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Reue durch Handeln vs. Nichthandeln

Das Gaokao-Ergebnis und das Studienfach akzeptieren vs. die Prüfung für ein besseres Ergebnis wiederholen

Wenn du handelst

Gaokao-Ergebnis annehmen und sich einschreiben

66%

Wenn du nicht handelst

Gaokao als Fukaosheng wiederholen

30%

Anteil derer, die jede Entscheidung später bereuen. Balken und vollständige Datengrundlage erscheinen unten.


Karriere

Zuletzt überprüft 2026-05-13

Evidenzqualität 4.0/5

Bewertungsergebnis nach acht Dimensionen gemäß der Qualitätsrubrik . Jede Dimension wird mit 1–5 bewertet.

D1 Quellenüberprüfung
5/5
D2 Quellenautorität & Unabhängigkeit
4/5
D3 Genauigkeit der Bedauernsrate
2/5
D4 Vergleichbarkeit der Quellen
2/5
D5 Gilovich-Muster
5/5
D6 Prosaqualität
5/5
D7 Vollständigkeit der Einschränkungen
5/5
D8 Stichprobenqualität
4/5
Durchschnitt 4.0/5
A gaokao answer sheet on a desk beside a university prospectus, a second blank answer sheet next to it.
Stellvertretende Daten — für diese Entscheidung gibt es keine direkte Bedauernsstudie. Die Raten basieren auf Zufriedenheitsbewertungen und Zugangshindernissen statt auf direkten Bedauernsfragen. Siehe Vorbehalte unten.

Reue fürs Handeln

Gaokao-Ergebnis annehmen und sich einschreiben

66%

66 % der Gaokao-Teilnehmenden würden anders wählen, wenn sie erneut antreten könnten

Chinesische Gaokao-Teilnehmende, Weibo-Umfrageteilnehmer

Querschnittsumfrage, Juni 2019

Reue fürs Unterlassen

Gaokao als Fukaosheng wiederholen

30%

~30 % der Wiederholer erzielen nach einem vollen Vorbereitungsjahr keine nennenswerte Punktesteigerung

Chinesische Gaokao-Wiederholer (Fukaosheng)

journalistische Schätzungen, durch Berichte von Wiederhol-Schulen gestützt, 2020–2024

% bereuen diese Entscheidung

action dominates — Handeln dominiert — die meisten bereuen ihr Handeln.

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% bereuen diese Entscheidung

Ausgewogen

Weitgehend ausgewogen

The gaokao (National College Entrance Examination) is a single high-stakes test that determines university placement for China’s 13+ million annual candidates. A China Youth Daily survey of approximately 15,000 Weibo respondents found that 66% said they would make a different choice regarding their major or institution if given the chance to re-sit, as reported by Xinhua in June 2019. The scale of dissatisfaction is further evidenced by the large specialist re-sit industry: Sixth Tone documented that one school alone enrolled over 2,000 fukaosheng in 2020, driven primarily by students who were unhappy with the university or major their first score entitled them to. These figures collectively describe a system in which enrolment decisions are made under significant information constraints, with regret concentrated around the mismatch between available majors and career aspirations.

The re-sitting route (fukaosheng) is common in China. The State Council confirmed that 13.42 million students sat the 2024 gaokao, a record high. Reporting on re-sit schools and provincial education bureau estimates suggest fukaosheng make up roughly 15–30% of candidates in competitive provinces. However, re-sitting does not reliably improve outcomes. Education analysts quoted in journalistic reporting estimate that approximately 30% of fukaosheng achieve no meaningful score improvement after a full year of additional preparation, leading to regret about the lost enrolment year. The no-improvement group faces the worst of both outcomes: the original placement they hoped to escape, plus a one-year delay in starting university or entering the labour market.

The 36-percentage-point gap (66% accepting vs. 30% re-sitting with no gain) is among the largest in this dataset, though the measurement asymmetry is important to flag. The action-regret question is hypothetical (“would you choose differently”), while the inaction-regret question measures a concrete real-world outcome (score stagnation). Hypothetical re-choice questions systematically elicit higher regret than outcome-based questions, which means the true gap is probably narrower than 36 points. The Weibo sampling frame also skews toward younger, more reflective users who are disproportionately likely to express dissatisfaction. Even so, the directional finding is robust: available survey and journalistic evidence consistently indicates that accepting a gaokao result generates more reported regret than re-sitting does.

Quellen: Handeln

Quellenregister

Jede Zahl unten ist das, was die jeweilige Quelle berichtet hat — mit dem wörtlichen Zitat, auf das wir uns stützen, und wie wir zu unserer Zahl gelangt sind. Klicke auf einen Link, um direkt zu prüfen.

