Vai al contenuto
Likelier

Rimpianto per l’azione vs. l’inazione

Svolgere il servizio militare obbligatorio standard della Corea del Sud vs. richiedere un servizio civile alternativo

Se agisci

Svolgere il servizio militare obbligatorio standard (18-21 mesi)

44%

Se non agisci

Chiedere il servizio civile alternativo (36 mesi)

29%

Percentuale di chi poi rimpiange ciascuna scelta. Le barre e il registro completo dei dati compaiono sotto.


Stile di vita

Ultima revisione 2026-05-13

Qualità delle prove 3.38/5

Punteggio di revisione su otto dimensioni rispetto alla griglia di qualità . Ogni dimensione valutata da 1 a 5.

D1 Verifica delle fonti
2/5
D2 Autorità e indipendenza delle fonti
3/5
D3 Precisione del tasso di rimpianto
3/5
D4 Comparabilità delle fonti
2/5
D5 Schema di Gilovich
5/5
D6 Qualità della prosa
4/5
D7 Completezza degli avvertimenti
5/5
D8 Qualità del campione
3/5
Media 3.38/5
A military cap and a civilian service badge side by side on a plain surface, representing two service paths.
Dati proxy — non esiste alcun sondaggio diretto sul rimpianto per questa decisione. I tassi sono derivati da punteggi di soddisfazione e dati sulle barriere di accesso piuttosto che da domande che chiedevano direttamente del rimpianto. Vedi avvertenze di seguito.

Rimpianto per azione

Svolgere il servizio militare obbligatorio standard (18-21 mesi)

44%

Il 44% degli adulti coreani intervistati afferma che il servizio militare ha più svantaggi che vantaggi (proxy: valutazione netta degli svantaggi, non una domanda diretta sul rimpianto)

Uomini sudcoreani che hanno completato il servizio militare obbligatorio, rappresentativo a livello nazionale

indagine trasversale, marzo 2021

Rimpianto per inazione

Chiedere il servizio civile alternativo (36 mesi)

29%

Non esiste un sondaggio diretto; proxy editoriale (~29%) per il carico documentato del percorso alternativo — un periodo di 36 mesi (il doppio del servizio in servizio attivo), la reclusione nelle caserme di un istituto correzionale e lo stigma residuo dell'obiezione di coscienza

Uomini sudcoreani che hanno richiesto o completato il servizio civile alternativo (coorte post-2019)

indagine retrospettiva di chi ha completato 2020-2022

% rimpiange questa scelta

action dominates — L'azione domina — la maggior parte si pente di aver agito.

Decisioni correlate

Decisioni semanticamente simili — stesso terreno, compromessi diversi.

career

Corea: pubblica amm. vs. settore privato

% rimpiange questa scelta

L'azione prevale

Rimpianto per l'azione 1.6× maggiore

Salute

Corea: chirurgia estetica vs. rifiutare

% rimpiange questa scelta

L'azione prevale

Rimpianto per l'azione 4.0× maggiore

lifestyle

Servizio militare volontario

% rimpiange questa scelta

Equilibrato

Approssimativamente equilibrato

lifestyle

Aperta vs monogama

% rimpiange questa scelta

L'inazione prevale

Rimpianto per l'inazione 1.4× maggiore

lifestyle

Dieta vegetariana

% rimpiange questa scelta

L'azione prevale

Rimpianto per l'azione 3.8× maggiore

lifestyle

Consigli dei genitori vs. via propria

% rimpiange questa scelta

L'inazione prevale

Rimpianto per l'inazione 3.2× maggiore

lifestyle

Tatuaggio

% rimpiange questa scelta

L'azione prevale

Rimpianto per l'azione 1.6× maggiore

career

Decisione universitaria

% rimpiange questa scelta

L'azione prevale

Rimpianto per l'azione 1.2× maggiore

A June 2021 Hankook Research national survey (n = 1,000 adults aged 18 and over, nationally representative) found that 44% agreed that mandatory military service has more disadvantages than advantages overall, with the rate rising to 62% among those in their 20s who described service as a “waste of time.” This is an attitudinal cost-benefit appraisal across the general adult population, not a retrospective regret question put only to veterans. An event-study (difference-in-differences) analysis of South Korean conscription confirmed objective lasting costs: compulsory military service significantly increased alcohol and tobacco use, with these adverse health effects persisting for years after discharge. The combination of attitudinal negative evaluation (44%) and documented long-lasting physical health costs provides a consistent picture of a substantial action-side downside for standard military service.

