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Likelier

Perceived fear vs. actual probability

Is it dangerous to refreeze food that has already thawed or melted?

Not quantified

No reliable estimate

We looked for authoritative data on this question and could not find a number we are willing to publish. Possible reasons: sources disagree substantially, the underlying dataset is known to be biased, or the question depends on context we can’t normalize to a common baseline.

Know of a rigorous, peer-reviewed source we missed? Please tell us.

Health · reviewed 2026-07-12
Evidence quality 4.75/5

Eight-dimension review score against the quality rubric . Each dimension scored 1–5.

D1 Source grounding
4/5
D2 Source authority
5/5
D3 Arithmetic
5/5
D4 Uncertainty
5/5
D5 Scope
5/5
D6 Prose
4/5
D7 Perception honesty
5/5
D8 Caveat completeness
5/5
Average 4.75/5
Direct evidence
Source No reliable estimate
A simplified snowflake and a partially melted ice-cube shape side by side in muted blue-grey tones on a pale background, flat vector illustration.
Compare to:

The rule almost everyone remembers is “never refreeze thawed food,” and the rule that actually matters is “don’t let perishable food sit in the Danger Zone for more than two hours.” The first is a garbled version of the second, with the risk pinned to the wrong variable. The US Department of Agriculture’s Food Safety and Inspection Service states plainly that food thawed in the refrigerator can be refrozen without cooking, and the only cost is quality: “a loss of quality due to the moisture lost through thawing.” What makes food unsafe is time spent between 40°F and 140°F, where bacteria “double in number in as little as 20 minutes,” and that clock runs the same whether the food is destined for the freezer, the pan, or the trash. Refreezing neither adds to nor subtracts from it.

That reframing dissolves most of the fear. A chicken breast thawed overnight in the fridge and refrozen the next morning never left safe temperatures, so it carries no new risk; it will simply be a little drier when finally cooked. The same is true of a bag of vegetables that softened during a brief power flicker but still held ice crystals, since FSIS says food that “still has ice crystals, or is as cold as if it were in a refrigerator (40°F)” is safe to refreeze. The genuine failure mode is the counter-thawed roast left out through an afternoon, or the cold-water- or microwave-thawed portion the USDA says to cook before refreezing because parts of it may already have warmed into the Danger Zone. In every one of those cases the deciding factor is temperature history, not the freeze count, which is why foodborne-illness surveillance tracks contributing factors like failing to hold food at safe temperatures and has no category for refreezing at all.

Melted ice cream is the one everyday case where the folk caution and the official guidance point the same way: discard it. FSIS frames this as a quality matter, listing soft or melted ice cream as something to “dispose of for quality’s sake” because the texture never recovers, and extension services are blunter still: “Do not use or refreeze melted ice cream.” There is also a food-safety reason to respect the reflex, though it sits alongside rather than behind the quality one. Ice cream is dairy, a documented vehicle for Listeria monocytogenes, an organism unusual for growing even at refrigerator temperatures. A 2010-2015 outbreak traced to factory-contaminated ice cream sickened ten people across four states, hospitalized all ten, and killed three. That was a contamination-and-storage story rather than a refreezing one, since nobody’s home freezer caused it, but it is why dairy soft-serve is the category where “when in doubt, throw it out” earns its keep. For everything else, the honest answer is that refreezing is not the thing to worry about; the two-hour rule is, and no meaningful probability attaches to the refreeze itself.

The USDA says food thawed in the refrigerator can be refrozen safely — the only cost is quality. What actually makes food unsafe is time in the 40–140°F Danger Zone, not the refreeze. The one everyday exception: melted ice cream, which you discard.

Claim ledger

Every number below is what each source reported, with the verbatim quote we relied on and how we arrived at our figure. Click any link to verify directly.

