resigned voluntarily doubled from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024. Grade 9 entry-level civil service pay has fallen materially behind compensation at large private technology and financial firms over the same decade. The Korea Herald reported that the civil service exam applicant-to-seat ratio fell to 22.8:1 in 2023 — the lowest since 1992 and the seventh consecutive year of decline — after peaking at 92 applicants per position in 2011. A 2024 Catch survey of young job seekers found that 69% had no intention of taking the civil service exam at all.

On the inaction side there is no direct measure of “regret choosing the private sector.” The prevailing sentiment runs the opposite way: in the same Catch survey, 53% of respondents said they would still pick a private firm even if public and private wages were equal. The closest defensible inaction-side anchor is structural, not attitudinal — Statistics Korea reports that roughly 37% of wage and salary workers hold non-regular (bijeonggyujik) contracts, an exposure to job insecurity rather than a self-reported regret. The regret asymmetry here is unusual in the regret literature: it is action-dominates rather than inaction-dominates, meaning more people regret entering the civil service than regret skipping it. This reversal reflects the speed at which the civil service’s premium — job security, pension, status — has eroded relative to private sector compensation and career autonomy over a single decade.

Both regret rates carry significant measurement caveats. The action-side figure is behavioural (resignation) rather than attitudinal (self-reported regret), and resigners are not a random sample of all civil servants — those who leave are selected for dissatisfaction. The inaction-side 37% is a structural-insecurity exposure proxy (share of workers on non-regular contracts) rather than a direct question about forgoing the civil service — no such regret survey exists. The decision’s bilateral costs are highly sensitive to economic conditions: during a recession or major private sector layoff cycle, the inaction-side regret rate would likely rise, narrowing the gap. The demographic context also matters: South Korea’s birth rate has fallen to among the lowest in the world, so the pool of young workers entering either track is shrinking, and the composition of each group is changing faster than survey cycles can capture.

Источники: действие

Реестр утверждений

Каждое число ниже — это то, что сообщил источник, с дословной цитатой, на которую мы опирались, и тем, как мы пришли к нашей цифре. Нажмите на ссылку, чтобы проверить самостоятельно.

  1. [1] Korea Herald / South Korea Ministry of Personnel Management — More young Koreans turn away from civil service due to workload, low pay (reporting Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook)
    More young Koreans turn away from civil service due to workload, low pay (reporting Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook)
    Статистика
    59.3% of general voluntary resignations from the central government in 2024 (12,013 people) came from employees with fewer than 5 years of service; resignations among 21-30-year-old civil servants rose from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024
    Выдержка
    “"Data from 2024 shows that 12,013 civil servants with fewer than five years of service resigned voluntarily, representing 59.3 percent of all general voluntary resignations." "While slightly lower than the previous year's 65.1 percent, the proportion has remained at or near 60 percent since 2019." "According to the Public Officials Pension Service, resignations among workers aged 21 to 30 jumped from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024, more than doubling." ”
    Данные источника:
    2026-02-27
    Дата обращения
    2026-07-11
    Расчёт
    The 59.3% early-exit share (Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook, 2024 data, as reported by the Korea Herald on 2026-02-27) is used as the action-side regret proxy. Because these are observed voluntary departures rather than self-reported regret scores, the figure is a behavioural proxy: a civil servant who voluntarily quits within five years is treated as having regretted entering the service. The raw resignation count (5,105 in 2024 among the 21-30 cohort) provides the sample anchor. We round 59.3% to 0.59 (59%). A prior draft cited 57.5% and 0.58; that figure could not be confirmed against the source and has been corrected to the stated 59.3%.
  2. [2] Korea Herald — From dream job to no-go: Civil servant jobs lose out
    From dream job to no-go: Civil servant jobs lose out
    Статистика
    Civil service exam applicants per seat fell to 22.8:1 in 2023, the lowest since 1992 and the seventh consecutive year of decline
    Выдержка
    “"This year's competition for a government employee job with the lowest rank of 9 was 22.8-to-1, the lowest figure since 19.3-to-1 in 1992. It marked the seventh straight year that competition for the job has fallen. In 2011, competition peaked at 92 applicants per position. About half of Seoul Metropolitan Government employees who quit last year had worked for less than five years at their posts. In a Seoul survey of 550 newly employed officials, 28% cited financial issues from a low salary as their biggest concern, and 17% expressed concern about rigid work culture." ”
    Данные источника:
    2023-04-18
    Дата обращения
    2026-05-14
    Расчёт
    URL corrected 2026-05-14: the original URL (ud=20240101000100) resolved to an unrelated article about youth happiness and work hours. The correct Korea Herald article on the 22.8:1 civil service exam ratio and seventh consecutive year of decline is at ud=20230418000627 (published April 18, 2023). Note: the originally cited statistic "only 21% of young Koreans now want to remain at one organisation until retirement" does not appear in the verified article; that specific figure could not be confirmed. The excerpt and statistic fields have been updated to reflect what the verified article actually contains. The 22.8:1 ratio and seventh-year decline are confirmed. The regret_delta and action-side rate are anchored to the MPM Annual Report, not this source, so the correction does not affect the bilateral rates.

