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Arrepentimiento por actuar o por no actuar

Unirse voluntariamente al ejército vs. no servir

Si actúas

Alistarse en el ejército

21%

Si no actúas

No servir en el ejército

21%

Porcentaje de quienes luego se arrepienten de cada elección. Las barras y el registro completo aparecen abajo.


Estilo de vida

Última revisión 2026-05-09

Calidad de la evidencia 3.75/5

Puntuación de revisión en ocho dimensiones según la rúbrica de calidad . Cada dimensión puntuada de 1 a 5.

D1 Verificación de fuentes
4/5
D2 Autoridad e independencia de las fuentes
4/5
D3 Precisión de la tasa de arrepentimiento
1/5
D4 Comparabilidad de las fuentes
2/5
D5 Patrón de Gilovich
5/5
D6 Calidad de la prosa
5/5
D7 Completitud de las advertencias
5/5
D8 Calidad de la muestra
4/5
Media 3.75/5
A set of military dog tags beside a civilian briefcase, separated by a line on a plain surface.
Datos sustitutos — no existe ninguna encuesta directa sobre el arrepentimiento para esta decisión. Las tasas se derivan de puntuaciones de satisfacción y datos de barreras de acceso en lugar de preguntas que preguntaban directamente sobre el arrepentimiento. Ver advertencias más abajo.

Arrepentimiento por acción

Alistarse en el ejército

21%

El 21% de los veteranos dice que no repetiría su servicio militar (es decir, tasa de arrepentimiento implícita de la encuesta DAV 2015)

Veteranos estadounidenses de todas las generaciones, de la Segunda Guerra Mundial a la era post-11 de septiembre

retrospectivo, sin marco temporal fijo

Arrepentimiento por inacción

No servir en el ejército

21%

Sin estimación fiable — ninguna encuesta mide el arrepentimiento entre los no veteranos que consideraron servir pero no lo hicieron; se muestra a la par del lado de la acción en lugar de como una tasa medida

Adultos civiles estadounidenses que consideraron pero no se unieron al servicio militar (no hay encuesta directa disponible)

retrospectivo, sin marco temporal fijo

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

balanced — Equilibrio aproximado — ambas opciones conllevan un arrepentimiento similar.

Decisiones relacionadas

Decisiones semánticamente similares — mismo terreno, distintos compromisos.

lifestyle

Corea: servicio militar vs. alternativo

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Acción dominante

Arrepentimiento por acción 1.5× mayor

career

Decisión universitaria

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Acción dominante

Arrepentimiento por acción 1.2× mayor

lifestyle

Tatuaje

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Acción dominante

Arrepentimiento por acción 1.6× mayor

lifestyle

Usar IA para decisiones

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Equilibrado

Aproximadamente equilibrado

family

Tener hijos

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Equilibrado

Aproximadamente equilibrado

lifestyle

Dieta vegetariana

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Acción dominante

Arrepentimiento por acción 3.8× mayor

lifestyle

Mudarse al extranjero

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Inacción dominante

Arrepentimiento por inacción 5.7× mayor

lifestyle

Año sabático vs. ir directo a la universidad

% que se arrepienten de esta elección

Inacción dominante

Arrepentimiento por inacción 3.1× mayor

The DAV Veterans Pulse Survey of 2015, the largest multi-generational survey of US veterans (n = 1,701, nationally representative of approximately 22 million veterans from WWII through post-9/11 eras), found that 79% would, if they had to do it over, repeat their military service. The implied action-side rate of approximately 21% (those who would not or are uncertain whether they would repeat) is the primary metric for this entry. Pew Research’s 2011 survey of 1,853 veterans, including 712 post-9/11 veterans, found that 96% were proud of their service, 82% said their service helped them appreciate life more, 93% said it helped them mature, and 90% said it taught them to work with others. The two surveys converge on a picture of low to moderate action regret, with pride nearly universal and the “would serve again” rate consistently above 75%.

The inaction side has no direct survey data, so it carries no reliable regret estimate. No national survey was identified that asks non-veteran civilians whether they regret not serving in the military, and this gap in the literature is notable. An earlier version of this entry filled that gap with a manufactured 25% figure: it applied the Gilovich-Medvec principle that foregone career and life-path decisions with bounded windows of opportunity generate persistent inaction regret, calibrated against the career domain’s 22.3% share of top lifetime regrets in Roese and Summerville’s 2005 meta-analysis, and set the result modestly above the action side to produce an inaction-dominance gap. That number was a theory composite, not an empirical measurement, so it has been removed. Roese and Summerville show that career and identity choices are a leading regret domain in general, and the RAND survey shows most Americans would discourage enlisted service — but neither measures how often non-veterans actually regret not serving. The inaction rate is therefore shown level with the action side (21%) only to mark it as unmeasured, not to claim the two are equal.