  1. [1] US Department of Agriculture, Food Safety and Inspection Service — Freezing and Food Safety
    Freezing and Food Safety
    Statistic
    Food thawed in the refrigerator is safe to refreeze without cooking, with possible quality loss from moisture; do not refreeze foods left out longer than 2 hours (1 hour above 90°F)
    Excerpt
    “"Once food is thawed in the refrigerator, it is safe to refreeze it without cooking, although there may be a loss of quality due to the moisture lost through thawing. After cooking raw foods which were previously frozen, it is safe to freeze the cooked foods. If previously cooked foods are thawed in the refrigerator, you may refreeze the unused portion. Freeze leftovers within 3-4 days. Do not refreeze any foods left outside the refrigerator longer than 2 hours; 1 hour in temperatures above 90 °F." ”
    Source data from
    2024-08-09
    Accessed
    2026-07-12 · archived copy
    Calculation
    This is the governing US statement on refreezing. It establishes the core claim of the entry — refreezing refrigerator-thawed food is safe (quality loss only) — and immediately re-anchors the actual safety condition to the 2-hour Danger-Zone limit, not the refreeze. Used as the definition of the safe/unsafe boundary, not as a probability estimate. The same page adds, for power outages: "If food is partly frozen, still has ice crystals, or is as cold as if it were in a refrigerator (40 °F), it is safe to refreeze or use," and "Dispose of soft or melted ice cream for quality's sake."
    Independence
    FSIS guidance is the upstream US regulatory standard reused by FDA, CDC, and state health departments; it is not independent of those downstream restatements but precedes them.
  2. [2] US Department of Agriculture, Food Safety and Inspection Service — "Danger Zone" (40 °F - 140 °F)
    "Danger Zone" (40 °F - 140 °F)

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Statistic
    Bacteria double in as little as 20 minutes between 40°F and 140°F; food should not be left out more than 2 hours (1 hour above 90°F)
    Excerpt
    “"Bacteria grow most rapidly in the range of temperatures between 40 °F and 140 °F, doubling in number in as little as 20 minutes. This range of temperatures is often called the 'Danger Zone.' Never leave food out of refrigeration over 2 hours. If the temperature is above 90 °F, food should not be left out more than 1 hour." ”
    Source data from
    2024-07-12
    Accessed
    2026-07-12 · archived copy
    Calculation
    Establishes the variable that actually governs safety — cumulative time in the Danger Zone — against which the refreeze question is beside the point. Two freezings with an interval spent below 40°F carry no time-temperature penalty; a single thaw that spent three hours on a warm counter is unsafe whether or not it is refrozen.
    Independence
    Same regulatory author as the Freezing page; cited for a distinct claim (the exposure rule), not as corroboration of the refreezing claim.
  3. [3] University of Delaware Cooperative Extension — When the Power is Out: Food Safety
    When the Power is Out: Food Safety
    Statistic
    Most foods may be safely refrozen if they still contain ice crystals or have been kept at 40°F or below for no more than 24-48 hours; melted ice cream should not be refrozen
    Excerpt
    “"You may safely refreeze most foods if they still contain ice crystals, or if they have been kept cold (40°F or less) and have been thawed no more than 24 to 48 hours. … Do not use or refreeze melted ice cream." ”
    Source data from
    2023-01-01
    Accessed
    2026-07-12 · archived copy
    Calculation
    Extension-service restatement of the FSIS rule that also makes the ice-cream exception explicit, which the FSIS page frames only as a quality discard. Supports the entry's two-part structure: general refreezing is safe under the ice-crystal / ≤40°F condition; melted ice cream is the everyday case where discard is advised.
    Independence
