Ir para o conteúdo
Likelier

Arrependimento de agir vs. não agir

Comprometer-se com o emprego vitalício numa empresa japonesa vs. mudar de emprego a meio da carreira

Se você agir

Permanecer na mesma empresa a vida toda

25%

Se você não agir

Trocar de emprego no meio da carreira

60%

Porcentagem de quem mais tarde se arrepende de cada escolha. As barras e o registro completo aparecem abaixo.


Carreira

Última revisão 2026-05-13

Qualidade das evidências 3.88/5

Pontuação de revisão em oito dimensões segundo a grelha de qualidade . Cada dimensão pontuada de 1 a 5.

D1 Verificação das fontes
2/5
D2 Autoridade e independência das fontes
3/5
D3 Precisão da taxa de arrependimento
2/5
D4 Comparabilidade das fontes
5/5
D5 Padrão de Gilovich
5/5
D6 Qualidade da prosa
4/5
D7 Completude das ressalvas
5/5
D8 Qualidade da amostra
5/5
Média 3.88/5
A long single corridor with one door at the end versus a corridor branching into multiple lit doorways.
Dados proxy — não existe nenhuma pesquisa direta sobre arrependimento para esta decisão. As taxas são derivadas de pontuações de satisfação e dados de barreiras de acesso em vez de perguntas que perguntavam diretamente sobre arrependimento. Veja advertências abaixo.

Arrependimento por ação

Permanecer na mesma empresa a vida toda

25%

25% dos trabalhadores japoneses que consideraram mudar de emprego, mas permaneceram, se arrependem de não ter mudado

Trabalhadores japoneses que permaneceram em uma empresa durante toda a carreira

pesquisa retrospectiva, março de 2023

Arrependimento por omissão

Trocar de emprego no meio da carreira

60%

59,7% dos japoneses que trocaram de emprego recentemente dizem que se arrependeram ou sentiram que fracassaram após a mudança de emprego

Trabalhadores japoneses que mudaram de empregador na meia-idade

pesquisa retrospectiva, março de 2023

% se arrependem desta escolha

inaction dominates — A inacção domina — a maioria arrepende-se de não ter agido.

Decisões relacionadas

Decisões semanticamente semelhantes — mesmo terreno, compromissos diferentes.

career

Excesso de trabalho no Japão: ficar vs. sair

% se arrependem desta escolha

Equilibrado

Aproximadamente equilibrado

career

Mudança de carreira

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.5× maior

career

Deixar o emprego

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 2.2× maior

career

Japão: deixar a carreira no parto vs. continuar

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 1.9× maior

career

Requalificação tardia vs permanecer

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 2.4× maior

career

Buscar promoção vs aceitar papel

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.9× maior

careerDireta

Falar abertamente

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.4× maior

career

China: aceite o gaokao vs. repita o exame

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 2.2× maior

A Shikigaku survey of 1,000 Japanese employees who had changed jobs in the previous three years found that 59.7% reported regret or a sense of failure after joining their new employer — most often because the salary was lower than expected, or because the new organisation’s culture did not fit. On the other side, a VALUE WORKS survey of 301 working adults who had considered a job change but stayed found that only 25% regret not having changed — the other 75% said they do not regret staying, although half of that group report they are still reconsidering a move. Taken together, the surveys point to more regret from changing jobs than from staying. The Japan Institute for Labour Policy and Training (JILPT) 2022 analysis adds context but no direct regret rate: it finds mid-career job-changers report higher work engagement and self-evaluated performance than long-time employees, and that holding a professional qualification or licence correlates with better wages after a change — a plausible driver of the minority who regret not having moved.

The pattern here is inaction-dominates — regret runs higher among those who took the action (changed jobs) than among those who stayed, which is the modal configuration in Gilovich and Medvec’s temporal regret model only in the short term; over long horizons their model expects inaction regret to grow. The two figures are not strictly comparable: they come from different surveys, different years, and different populations, and Japanese job-change-regret polls vary widely (other surveys report closer to one-in-four job-changer regret, well below Shikigaku’s 59.7%). What is consistent is that a clear majority of stayers do not regret staying, while a majority of recent changers express at least some regret — frequently driven by pay that fell short of expectations rather than by a wholesale rejection of the move.