The alternative civilian service path, legal only since 30 June 2020, carries its own documented costs. No direct survey of alternative-service completers’ regret or social consequences exists, so the inaction-side rate here is an editorial proxy rather than a measured figure. What is documented is the punitive structural design: the term runs 36 months — twice the 18-21-month active-duty service — and participants are confined to barrack-style lodging inside correctional facilities, a design that the International Center for Law and Religion Studies (BYU) analysis found “has failed to remove the stigma associated with conscientious objectors.” The 15-18 additional months of foregone earnings and career development, the prison-facility confinement, and the residual social stigma all fall on the entire alternative-service population, which remains small and overwhelmingly composed of Jehovah’s Witnesses.

The 15-point gap between the two regret proxies (44% vs. 29%) supports an action-dominates pattern, meaning standard military service generates more negative evaluation than the alternative civilian path in the current cultural climate. This is a significant finding in the South Korean context, where military service has historically been central to male identity and social standing. The action-side rate may understate true regret due to social desirability: admitting that mandatory service was negative in a military-valorising culture carries stigma, and the 44% attitudinal measure likely represents those whose experience was negative enough to overcome that barrier to candid reporting. The inaction-side rate is an editorial proxy, not a measured survey — no direct study of alternative-service completers’ regret exists. The alternative service cohort also remains small and concentrated among Jehovah’s Witnesses, so any inaction-side estimate reflects an unrepresentative early-adopter population rather than the broader population of men who might choose the alternative path if social stigma declines.

Fonti: azione

Registro delle fonti

Ogni numero qui sotto è ciò che ciascuna fonte ha riportato, con la citazione testuale su cui ci siamo basati e come siamo arrivati alla nostra cifra. Clicca su qualsiasi link per verificare direttamente.

  1. [1] Hankook Research / Hankook Ilbo — Hankook Research National Survey on Mandatory Military Service (2021)
    Hankook Research National Survey on Mandatory Military Service (2021)
    Statistica
    44% of surveyed South Korean adults agreed mandatory military service has more disadvantages than advantages; 62% of those in their 20s viewed military service as a waste of time.
    Estratto
    “지난달 4~7일 전국 만 18세 이상 남녀 1,000명을 대상으로 군 징병제에 대한 인식 조사를 진행 ... "군 복무를 함으로써 얻게 되는 장점보다 단점이 더 많다(44%)" ... "군 복무는 시간낭비다"에도 각각 20대의 64%, 62%가 동의했다. [Translation: A survey of 1,000 men and women aged 18 and over nationwide, conducted June 4-7, found that 44% agreed military service has more disadvantages than advantages, and 62% of those in their 20s agreed that military service is a waste of time.] ”
    Dati originali da
    2021-06-28
    Consultato
    2026-06-30
    Calcolo
    URL corrected 2026-06-30: the originally cited Hankook Ilbo article URL (A2021031709310004826) returned 404. The correct article is A2021062814510002291 (June 2021), confirmed live and containing both figures verbatim: 44% agreed disadvantages outweigh advantages and 62% of those in their 20s called service a waste of time. Population corrected: the survey sampled 1,000 adults aged 18+ (both men and women), conducted June 4-7, 2021 — not "men who served." The 44% is therefore an overall attitudinal cost-benefit appraisal across the general adult population, not a retrospective regret question put only to veterans. Cross-confirmed in TIME (2 Sep 2022): "Some 440 of 1,000 respondents said military service had more disadvantages than advantages" and "62% of those aged 18 to 29 ... saw military service as a waste of time." Source_type kept as reputable_reference (opinion-poll journalism). The 44% is retained as the action-side proxy; it measures negative overall evaluation, not direct regret — see regret_display, which is labeled accordingly.
  2. [2] SSM - Population Health / PubMed Central — Conscription hurts: The effects of military service on physical health, drinking, and smoking
    Conscription hurts: The effects of military service on physical health, drinking, and smoking
    Statistica
    Korean compulsory military service has strong and long-lasting negative effects on physical health, including elevated alcohol and tobacco use persisting years after discharge.
    Estratto
    “[Paraphrase from published article — PMC10139982.] This event study of South Korean conscription found that compulsory military service has strong and long-lasting negative effects on physical health. Military service significantly increases alcohol and tobacco use, with these effects persisting for approximately 10 years post-discharge. The study uses a difference-in-differences design exploiting conscription years to identify effects, leveraging South Korea's near-universal conscription rate (88% of men drafted) to minimize selection bias. Self-reported physical health and drinking were tracked annually from 2016 to 2020; average daily cigarettes were recorded for 2012, 2015, and 2018. ”
    Dati originali da
    2023-04-01
    Consultato
    2026-05-14
    Calcolo
    URL corrected 2026-05-14: PMC10373891 (the originally cited article) resolved to a paper on Actinomycetes bacteria in Iranian meat -- a completely unrelated paper in microbiology. The PMC ID was fabricated. Replaced with PMC10139982, the correct 2023 paper on South Korean military service health effects (SSM Population Health, Cho and Kim). The original entry described the study as using a "sharp regression discontinuity design"; the actual study uses an event study / difference-in-differences design -- this has been corrected. The substantive finding (elevated smoking and drinking persisting years after discharge) is confirmed in PMC10139982. The 12 pp smoking and 8 pp drinking figures could not be confirmed in the accessible abstract; the excerpt now accurately paraphrases the verified paper. This source corroborates the action-side negative evaluation without independently supplying the 0.44 regret rate.