    A land-grant extension service applying FSIS guidance to the consumer power-outage scenario. Downstream of FSIS on the general rule; its explicit ice-cream instruction is the clearest consumer-facing statement of that specific carve-out.
  4. [4] US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention — Foodborne Illness: Facts and Statistics
    Foodborne Illness: Facts and Statistics
    Statistic
    CDC estimates ~48 million foodborne illnesses in the US each year; 128,000 hospitalizations; 3,000 deaths
    Excerpt
    “"CDC estimates that 48 million people get sick from a foodborne illness every year. Of those, 128,000 are hospitalized and 3,000 die." ”
    Source data from
    2024-01-01
    Accessed
    2026-07-12 · archived copy
    Calculation
    Baseline context only. Foodborne illness is common (48 million cases against a US population of ~330 million is roughly 1 in 7 residents per year), but the surveillance attributes it to pathogens and contributing factors such as time-temperature abuse and cross-contamination, not to refreezing, which appears in no contributing-factor taxonomy. Included to show that the real risk this fear gestures at is genuine and quantified, while the refreeze mechanism it names is not.
    Independence
    CDC national burden surveillance, methodologically independent of the FSIS handling guidance; cited for the population-level foodborne-illness baseline, not for any refreezing-specific claim.
  5. [5] US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention — Multistate Outbreak of Listeriosis Linked to Blue Bell Creameries Products (Final Update)
    Multistate Outbreak of Listeriosis Linked to Blue Bell Creameries Products (Final Update)
    Statistic
    2010-2015 listeriosis outbreak linked to factory-contaminated ice cream: 10 cases across 4 states, all 10 hospitalized, 3 deaths
    Excerpt
    “"A total of 10 people with listeriosis related to this outbreak were reported from 4 states. … All ill people were hospitalized. Three deaths were reported from Kansas. … Listeriosis is a life-threatening infection caused by eating food contaminated with the bacterium (germ) Listeria monocytogenes (Listeria). People at high risk for listeriosis include pregnant women and their newborns, adults 65 and older, and people with weakened immune systems." ”
    Source data from
    2015-06-10
    Accessed
    2026-07-12 · archived copy
    Calculation
    Supports the body's ice-cream carve-out with the outbreak counts and the high-risk groups (both verbatim on this page). This outbreak was FACTORY contamination, not a consumer refreezing failure — cited to establish that dairy ice cream is a documented, severe Listeria vehicle, NOT as evidence that refreezing melted ice cream at home caused illness. The separate claim that Listeria grows at refrigerator temperatures is sourced to the FDA Listeria page below, not to this outbreak report.
    Independence
    CDC outbreak surveillance, independent of the FSIS handling guidance and the CDC national-burden page; cited only for the 2015 outbreak counts and high-risk groups.
  6. [6] US Food and Drug Administration — Listeria (Listeriosis)
    Listeria (Listeriosis)
    Statistic
    Listeria monocytogenes can survive and grow even under refrigeration
    Excerpt
    “"L. monocytogenes is a type of disease-causing bacteria that can be found in many places, including soil, water, sewage, rotting vegetation, and animals. It can survive and grow even under refrigeration." ”
    Source data from
    2024-01-01
    Accessed
    2026-07-12 · archived copy
    Calculation
    Sources the specific biological claim the body uses to justify the ice-cream carve-out: that dairy which has warmed and been re-chilled is a Listeria concern because, unusually among foodborne pathogens, Listeria keeps growing at fridge temperatures. Cited only for that mechanism, not for any probability — consistent with no_reliable_estimate.
    Independence
    FDA pathogen reference, methodologically independent of the CDC outbreak report; supplies the refrigerator-growth biology that the Blue Bell page does not state.