Both rates carry framing caveats: the surveys were run by recruiting-adjacent organisations, and the stayer “no regret” figure sits uneasily beside the finding that half of those same workers are still weighing a change. An earlier version of this entry attributed both rates to a single En Japan survey; that survey, per Nippon.com coverage, actually measured how overtime affects which company people pick when changing jobs and reported no regret data at all, so its figures have been replaced with the two direct-regret surveys above. The framing also assumes genuine access to lifetime employment, which is shrinking: Japan’s share of non-regular workers rose from 15% in 1984 to roughly 37% in 2023, so for a growing fraction of the workforce the choice this entry describes is no longer available.

Fontes: acção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

  1. [1] Mynavi Agent CANVAS (survey by VALUE WORKS) — 75% of those who considered a job change but did not change report no regret; half are reconsidering
    75% of those who considered a job change but did not change report no regret; half are reconsidering
    Estatística
    Of working adults who considered changing jobs but did not, 75% said they do not regret staying; the remaining 25% regret not having changed
    Trecho
    “「転職しなかったことを後悔しているか」という質問に対しては、75%の回答者が 「後悔していない」と回答しました。 ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2024-12-01
    Acessado
    2026-06-30
    Cálculo
    VALUE WORKS surveyed 301 Japanese working adults aged 20-60 who had considered a job change but did not change jobs (online via Lancers, 10-19 October 2024). To the question "Do you regret not having changed jobs?", 75% answered "I do not regret it"; the complementary 25% therefore regret having stayed. The 25% is used directly as the action-side regret rate (regret of staying rather than changing). This replaces a prior figure (45%) that had been misattributed to an En Japan overtime/company-choice survey which, per Nippon.com coverage (nippon.com/en/japan-data/h01676), measured only whether overtime affected company choice and reported no regret data. A material caveat: half (50%) of these stayers report they are still reconsidering a job change, so "no regret" coexists with ongoing dissatisfaction.
  2. [2] Japan Institute for Labour Policy and Training (JILPT) — JILPT Research Report No.215: Job Change, Skill Development, and Career Formation of Middle-Aged Workers
    JILPT Research Report No.215: Job Change, Skill Development, and Career Formation of Middle-Aged Workers
    Estatística
    Mid-career job-changers had higher average work engagement and self-evaluations than long-time employees, and holding a professional qualification or licence correlated with better wages after a job change
    Trecho
    “A comparative analysis between job changers and long-time employees shows that the former have a higher level of work engagement on average, higher self-evaluations of work performance, and a stronger tendency to have an "autonomous career perspective." Possession of a professional qualification or license was observed to have a statistically significant positive correlation or a trend toward a positive correlation with any of the results such as better wages, a higher job position, and the more effective use of skills and knowledge after job change. ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2022-03-31
    Acessado
    2026-07-01
    Cálculo
    This JILPT report provides material context for the action-side regret rather than a direct wage figure: it does not quantify a lifetime-vs-changer wage gap. Its comparative analysis finds mid-career job-changers report higher work engagement and self-evaluated performance than long-time employees, and that holding a professional qualification or licence correlates with better wages, a higher position, and greater use of skills after a job change — a plausible driver of the minority (25%) who regret not having changed. This source does not provide a direct regret rate and is supplementary to the VALUE WORKS direct-regret survey above. (An earlier version cited a generic JILPT reports directory and asserted a "15-20% higher pay by age 45" premium that appears in no JILPT report; that unsupported statistic has been removed.)

