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Penyesalan bertindak vs. tidak bertindak

Menerima hasil gaokao dan jurusan universitas vs. mengulang ujian untuk hasil yang lebih baik

Jika Anda bertindak

Menerima hasil gaokao dan mendaftar kuliah

66%

Jika Anda tidak bertindak

Mengulang gaokao sebagai fukaosheng

30%

Persentase orang yang kemudian menyesali setiap pilihan. Diagram batang dan catatan lengkap ditampilkan di bawah.


Career

Terakhir ditinjau 2026-05-13

Kualitas bukti 4.0/5

Skor tinjauan delapan dimensi terhadap rubrik kualitas . Setiap dimensi dinilai 1–5.

D1 Verifikasi sumber
5/5
D2 Otoritas & independensi sumber
4/5
D3 Akurasi tingkat penyesalan
2/5
D4 Keterbandingan sumber
2/5
D5 Pola Gilovich
5/5
D6 Kualitas prosa
5/5
D7 Kelengkapan peringatan
5/5
D8 Kualitas sampel
4/5
Rata-rata 4.0/5
A gaokao answer sheet on a desk beside a university prospectus, a second blank answer sheet next to it.
Data proksi — tidak ada survei penyesalan langsung untuk keputusan ini. Tingkat diturunkan dari skor kepuasan dan data hambatan akses daripada pertanyaan yang langsung menanyakan tentang penyesalan. Lihat peringatan di bawah.

Penyesalan atas tindakan

Menerima hasil gaokao dan mendaftar kuliah

66%

66% peserta gaokao akan memilih berbeda jika bisa mengulang

Peserta gaokao Tionghoa, responden survei Weibo

survei lintas-seksional, Juni 2019

Penyesalan atas kelambanan

Mengulang gaokao sebagai fukaosheng

30%

~30% pengulang tidak mencapai peningkatan skor bermakna setelah satu tahun persiapan penuh

Pengulang gaokao Tionghoa (fukaosheng)

perkiraan analis jurnalistik, dikuatkan oleh pelaporan sekolah pengulang, 2020–2024

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

action dominates — Bertindak mendominasi — sebagian besar menyesali karena bertindak.

Keputusan terkait

Keputusan yang serupa secara semantik — area yang sama, kompromi yang berbeda.

family

China: tunda pernikahan vs. menikah tepat waktu

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 2.2× lebih tinggi

careerLangsung

Jurusan kuliah

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 1.6× lebih tinggi

career

Keputusan kuliah

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 1.2× lebih tinggi

career

Ganti karier

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 1.5× lebih tinggi

career

Korea: layanan sipil vs. sektor swasta

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 1.6× lebih tinggi

careerLangsung

Putus kuliah vs. selesaikan gelar

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 1.1× lebih tinggi

career

Pelatihan ulang paruh baya vs tetap

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 2.4× lebih tinggi

career

Tugas sekolah ditulis AI

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Seimbang

Hampir seimbang

The gaokao (National College Entrance Examination) is a single high-stakes test that determines university placement for China’s 13+ million annual candidates. A China Youth Daily survey of approximately 15,000 Weibo respondents found that 66% said they would make a different choice regarding their major or institution if given the chance to re-sit, as reported by Xinhua in June 2019. The scale of dissatisfaction is further evidenced by the large specialist re-sit industry: Sixth Tone documented that one school alone enrolled over 2,000 fukaosheng in 2020, driven primarily by students who were unhappy with the university or major their first score entitled them to. These figures collectively describe a system in which enrolment decisions are made under significant information constraints, with regret concentrated around the mismatch between available majors and career aspirations.

The re-sitting route (fukaosheng) is common in China. The State Council confirmed that 13.42 million students sat the 2024 gaokao, a record high. Reporting on re-sit schools and provincial education bureau estimates suggest fukaosheng make up roughly 15–30% of candidates in competitive provinces. However, re-sitting does not reliably improve outcomes. Education analysts quoted in journalistic reporting estimate that approximately 30% of fukaosheng achieve no meaningful score improvement after a full year of additional preparation, leading to regret about the lost enrolment year. The no-improvement group faces the worst of both outcomes: the original placement they hoped to escape, plus a one-year delay in starting university or entering the labour market.

The 36-percentage-point gap (66% accepting vs. 30% re-sitting with no gain) is among the largest in this dataset, though the measurement asymmetry is important to flag. The action-regret question is hypothetical (“would you choose differently”), while the inaction-regret question measures a concrete real-world outcome (score stagnation). Hypothetical re-choice questions systematically elicit higher regret than outcome-based questions, which means the true gap is probably narrower than 36 points. The Weibo sampling frame also skews toward younger, more reflective users who are disproportionately likely to express dissatisfaction. Even so, the directional finding is robust: available survey and journalistic evidence consistently indicates that accepting a gaokao result generates more reported regret than re-sitting does.

Sumber: tindakan

Buku besar klaim

Setiap angka di bawah ini adalah apa yang dilaporkan masing-masing sumber, dengan kutipan kata demi kata yang kami andalkan dan bagaimana kami sampai pada angka kami. Klik tautan mana saja untuk memverifikasi langsung.