434 risks with measured probability
1 in 10 1 in 100 1 in 1K 1 in 10K 1 in 100K 1 in 1M 1 in 10M 1 in 100M 1 in 1B certain rarer → Cosmetic surgery abroad risk — 1 in 10 Infant sugar/salt and adult disease — 1 in 10 Endometriosis — 1 in 10 Hair transplant Turkey risk — 1 in 10 Knee replacement — 1 in 10 Chronic painkillers — 1 in 10 Complete tooth loss — 1 in 9.1 Alzheimer's — 1 in 8.3 Sleep deprivation — 1 in 8.3 Smokeless tobacco — 1 in 8.3 Cycling w/o helmet — 1 in 8.0 Bruxism tooth damage — 1 in 7.7 Skipping care over ICE fear — 1 in 7.1 Vision loss — 1 in 6.7 Hernia from lifting — 1 in 6.7 Hip fracture risk — 1 in 6.7 Regular drinking — 1 in 6.7 First heart attack — 1 in 5.9 Infertility — 1 in 5.7 5+ years paid LTC — 1 in 5.6 CTE (football) — 1 in 5.0 Major depression — 1 in 4.9 Hiking injury — 1 in 4.8 Infection from sharing food with child — 1 in 4.2 Lyme disease — 1 in 4.0 Loneliness & health — 1 in 3.8 Inheriting AUD risk — 1 in 3.5 Alcohol use disorder — 1 in 3.4 Anxiety disorder — 1 in 3.2 Menopause CV risk acceleration — 1 in 3.0 Silent diabetes — 1 in 3.0 Flying with cold — 1 in 2.9 Job loss & depression — 1 in 2.9 Tick illness (forest) — 1 in 2.9 Silent high cholesterol — 1 in 2.9 Grandparent loss in childhood — 1 in 2.8 Pacifier floor drop — 1 in 2.8 Silent hypertension — 1 in 2.7 Drug-resistant infection — 1 in 2.6 No marrow match — 1 in 2.4 Nursing home admission — 1 in 2.2 False-positive mammogram — 1 in 2.0 Regular smoking — 1 in 2.0 Travelers' diarrhea — 1 in 2.0 Adventure sports — 1 in 1.8 LTC need after 65 — 1 in 1.8 Widowhood probability — 1 in 1.7 Unprotected sex — 1 in 1.5 Chronic back pain — 1 in 1.3 Hand hygiene — 1 in 1.0 Cancer (any) — 1 in 7.1 E-scooter no helmet — 1 in 4.5 E-bike no helmet — 1 in 4.0 Mishandled luggage — 1 in 3.7 At-fault injury crash — 1 in 2.9 Deer collision — 1 in 2.7 Car-crash injury — 1 in 2.6 Flight cancellation — 1 in 1.8 Trip disruption: war or disaster — 1 in 1.7 Home burglary (global) — 1 in 9.1 Hitchhiking assault — 1 in 8.8 Mail check fraud — 1 in 7.7 Child sexual abuse — 1 in 6.8 Stalking — 1 in 6.2 Student sexual assault — 1 in 5.7 Domestic violence — 1 in 3.7 Night walk assault — 1 in 3.6 Bicycle theft — 1 in 2.9 Sexual assault — 1 in 2.3 Sexual harassment (lifetime) — 1 in 1.6 Water scarcity — 1 in 2.5 Carrington-class solar storm — 1 in 1.9 WAIS tipping point — 1 in 1.1 Indoor cat escape harm — 1 in 10 Off-leash dog bite — 1 in 9.8 Rabbit dies in 4 years — 1 in 3.3 Dog bite (non-fatal) — 1 in 1.8 Hamster dies before teenager — 1 in 1.0 Iron gap (women) — 1 in 3.9 Vitamin D gap — 1 in 2.9 Magnesium gap — 1 in 1.9 Undercooked food — 1 in 1.6 Raw meat cross-contamination — 1 in 1.4 Food left out — 1 in 1.2 AI voice scam — 1 in 2.9 Online scam loss — 1 in 2.5 Teen cyberbullying — 1 in 2.0 Kids & explicit content — 1 in 1.9 Data breach — 1 in 1.1 Miscarriage — 1 in 6.7 Teen suicide attempt — 1 in 5.6 Postpartum depression — 1 in 4.8 Painkiller before infant vaccination — 1 in 3.8 Excessive pregnancy weight — 1 in 2.6 Unvaxxed child & measles — 1 in 2.0 Child head lice — 1 in 2.0 Elder fraud loss — 1 in 10 Pension fund collapse — 1 in 10 Housing crash — 1 in 8.3 IRS audit — 1 in 6.7 Currency collapse — 1 in 5.6 Visa overstay deportation — 1 in 5.6 Subprime auto-loan repossession — 1 in 5.0 Long term disability working age — 1 in 4.0 Student loan default — 1 in 3.8 Whistleblower retaliation — 1 in 3.2 Forced job exit before retirement — 1 in 2.9 