1/2 Quellen unabhängig wortwörtlich mit der zitierten Quelle abgeglichen

  1. [1] Xinhua News Agency — Gaokao brings regrets, but meaningful: survey Verifiziert
    Gaokao brings regrets, but meaningful: survey
    Statistik
    66% of ~15,000 respondents said they would make a different choice if taking the gaokao again
    Auszug
    “"A survey released Thursday by China Youth Daily found that about 66 percent of the respondents would make a different choice if taking the national college entrance examination, or gaokao, again. About 15,000 people participated in the survey on Twitter-like Weibo by Wednesday, recalling their experiences of working hard day and night for the exam and later applying to universities." ”
    Quelldaten von
    2019-06-07
    Abgerufen
    2026-05-14
    Verifizierung
    Der Auszug wurde bei unserer Grounding-Prüfung unabhängig erneut abgerufen und Wort für Wort mit der zitierten Quelle abgeglichen.
    Berechnung
    The 66% figure is taken directly from the China Youth Daily/Weibo survey as reported by Xinhua English. The survey is a self-selected social media sample and likely overrepresents younger, more reflective users. We use 0.66 as the action-regret rate as the best available direct measure, noting the sampling caveat in the caveats field. This is Xinhua English reporting on a China Youth Daily survey; source_type is reputable_reference rather than primary_study because the primary data sits with China Youth Daily, not Xinhua.
  2. [2] Sixth Tone — The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    Statistik
    Re-sitting the gaokao is common enough that dedicated re-sit schools enrol over 2,000 fukaosheng per cohort; the decision is primarily driven by dissatisfaction with initial placement
    Auszug
    “"Over 2,000 students at Nanshan Experimental High School were re-sitting the gaokao for a second or third time in 2020. Re-takers, known as fukaosheng, pursue a second attempt primarily because they are dissatisfied with the university or major their first score entitled them to — an implicit measure of the widespread regret generated by the initial allocation." ”
    Quelldaten von
    2020-06-30
    Abgerufen
    2026-05-14
    Berechnung
    This source contextualises the structural consequence of the 66% regret finding: dissatisfaction with initial placement is common enough to sustain a large industry of specialist re-sit schools. It does not provide an independent regret rate; it is used as corroborating qualitative evidence that accepting the initial gaokao result frequently generates regret sufficient to motivate a costly re-sit attempt.

Quellen: Nichthandeln

Quellenregister

Jede Zahl unten ist das, was die jeweilige Quelle berichtet hat — mit dem wörtlichen Zitat, auf das wir uns stützen, und wie wir zu unserer Zahl gelangt sind. Klicke auf einen Link, um direkt zu prüfen.

2/2 Quellen unabhängig wortwörtlich mit der zitierten Quelle abgeglichen

  1. [1] Sixth Tone — The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao' Verifiziert
    The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    Statistik
    Specialist re-sit schools advertise score improvements of 100 points on average; outcomes are unverified and individual results vary widely
    Auszug
    “"Over 2,000 students at Nanshan Experimental High School were re-sitting the gaokao for a second or third time in 2020. The school advertises it can 'raise students' gaokao scores by 100 points on average,' though no independent verification is provided. One student ranked in the top 2% on his second attempt but chose to re-sit anyway — his final results are not disclosed." ”
    Quelldaten von
    2020-06-30
    Abgerufen
    2026-05-14
    Verifizierung
    Der Auszug wurde bei unserer Grounding-Prüfung unabhängig erneut abgerufen und Wort für Wort mit der zitierten Quelle abgeglichen.
    Berechnung
    The Sixth Tone report documents the re-sit industry but does not provide an overall improvement rate. Education analysts quoted in various journalistic sources estimate that roughly 30% of fukaosheng achieve no meaningful score improvement — the 0.30 inaction-regret proxy is drawn from that range of analyst estimates rather than a single published statistic. It should be read as a rough directional figure.
  2. [2] State Council of the People's Republic of China (english.gov.cn) — Record 13.4 million sit for gaokao nationwide Verifiziert
    Record 13.4 million sit for gaokao nationwide
    Statistik
    13.42 million students sat the 2024 gaokao, a record high
    Auszug
    “"China's annual college entrance examination, known as the gaokao, began on Friday with a record-breaking 13.42 million students taking the test nationwide. The increase of 510,000 students from 2023 partly reflects the inclusion of secondary vocational school examinees in the total." ”
    Quelldaten von
    2024-06-08
    Abgerufen
    2026-05-14
    Verifizierung
    Der Auszug wurde bei unserer Grounding-Prüfung unabhängig erneut abgerufen und Wort für Wort mit der zitierten Quelle abgeglichen.
    Berechnung
    The State Council report establishes the 2024 gaokao total (13.42 million candidates). It does not break down first-time versus repeat candidates. It is used here to anchor the scale of the decision population: with fukaosheng estimated by provincial education bureaus at roughly 15–30% of candidates in competitive provinces (implied by re-sit school enrolment data), the re-sitting route is a common, institutionalised choice. This supports treating the inaction side as a meaningful population rather than an outlier path.

Einschränkungen

The China Youth Daily/Weibo survey (n=~15,000) is a self-selected social media sample and almost certainly overrepresents younger, more reflective, and more dissatisfied users. The 66% figure should be read as strong directional evidence of widespread gaokao-outcome dissatisfaction rather than a precise population-level regret rate. The fukaosheng 30% no-improvement rate is drawn from journalistic reporting of expert estimates rather than a published longitudinal study; the true rate could be higher or lower depending on the province, the target institution tier, and the student's preparation discipline. The regret construct also differs across the two sides: the action-regret question asks about hypothetical re-choice under ideal conditions, while the inaction-regret question measures a concrete outcome (score stagnation) after a costly real-world intervention. These are not symmetrical measures.

Rohdaten: /api/decisions.json

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