Источники: бездействие

Реестр утверждений

Каждое число ниже — это то, что сообщил источник, с дословной цитатой, на которую мы опирались, и тем, как мы пришли к нашей цифре. Нажмите на ссылку, чтобы проверить самостоятельно.

  1. [1] Korea Herald — Young job seekers prefer private sector: survey
    Young job seekers prefer private sector: survey
    Статистика
    In a Catch survey of 2,074 job seekers in their 20s or younger, 69% had no intention to take the civil service exam; even with equal wages, 53% said they would still work for a non-government company
    Выдержка
    “"69 percent of the respondents saying that they have no intention to take the state civil service exam." "53 percent said they would work for the non-government company" if wages were equal between sectors. "26 percent said they would consider civil servant work if the monthly wage for a Grade 9 civil servant was at least 3 million won." ”
    Данные источника:
    2024-01-01
    Дата обращения
    2026-06-30
    Расчёт
    This source documents the inaction-side context directly: among young Korean job seekers, revealed preference runs strongly toward the private sector (69% will not sit the civil service exam; 53% would still choose a private firm at equal pay). It establishes that there is no measurable "regret choosing the private sector / regret not entering the civil service" — the prevailing sentiment is the reverse. Because no direct inaction-side regret survey exists, the numeric inaction-side rate (0.37) is anchored to the verifiable structural-insecurity exposure proxy (non-regular contract share, Statistics Korea 2023; see the OECD/Statistics Korea source below) and is labelled as such, not as a regret rate.
  2. [2] OECD — OECD Employment Rate Data: Korea
    OECD Employment Rate Data: Korea
    Статистика
    South Korea's youth (15-24) unemployment rate was approximately 5.4% in 2023; the share of non-regular workers among all wage and salary workers reached approximately 37% in 2023
    Выдержка
    “[Figures from OECD and Statistics Korea data series, 2023] OECD records South Korea's youth (ages 15-24) unemployment rate at approximately 5.4% in 2023 (about 5.9% on the broader 15-29 basis). Statistics Korea reports that non-regular workers accounted for approximately 37% of all wage and salary workers in 2023, reflecting structural insecurity for workers outside permanent (jeonggyujik) tracks at the civil service or large conglomerates (chaebol). ”
    Данные источника:
    2023-01-01
    Дата обращения
    2026-05-13
    Расчёт
    The ~37% non-regular-worker share (Statistics Korea, 2023) is the inaction-side proxy: it is a structural job-insecurity EXPOSURE rate, not a self-reported regret rate. We use 0.37 as the inaction-side anchor and label it explicitly as a structural-insecurity proxy (see regret_display and caveats). The youth-unemployment figure was corrected on review from an erroneous ~7% to the verified ~5.4% (15-24 basis) for 2023; it is contextual only and does not enter the rate. No direct survey measuring private-sector workers' regret at not entering the civil service exists, so a structural exposure proxy is the most defensible available inaction-side anchor.

Оговорки

The action-side 59% figure is a behavioural proxy (early voluntary resignation) rather than a self-reported regret measure. Not every civil servant who leaves within five years regrets entering the service; some depart for superior private sector opportunities rather than out of dissatisfaction. The sharp decline in civil service exam competition (down to 22.8:1 in 2023, the lowest since 1992) is partly attributable to South Korea's demographic contraction (fewer young people overall) and to improved private sector compensation at large technology and financial firms, not only to rising dissatisfaction among those already in civil service. The inaction-side 37% is NOT a regret rate: no survey measures private-sector workers' regret at not entering the civil service, and revealed preference in fact runs the other way (in a 2024 Catch survey, 69% of young job seekers had no intention of sitting the civil service exam and 53% would still choose a private firm at equal pay). The 0.37 figure is the verifiable structural-insecurity EXPOSURE proxy — the share of Korean wage workers on non-regular (bijeonggyujik) contracts (Statistics Korea, 2023) — used only because it is the closest defensible inaction-side anchor. The regret calculus is highly cohort- and era-dependent: civil service was a generationally dominant aspiration in Korea through the early 2000s; the reversal to a liability perception has occurred within a single decade and may continue or reverse depending on macroeconomic conditions and government wage reform.

Исходные данные: /api/decisions.json

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