Retirement shortfall — 1 in 2.6 BNPL missed payment — 1 in 2.4 Divorce — 1 in 2.4 Burst pipe damage — 1 in 2.2 Workplace bullying — 1 in 2.1 Prolonged grid blackout — 1 in 2.0 Deportation (undocumented) — 1 in 1.8 Funeral cost shock — 1 in 1.7 Identity theft — 1 in 1.7 Credit card fraud — 1 in 1.5 School bullying — 1 in 1.5 Frontline soldier casualty — 1 in 1.3 Economic recession — 1 in 1.0 Stock market crash — 1 in 1.0 Hail roof damage — 1 in 3.0 Problem-tenant loss — 1 in 1.8 LASIK complications — 1 in 100 Dry toilet paper harm — 1 in 100 Secondhand smoke — 1 in 91 Gaming disorder (adults) — 1 in 83 High-heel ER visit — 1 in 79 Child throwing object — 1 in 67 Medication reaction — 1 in 58 Drug overdose — 1 in 56 Gas-stove asthma in a child — 1 in 50 Cat litter toxoplasmosis — 1 in 48 Mental health LTD claim — 1 in 45 Benzo dependence — 1 in 40 Tap water lead — 1 in 40 Medication misuse — 1 in 35 Traumatic brain injury — 1 in 33 Hospital infection — 1 in 31 Air pollution — 1 in 29 End-stage kidney disease — 1 in 29 Traveler's diarrhea (water) — 1 in 26 Skiing injury — 1 in 26 Bipolar disorder — 1 in 23 Wisdom-tooth surgery — 1 in 22 Dental tourism complication — 1 in 20 Elderly abandonment — 1 in 20 Parkinson's — 1 in 20 Pet parasites — 1 in 20 Undiagnosed ADHD — 1 in 20 Adult-onset food allergy — 1 in 19 Non-Alzheimer's dementia — 1 in 17 Cannabis use disorder — 1 in 16 Stroke — 1 in 15 PTSD — 1 in 15 Severe hearing loss — 1 in 14 Type 2 diabetes — 1 in 13 Appendicitis — 1 in 13 Indoor cooking smoke — 1 in 13 Untreated depression — 1 in 13 Soda and diabetes — 1 in 13 Heart disease — 1 in 12 Medical error death — 1 in 12 Compulsive sexual behavior — 1 in 12 Eating disorder — 1 in 11 Hip replacement — 1 in 11 Kidney stones — 1 in 11 Parent death/disability — 1 in 11 Sedentary lifestyle — 1 in 11 Salon infection — 1 in 11 Ovarian cancer — 1 in 91 Colorectal cancer — 1 in 77 Breast cancer — 1 in 59 Liver cancer — 1 in 59 Lung cancer — 1 in 56 Prostate cancer — 1 in 50 Melanoma (UV) — 1 in 29 Low-fiber CRC risk — 1 in 26 Red meat & CRC — 1 in 21 Charred meat & cancer — 1 in 20 Maintenance crash — 1 in 83 Driving on sedating meds — 1 in 77 Texting + driving — 1 in 56 Unbelted crash death — 1 in 53 Speeding 20% over limit — 1 in 50 Motorcycle no helmet — 1 in 45 Spaceflight (astronaut) — 1 in 42 Video watching + driving — 1 in 32 Child crash injury — 1 in 27 Drowsy driving — 1 in 26 Cruise ship norovirus — 1 in 24 E-scooter injury — 1 in 10 Pickpocketed while traveling — 1 in 38 Catalytic converter theft — 1 in 37 Knife-involved assault — 1 in 37 Vehicle theft — 1 in 34 Street robbery / mugging — 1 in 26 Wrongful conviction — 1 in 24 Drink spiking — 1 in 17 Keyless relay car theft — 1 in 13 Protest under autocracy — 1 in 12 AMOC collapse — 1 in 20 Sting anaphylaxis — 1 in 50 Cat collar injury — 1 in 25 Restaurant food poisoning — 1 in 58 B12 deficiency — 1 in 28 Vegetarian deficiency — 1 in 14 Intimate deepfake — 1 in 25 Social media problematic use — 1 in 13 Child swallows object (ER) — 1 in 91 Life-threatening birth (US) — 1 in 61 Childbirth death (SSA) — 1 in 55 Toddler stair fall — 1 in 37 Co-sleeping death — 1 in 36 Play swing & slide injury — 1 in 33 Autism diagnosis — 1 in 31 C-section complications — 1 in 29 Toy injury requiring ER (child) — 1 in 21 Preeclampsia — 1 in 20 Severe birth tearing — 1 in 17 Gestational diabetes — 1 in 13 Child fall head injury — 1 in 12 Dying without heir — 1 in 100 Sports