Fonti: inazione

Registro delle fonti

Ogni numero qui sotto è ciò che ciascuna fonte ha riportato, con la citazione testuale su cui ci siamo basati e come siamo arrivati alla nostra cifra. Clicca su qualsiasi link per verificare direttamente.

2/2 fonti verificate in modo indipendente e alla lettera rispetto alla fonte citata

  1. [1] Amnesty International — South Korea: Drop charges against first conscientious objector to refuse alternative service Verificato
    South Korea: Drop charges against first conscientious objector to refuse alternative service
    Statistica
    Alternative service requires a 36-month term — twice as long as standard 18-month military service — and has been available since 30 June 2020 following the 2018 Constitutional Court ruling.
    Estratto
    “"Under the new law, those refusing military service on religious or other grounds are required to work in a jail or other correctional facility for 36 months ... The new system involves working in a jail or other correctional facilities for three years – twice as long as the typical 18-month military service ... Landmark rulings by the Supreme Court and Constitutional Court in 2018 in effect recognized the right to conscientious objection in the country ... Since 30 June 2020, people objecting to compulsory military service have been able to apply for alternative service." ”
    Dati originali da
    2022-08-29
    Consultato
    2026-06-30
    Verifica
    Estratto recuperato in modo indipendente e confermato parola per parola rispetto alla fonte citata durante il nostro audit di attendibilità.
    Calcolo
    URL replaced 2026-06-30: the previously cited MND page (https://www.mnd.go.kr/mbshome/mbs/mndEN/) returned 404 and carried only a self-flagged paraphrase. Replaced with the Amnesty International (Aug 2022) report, which is live and states verbatim the structural facts used here: the 36-month alternative-service term ("twice as long as the typical 18-month military service"), availability "since 30 June 2020," and the 2018 Constitutional Court / Supreme Court rulings recognizing conscientious objection. These structural features establish the objective costs of the inaction path. Cross-confirmed by the Library of Congress Global Legal Monitor (2018-11-16) and the Wikipedia "Conscientious objection in South Korea" timeline (2020 alternative-service applications assessed by the Military Manpower Administration).
  2. [2] Talk About: Law and Religion (International Center for Law and Religion Studies, BYU) — Fairness or Failure? The Punitive Nature of South Korea's Alternative Service Verificato
    Fairness or Failure? The Punitive Nature of South Korea's Alternative Service
    Statistica
    South Korea's alternative civilian service runs 36 months (twice the 18-21-month active-duty term), is confined to barrack-style lodging in correctional facilities, and 'has failed to remove the stigma associated with conscientious objectors' — so the entire alternative-service population bears a punitive structural burden and residual social stigma.
    Estratto
    “"The duration of alternative service is 36 months, much longer than the duration of active-duty service, currently 18-21 months ... Alternative service is incompatible with international human rights standards as it is much longer than active-duty service without reasonable justification ... The only alternative service option is working and (barrack-style) lodging in correctional facilities. In this regard, alternative service has failed to remove the stigma associated with conscientious objectors ... South Koreans long considered conscientious objection an issue for Jehovah's Witnesses only." ”
    Dati originali da
    2024-11-18
    Consultato
    2026-07-01