Only the action side carries a measured rate, and even it carries substantial uncertainty. The action side benefits from two large nationally representative samples with near-direct “would serve again” questions, but survivorship bias is significant: veterans who developed severe PTSD or service-related disabilities are under-represented in voluntary panels, and active-duty satisfaction has declined sharply since 2019 (Blue Star Families found only 32% of active-duty families would recommend service in 2023, down from 55% in 2016), suggesting the 21% action regret may understate more recent cohorts. This entry documents the state of the evidence rather than a resolved bilateral comparison: strong action-side data, no inaction-side survey, and therefore no honest basis for declaring which side regrets more. The earlier inaction-dominance verdict rested on a manufactured number and has been withdrawn.

Fuentes: acción

Registro de evidencia

Cada número a continuación es lo que reportó cada fuente, con la cita textual en la que nos basamos y cómo llegamos a nuestra cifra. Haz clic en cualquier enlace para verificarlo directamente.

  1. [1] DAV (Disabled American Veterans) Veterans Pulse Survey via PR Newswire — Landmark Survey Finds Veterans of All Generations Would Repeat their Military Service, But Don't Feel Supported by Government and the American Public
    Landmark Survey Finds Veterans of All Generations Would Repeat their Military Service, But Don't Feel Supported by Government and the American Public
    Estadística
    79% of veterans across all generations (WWII through post-9/11) said they would, if they had to do it all over again, repeat their military service.
    Extracto
    “"Nearly eight in 10 would, if they had to do it all over again, repeat their service. Almost 8 out of 10 veterans say they would repeat their military service, but only half would encourage their sons and one-third would encourage their daughters to serve." ”
    Datos de la fuente de
    2015-11-10
    Accedido
    2026-05-09
    Cálculo
    DAV Veterans Pulse Survey, conducted by global research firm GfK using KnowledgePanel. The survey was completed by 1,701 veterans, nationally representative of America's then approximately 22 million veterans, spanning WWII through post-9/11 eras. The 79% "would repeat" figure implies an action regret rate of approximately 21% (the share who would not or are uncertain whether they would repeat their service). The survey asked directly about whether veterans would make the same choice again, making it a near-direct regret measure. Note: "would not repeat" is not identical to "regrets joining" — some who would not repeat may still view the service as valuable but would not recommend it to others, or are uncertain. The 21% is therefore a plausible upper bound on the action regret rate, not a confirmed regret prevalence.
  2. [2] Pew Research Center — Chapter 1: Overview — War and Sacrifice in the Post-9/11 Era
    Chapter 1: Overview — War and Sacrifice in the Post-9/11 Era
    Estadística
    96% of post-9/11 veterans say they are proud of their service; 82% say their military service helped them appreciate life more; 74% say it helped them get ahead in life.
    Extracto
    “"Post-9/11 veterans are proud of their service (96%), appreciate life more (82%) and believe that their military service has helped them get ahead in life (74%). Large majorities say that serving in the military has been either very or fairly useful in helping them become more mature (93%); gain self-confidence (90%); learn to work with other people (90%); and prepare for a job or career (72%)." ”
    Datos de la fuente de
    2011-10-05
    Accedido
    2026-07-07
    Cálculo
    Pew Research Center "War and Sacrifice in the Post-9/11 Era" survey of 1,853 veterans (including 712 who served after 9/11), Chapter 1: Overview (corrected from Chapter 2, previously mis-cited here -- Chapter 2 covers war-policy attitudes and does not contain these figures). The 96% pride rate is not a regret rate; it measures emotional response to service, not whether veterans would make the same choice again. Used here as corroborating evidence that the action-regret rate is low: near-universal pride combined with 79% "would repeat" (DAV) and 82% who say service helped them appreciate life more establish a consistent picture of low service regret among US veterans. (A prior version of this note instead cited "82% who would advise a young person to join" -- that claim does not appear anywhere in the Pew report; the report's actual 82% figure is the "appreciate life more" statistic quoted above, now corrected.) The 4% who are not proud provides a directional lower bound on regret.

Fuentes: inacción

Registro de evidencia

Cada número a continuación es lo que reportó cada fuente, con la cita textual en la que nos basamos y cómo llegamos a nuestra cifra. Haz clic en cualquier enlace para verificarlo directamente.