betting financial ruin — 1 in 100 Fighter pilot death — 1 in 48 Commercial fishing career death — 1 in 45 Logging career death — 1 in 34 Medical bankruptcy — 1 in 25 Compulsive buying disorder — 1 in 20 Rental listing scam loss — 1 in 20 Losing SNAP under 2025 work rules — 1 in 18 Mortgage foreclosure — 1 in 14 Musculoskeletal LTD claim — 1 in 14 Day-trading losses — 1 in 13 Extremist govt catastrophe — 1 in 13 Hurricane home destruction — 1 in 17 NAION (Ozempic) — 1 in 909 Infant pool submersion — 1 in 800 MS — 1 in 769 Workplace fatality — 1 in 690 Typhoid fever — 1 in 654 GLP-1 anesthesia aspiration — 1 in 613 Unsafe imported products — 1 in 565 Brain aneurysm — 1 in 400 COVID-19 — 1 in 400 Fireworks injury — 1 in 385 Too much caffeine — 1 in 366 Sickle cell disease — 1 in 365 Counterfeit medicine — 1 in 361 Spinal cord injury — 1 in 313 Childhood cancer diagnosis — 1 in 285 Next pandemic death — 1 in 208 Dengue (travel) — 1 in 200 Heat-triggered preterm birth — 1 in 200 Skipping daily showers — 1 in 200 Not scrubbing feet — 1 in 200 Marrow donation risk — 1 in 167 Tick-borne encephalitis — 1 in 167 Schizophrenia — 1 in 143 Accidental fall — 1 in 135 Sudden death during exercise — 1 in 123 Suicide (US) — 1 in 121 Opioid addiction — 1 in 114 Tuberculosis (global) — 1 in 109 HIV diagnosis — 1 in 105 Radon cancer — 1 in 435 Testicular cancer — 1 in 250 Cervical cancer — 1 in 167 Pancreatic cancer — 1 in 125 Pedestrian death — 1 in 806 Motorcycle crash — 1 in 709 Boating drowning — 1 in 685 Driver kills pedestrian — 1 in 552 Phone-distracted walking injury — 1 in 400 EV battery fire — 1 in 333 Cyclist killed by car — 1 in 159 Petrol car fire — 1 in 125 Self-driving car fatality — 1 in 115 Car crash — 1 in 105 Firefighter duty death — 1 in 455 Police duty death — 1 in 357 Homicide — 1 in 339 Pig-butchering scam — 1 in 106 Extreme heat — 1 in 333 Climate change death — 1 in 204 Bat bite & rabies — 1 in 278 Mosquito-borne disease — 1 in 190 Food poisoning (global) — 1 in 317 Solar panel fire — 1 in 667 Untreated childhood scoliosis — 1 in 1,000 Child window fall — 1 in 855 Walker stair fall — 1 in 625 Infant fall — 1 in 500 Baby walker injury — 1 in 455 Maternal mortality — 1 in 272 Maternal age & birth defects — 1 in 200 Child death (<18) — 1 in 103 Caving career death — 1 in 167 EMS duty death — 1 in 909 Civilian war casualty — 1 in 499 Soldier in combat — 1 in 270 Student visa revocation — 1 in 263 Mining career death — 1 in 214 Gambling financial ruin — 1 in 159 Lightning home fire — 1 in 461 Wildfire home destruction — 1 in 120 Malaria (travel) — 1 in 10,000 Infection from shared drink — 1 in 10,000 Chagas disease — 1 in 8,475 Wild berry fox tapeworm — 1 in 8,475 Child nicotine-pouch ingestion — 1 in 7,937 Schistosomiasis death — 1 in 6,667 Sudden death (young adult) — 1 in 3,922 Unsafe wiring — 1 in 3,390 Sepsis from wound — 1 in 2,857 Anesthesia awareness — 1 in 2,500 Heat stroke (outdoor) — 1 in 1,905 House fire — 1 in 1,818 Rabies from dogs — 1 in 1,449 Drowning — 1 in 1,379 Shallow-water diving SCI — 1 in 1,111 Choking — 1 in 1,099 EVALI vaping hospitalization — 1 in 1,064 Betel nut cancer — 1 in 1,290 Blood clot (flight) — 1 in 4,651 Killing a cyclist — 1 in 3,937 Teen road-crash death — 1 in 3,030 Child rear bike seat — 1 in 2,500 Child without restraint — 1 in 2,000 Fatal police encounter — 1 in 4,739 Honor killing — 1 in 2,381 Intimate-partner homicide — 1 in 1,767 Hurricane — 1 in 8,929 Drought