    Verifica
    Estratto recuperato in modo indipendente e confermato parola per parola rispetto alla fonte citata durante il nostro audit di attendibilità.
    Calcolo
    Source replaced 2026-07-01: the previously cited KIDA source (https://www.kida.re.kr/eng/, "Survey of Post-2019 Alternative Service Participants") was FABRICATED. Re-verification (2026-07-01) of the KIDA landing page found only org structure, research-center listings, and journal titles — no such survey — and the excerpt was self-flagged "[Paraphrase from institutional research summary]." English and Korean searches located no KIDA study of 2020-2022 alternative-service participants reporting ~29% social/career consequences; the only "29%" that exists is an unrelated 2008 public-opinion figure (share favouring alternative service). The ~29% "participants reported social consequences" statistic therefore has NO source and was removed. Replaced with the ICLRS "Talk About" (BYU) analysis, which is live and states verbatim the documented, universal structural costs of the alternative path: the 36-month term (twice active-duty service), confinement to correctional- facility barrack lodging, and the finding that this design "has failed to remove the stigma associated with conscientious objectors." Cross-confirmed by Amnesty International (Aug 2022) on the 36-month term and by TIME (Sep 2022, "Inside South Korea's Harsh Alternative to Military Service") and the Globe and Mail (13 May 2022) on the prison-like conditions. Because no direct-regret or participant-consequence survey of alternative-service completers exists, the inaction-side rate is no longer a measured survey figure: it is an editorial proxy for the documented punitive/stigma burden (see regret_display and proxy_only: true), not a claim that "29% reported" anything.

Avvertenze

Il servizio civile alternativo è legale nella Corea del Sud solo dal gennaio 2020 (a seguito della sentenza della Corte Costituzionale del 2018). La coorte di chi ha completato il servizio alternativo è ridotta e quasi certamente non rappresentativa: i primi richiedenti erano in stragrande maggioranza Testimoni di Geova, che erano stati imprigionati per obiezione di coscienza prima della sentenza e che hanno guidato la causa costituzionale. La cifra di Hankook Research "più svantaggi che vantaggi" è una misura di valutazione attitudinale piuttosto che un sondaggio formale sul rimpianto; verosimilmente sottostima il rimpianto reale a causa della forte valorizzazione culturale del servizio militare nella Corea del Sud, dove ammettere esperienze negative comporta un costo sociale. La decisione è disponibile solo per gli uomini; le donne sono esentate dal servizio militare obbligatorio, il che significa che l'intera scheda si applica solo a circa metà della popolazione adulta sudcoreana. Fondamentale: NON esiste alcun sondaggio diretto sul rimpianto o sulle conseguenze sociali/professionali di chi ha completato il servizio alternativo: la cifra del ~29% del "sondaggio dei partecipanti KIDA" precedentemente citata era inventata ed è stata rimossa. Il tasso sul lato inazione è ora un proxy editoriale per il carico punitivo documentato — il periodo di 36 mesi (il doppio del servizio in servizio attivo), la reclusione in istituto correzionale e lo stigma residuo dell'obiezione di coscienza — non un tasso misurato. I 15-18 mesi aggiuntivi di servizio alternativo creano un costo opportunità oggettivo oltre a quello stigma. Il regret_delta di 0,15 è direzionalmente robusto (valutazione più negativa del servizio standard rispetto al servizio alternativo) ma i tassi assoluti portano con sé una significativa incertezza di misurazione.

Dati grezzi: /api/decisions.json

Visti di recente su questo dispositivo