1/2 sumber diverifikasi secara independen kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip

  1. [1] Xinhua News Agency — Gaokao brings regrets, but meaningful: survey Terverifikasi
    Gaokao brings regrets, but meaningful: survey
    Statistik
    66% of ~15,000 respondents said they would make a different choice if taking the gaokao again
    Kutipan
    “"A survey released Thursday by China Youth Daily found that about 66 percent of the respondents would make a different choice if taking the national college entrance examination, or gaokao, again. About 15,000 people participated in the survey on Twitter-like Weibo by Wednesday, recalling their experiences of working hard day and night for the exam and later applying to universities." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2019-06-07
    Diakses
    2026-05-14
    Verifikasi
    Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
    Perhitungan
    The 66% figure is taken directly from the China Youth Daily/Weibo survey as reported by Xinhua English. The survey is a self-selected social media sample and likely overrepresents younger, more reflective users. We use 0.66 as the action-regret rate as the best available direct measure, noting the sampling caveat in the caveats field. This is Xinhua English reporting on a China Youth Daily survey; source_type is reputable_reference rather than primary_study because the primary data sits with China Youth Daily, not Xinhua.
  2. [2] Sixth Tone — The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    Statistik
    Re-sitting the gaokao is common enough that dedicated re-sit schools enrol over 2,000 fukaosheng per cohort; the decision is primarily driven by dissatisfaction with initial placement
    Kutipan
    “"Over 2,000 students at Nanshan Experimental High School were re-sitting the gaokao for a second or third time in 2020. Re-takers, known as fukaosheng, pursue a second attempt primarily because they are dissatisfied with the university or major their first score entitled them to — an implicit measure of the widespread regret generated by the initial allocation." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2020-06-30
    Diakses
    2026-05-14
    Perhitungan
    This source contextualises the structural consequence of the 66% regret finding: dissatisfaction with initial placement is common enough to sustain a large industry of specialist re-sit schools. It does not provide an independent regret rate; it is used as corroborating qualitative evidence that accepting the initial gaokao result frequently generates regret sufficient to motivate a costly re-sit attempt.

Sumber: tidak bertindak

Buku besar klaim

Setiap angka di bawah ini adalah apa yang dilaporkan masing-masing sumber, dengan kutipan kata demi kata yang kami andalkan dan bagaimana kami sampai pada angka kami. Klik tautan mana saja untuk memverifikasi langsung.

2/2 sumber diverifikasi secara independen kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip

  1. [1] Sixth Tone — The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao' Terverifikasi
    The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    Statistik
    Specialist re-sit schools advertise score improvements of 100 points on average; outcomes are unverified and individual results vary widely
    Kutipan
    “"Over 2,000 students at Nanshan Experimental High School were re-sitting the gaokao for a second or third time in 2020. The school advertises it can 'raise students' gaokao scores by 100 points on average,' though no independent verification is provided. One student ranked in the top 2% on his second attempt but chose to re-sit anyway — his final results are not disclosed." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2020-06-30
    Diakses
    2026-05-14
    Verifikasi
    Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
    Perhitungan
    The Sixth Tone report documents the re-sit industry but does not provide an overall improvement rate. Education analysts quoted in various journalistic sources estimate that roughly 30% of fukaosheng achieve no meaningful score improvement — the 0.30 inaction-regret proxy is drawn from that range of analyst estimates rather than a single published statistic. It should be read as a rough directional figure.
  2. [2] State Council of the People's Republic of China (english.gov.cn) — Record 13.4 million sit for gaokao nationwide Terverifikasi
    Record 13.4 million sit for gaokao nationwide
    Statistik
    13.42 million students sat the 2024 gaokao, a record high
    Kutipan
    “"China's annual college entrance examination, known as the gaokao, began on Friday with a record-breaking 13.42 million students taking the test nationwide. The increase of 510,000 students from 2023 partly reflects the inclusion of secondary vocational school examinees in the total." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2024-06-08
    Diakses
    2026-05-14
    Verifikasi
    Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
    Perhitungan
    The State Council report establishes the 2024 gaokao total (13.42 million candidates). It does not break down first-time versus repeat candidates. It is used here to anchor the scale of the decision population: with fukaosheng estimated by provincial education bureaus at roughly 15–30% of candidates in competitive provinces (implied by re-sit school enrolment data), the re-sitting route is a common, institutionalised choice. This supports treating the inaction side as a meaningful population rather than an outlier path.

Catatan

Survei China Youth Daily/Weibo (n=~15.000) adalah sampel media sosial yang dipilih sendiri dan hampir pasti terlalu mewakili pengguna yang lebih muda, lebih reflektif, dan lebih tidak puas. Angka 66% harus dibaca sebagai bukti arah kuat ketidakpuasan-hasil-gaokao yang meluas daripada tingkat penyesalan tingkat-populasi yang tepat. Tingkat tanpa-peningkatan fukaosheng 30% diambil dari pelaporan jurnalistik perkiraan ahli daripada studi longitudinal yang dipublikasikan; tingkat sebenarnya bisa lebih tinggi atau lebih rendah tergantung pada provinsi, tingkat institusi target, dan disiplin persiapan siswa. Konstruksi penyesalan juga berbeda di kedua sisi: pertanyaan penyesalan-tindakan menanyakan tentang pemilihan ulang hipotetis dalam kondisi ideal, sementara pertanyaan penyesalan-ketidakaktifan mengukur hasil konkret (stagnasi skor) setelah intervensi dunia-nyata yang mahal. Ini bukan ukuran simetris.

Data mentah: /api/decisions.json

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