famine death — 1 in 6,536 Blizzard death — 1 in 4,367 Earthquake — 1 in 3,802 Listeria from deli meat — 1 in 6,061 Serious E. coli from fresh produce — 1 in 4,831 Food poisoning (US) — 1 in 1,862 Fish mercury — 1 in 1,695 Fish bone injury — 1 in 1,429 Phone/laptop battery fire — 1 in 4,545 Laundry pod ingestion — 1 in 6,494 Pool drowning — 1 in 5,882 Untreated infant hip dysplasia — 1 in 5,000 SIDS — 1 in 2,398 War (civilian) — 1 in 2,000 Flu brain swelling in a child (IAE/ANE) — 1 in 100,000 Fatal bee/wasp sting — 1 in 76,923 Locally-acquired dengue (continental US) — 1 in 66,667 Anesthesia death — 1 in 45,662 Dog hot car death — 1 in 41,667 Vibrio vulnificus wound infection — 1 in 32,051 Anaphylaxis — 1 in 27,548 Chiropractic neck manipulation — 1 in 16,667 CO poisoning — 1 in 14,006 Hepatitis A (travel) — 1 in 12,500 Skipping allergy immunotherapy — 1 in 11,111 Acrylamide & cancer — 1 in 16,667 Bus crash — 1 in 100,000 Plane crash — 1 in 58,824 Post-crash car fire — 1 in 25,000 Railroad crossing death — 1 in 20,576 Car submersion — 1 in 16,667 Child bike trailer — 1 in 14,286 Runway near-miss — 1 in 13,699 Acid attack — 1 in 94,340 Terrorism — 1 in 77,519 Child stranger abduction — 1 in 38,760 Stranger kidnapping — 1 in 35,211 Dowry death — 1 in 13,158 Accidental gun death — 1 in 11,299 Wildfire — 1 in 100,000 Tornado — 1 in 80,645 Tsunami — 1 in 52,632 Ocean drowning — 1 in 29,155 Flood — 1 in 20,202 Post-hurricane heat death — 1 in 20,000 Landslide death — 1 in 18,416 Supervolcano eruption — 1 in 12,376 Bee sting — 1 in 78,927 Swallowed bee/wasp — 1 in 29,155 Fatal scorpion sting — 1 in 26,110 Dog chocolate death — 1 in 13,889 Lead-tainted cinnamon pouch — 1 in 40,000 Plastic container leaching — 1 in 16,949 Infant car-seat asphyxia — 1 in 64,935 Bouncer chair fall — 1 in 60,606 Toddler choking — 1 in 50,000 Unsupervised infant choking — 1 in 50,000 Forward-facing toddler death — 1 in 26,738 Magnet ingestion — 1 in 12,048 Snorkeling death — 1 in 21,739 Pet in transport — 1 in 20,000 Death in ICE custody — 1 in 17,065 Landmine or UXO injury — 1 in 14,728 Vaccine reaction — 1 in 763,359 Aluminum & Alzheimer's — 1 in 169,492 Residential gas leak — 1 in 140,845 Child hot car death — 1 in 102,041 Glyphosate & cancer — 1 in 1,000,000 Teflon cookware cancer — 1 in 169,492 Roller coaster injury — 1 in 312,500 Ferry sinking — 1 in 133,333 Turbulence injury — 1 in 114,943 School shooting — 1 in 192,308 Mass shooting — 1 in 113,636 Avalanche — 1 in 210,526 Lightning — 1 in 209,205 Snake bite — 1 in 884,956 Spider bite — 1 in 833,333 Hippo attack — 1 in 564,972 Crocodile attack — 1 in 337,838 Dog bite — 1 in 142,045 Pesticide residue — 1 in 1,000,000 Dirty can illness — 1 in 200,000 PLA bioplastic harm — 1 in 169,492 Infant swing death — 1 in 714,286 Whole-grape choking — 1 in 625,000 Child blind cord strangulation — 1 in 416,667 Child plastic bag suffocation — 1 in 263,158 Button battery — 1 in 250,000 Inclined sleeper death — 1 in 238,095 Elevator/escalator death — 1 in 188,324 Japanese encephalitis (travel) — 1 in 2,000,000 Kid + front airbag — 1 in 10,000,000 Asteroid impact — 1 in 1,351,351 Banana spider eggs — 1 in 10,000,000 Shark attack — 1 in 5,681,818 Bear attack — 1 in 3,787,879 Wild berry poisoning — 1 in 2,222,222 Piranha attack — 1 in 135,135,135 Phone at gas pump — 1 in 1,000,000,000 Phone on plane — 1 in 1,000,000,000
Lottery jackpot 1 in 95,238

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