Fontes: inacção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

  1. [1] HRzine (reporting Shikigaku Co. survey) — 59.7% report regret or failure after changing jobs; 'salary lower than expected' most common reason — Shikigaku survey
    59.7% report regret or failure after changing jobs; 'salary lower than expected' most common reason — Shikigaku survey
    Estatística
    59.7% of recent job-changers said they had felt regret or that they had failed after joining their new employer, most often because salary was lower than expected
    Trecho
    “59.7%が転職先の企業に入社してから「後悔・失敗した」と思った経験があり、その理由として 「給与が思ったより低かった」「組織の風土が合わなかった」が上位だった。 ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2022-08-01
    Acessado
    2026-06-30
    Cálculo
    Shikigaku Co. surveyed 1,000 Japanese company employees aged 22-59 who had changed jobs within the previous 3 years (online questionnaire, 28-30 June 2022). 59.7% reported they had experienced regret or felt they had failed after joining their new employer; the most common reasons were "salary was lower than expected" (34.7%) and "organizational culture did not fit" (22.8%). The 59.7% is used directly as the inaction-side regret rate (regret of having changed jobs). This replaces a prior 26% figure that had been misattributed to an En Japan overtime/company-choice survey carrying no regret data (per Nippon.com coverage, nippon.com/en/japan-data/h01676).
  2. [2] Nippon.com (reporting Japan MHLW 'Survey on recent graduates changing jobs') — A Third of Japan's University Grads Leave Their First Job Within Three Years
    A Third of Japan's University Grads Leave Their First Job Within Three Years
    Estatística
    33.8% of Japanese university graduates and 37.9% of high school graduates who started work in 2022 left their first job within three years, per the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare
    Trecho
    “33.8% of those who graduated from university in March 2022 had left their first job within three years. [...] 37.9% among high school graduates. [...] Due in the part to the increase in job openings in 2021 that followed a drop at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate for recent graduates changing jobs announced in 2024 for 2021 graduates reached a 16-year high. ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2025-11-19
    Acessado
    2026-07-01
    Cálculo
    Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare "Survey on recent graduates changing jobs" (reported by Nippon.com) finds that roughly a third of the 2022 graduate cohort left their first employer within three years — 33.8% of university graduates and 37.9% of high school graduates — with turnover concentrated in smaller firms and in sectors such as accommodation and food service (55.4% for university graduates). This documents the underlying scale of mid-career/early-career job mobility in Japan that the changing side of this decision draws on. It does not provide a direct regret rate and is supplementary to the Shikigaku direct-regret survey above. (This replaces a prior source — a non-existent "JILPT Report on Youth Employment and Job Mobility in Japan 2022" citing a generic 403 directory URL and unverifiable 19%/8% one-year figures — with a real, government-sourced job-separation statistic.)

Ressalvas

The two regret rates come from two different surveys with different populations and samples, so the sides are not strictly like-for-like. The action-side 25% is the complement of a VALUE WORKS survey (n=301, Oct 2024) in which 75% of workers who considered but did not change jobs said they do not regret staying — though half of that same group report they are still reconsidering a change, so "no regret" coexists with ongoing dissatisfaction. The inaction-side 59.7% comes from a Shikigaku survey (n=1,000, June 2022) of people who changed jobs in the prior three years; its leading regret reason was "salary lower than expected," and both recruiting-adjacent sources may carry framing bias. Japanese job-change-regret figures vary widely across surveys (other polls report roughly one-in-four job-changer regret), so the 59.7% is at the higher end and should be read as one survey's finding, not a settled rate. A prior version of this entry attributed both rates (45%/26%) to an En Japan survey that, per Nippon.com coverage, actually measured how overtime affects company choice and reported no regret data at all; those figures have been replaced. The Japanese labour market is undergoing structural change: the share of non-regular workers grew from 15% in 1984 to approximately 37% in 2023, so genuine lifetime employment — and this entry's framing — applies to a shrinking fraction of the workforce. The JILPT sources provide material context but do not supply independent regret rates.

Dados brutos: /api/decisions.json

Vistos recentemente neste dispositivo