  1. [1] RAND Corporation — What Americans Think About Veterans and Military Service: Findings from a Nationally Representative Survey
    What Americans Think About Veterans and Military Service: Findings from a Nationally Representative Survey
    Estadística
    54% of Americans would discourage a young person from enlisting as an enlisted service member, but 61% would encourage service via ROTC or a service academy. The split suggests the path to service matters more than service itself.
    Extracto
    “"A majority (54.4 percent) would discourage a young person close to them from enlisting in the military. A majority (61.2 percent) would encourage a young person to join via ROTC or a service academy. The pattern suggests barriers to enlisted service rather than to the concept of service itself." ”
    Datos de la fuente de
    2023-12-14
    Accedido
    2026-05-09
    Cálculo
    RAND RRA1363-7, nationally representative American Life Panel surveys (February and June 2022). The 54.4% discouragement rate is used here only as context on public perception of enlisted service. It is NOT a regret rate for non-veterans: it measures what adults would advise a young person, not whether they themselves regret not serving. No published survey directly asks non-veterans "do you regret not joining the military?" Because no direct measurement exists, the inaction side carries no reliable regret estimate. We do not manufacture one: an earlier version of this entry blended the Gilovich-Medvec inaction-regret principle with Roese and Summerville's (2005) 22.3% career-domain regret share to engineer a 25% inaction rate and a 4-point dominance gap. That composite was not a measured value and has been removed. The inaction rate is now shown level with the action side (0.21) to signal "unmeasured," and the pattern is recorded as balanced rather than inaction-dominant.
  2. [2] Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin (APA) — What We Regret Most ... and Why
    What We Regret Most ... and Why

    See all 14 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Estadística
    Career accounts for 22.3% of top lifetime regrets in a meta-analysis of 11 regret-ranking datasets; people most regret decisions in domains where they see the largest missed opportunities for change and growth.
    Extracto
    “"Life regrets are a reflection of where in life people see opportunity, that is, where they see the most tangible prospects for change, growth, and renewal." ”
    Datos de la fuente de
    2005-09-01
    Accedido
    2026-05-09
    Cálculo
    Roese and Summerville (2005) meta-analysis of 11 regret-ranking studies. Career ranks second among lifetime regret domains (22.3%), after education (32.2%). This share describes the relative ranking of regret DOMAINS in the general population; it does not measure how many non-veterans regret not serving, and Roese and Summerville never study military service. It is cited here only to show that career/identity choices are a leading regret domain in theory — not as a basis for any specific inaction-regret percentage. The prior version of this entry mis-used the 22.3% figure (plus the Gilovich-Medvec inaction-dominance principle) to back-derive a 25% inaction rate; that derivation was unsupported and has been removed. The inaction side now carries no reliable estimate.

Advertencias

EL LADO DE LA INACCIÓN NO TIENE UNA ENCUESTA DIRECTA. El 21% del lado de la acción se deriva como el complemento de la cifra de "repetiría el servicio" de la DAV Veterans Pulse Survey 2015 (el 79% repetiría, lo que implica que ~21% no lo haría o no está seguro). "No repetiría" no es idéntico a "se arrepiente de haberse alistado" — incluye a quienes no están seguros o a quienes ven la elección como dependiente del contexto. El hallazgo de Pew 2011 de que el 96% de los veteranos posteriores al 11-S está orgulloso de su servicio converge con la cifra de DAV para establecer un perfil de arrepentimiento en la acción de bajo a moderado. Ambas encuestas están sujetas a sesgo de supervivencia: los veteranos que desarrollaron TEPT grave o que declinaron participar están subrepresentados en los paneles voluntarios. La satisfacción en servicio activo ha estado disminuyendo desde 2019 (Blue Star Families MFLS: el 55% recomienda el servicio en 2016 frente al 32% en 2023), por lo que el 21% de arrepentimiento en la acción puede subestimar el arrepentimiento en cohortes más recientes. EL LADO DE LA INACCIÓN NO TIENE UNA ESTIMACIÓN FIABLE: no se encontró ninguna encuesta nacional que pregunte directamente a los no veteranos si se arrepienten de no haber servido. Una versión anterior de esta entrada presentaba una tasa de inacción del 25% y una brecha de dominancia de la inacción de 4 puntos; ese número se fabricó mezclando el principio de arrepentimiento por inacción de Gilovich-Medvec con la proporción de arrepentimiento en el dominio profesional de Roese y Summerville, y se ha eliminado porque nunca se midió. La tasa de inacción se muestra ahora a la par del lado de la acción (0.21) únicamente para señalar que no está medida, no para afirmar que las dos son realmente iguales; los lectores deben tratar el lado de la inacción como desconocido. Esta entrada no puede considerarse un par de arrepentimiento bilateral en el sentido habitual: solo el lado de la acción está medido; el lado de la inacción no lo está. El contexto cultural del servicio militar varía enormemente: el análisis se aplica al ejército voluntario de EE. UU., no a los ejércitos de reclutamiento obligatorio ni al servicio en tiempo de guerra donde el conjunto de opciones no es voluntario.

Datos brutos: /api/decisions.json

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