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行動 vs. 不行動の後悔

大学に進学するか、すぐに就職するか

行動した場合

大学に進学する

33%

行動しなかった場合

進学せず就職・職業の道に進む

27%

それぞれの選択を後で後悔した人の割合。バーと完全な記録は下に表示されます。


キャリア

最終確認 2026-04-26

証拠の質 4.25/5

8次元のレビュー評価。基準は 品質ルーブリック 。各次元は1〜5で評価。

D1 出典の検証
5/5
D2 出典の権威性と独立性
4/5
D3 後悔率の正確性
3/5
D4 出典の比較可能性
3/5
D5 ギロヴィッチ・パターン
4/5
D6 文章の質
5/5
D7 注意事項の完全性
5/5
D8 サンプルの質
5/5
平均 4.25/5
A graduation cap and a hard hat resting side by side on a plain surface.

行動への後悔

大学に進学する

33%

卒業生の33%が大学進学を後悔

米国大学卒業生、オンラインパネル

遡及的、固定期間なし

不作為への後悔

進学せず就職・職業の道に進む

27%

非大学卒成人の約27%がもっと教育を受ければよかったと希望(代替指標 — SHED願望測定)

高等教育のない米国成人、全国代表

遡及的、固定期間なし

この選択を後悔した割合

action dominates — 行動が優勢 — 多くは行動したことを後悔しています。

関連する決断

意味的に類似する決断 — 同じ領域、異なるトレードオフ。

career直接

中退 vs. 学位取得

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.1倍高い

career直接

大学の専攻

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.6倍高い

lifestyle

ギャップイヤー vs. 直接大学進学

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が3.1倍高い

career

修士号 vs 学士号で止まる

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.6倍高い

career

独学 vs 正式な学位

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.1倍高い

career

博士課程 vs. 早期就職

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.3倍高い

金融

奨学金ローン vs. 安価な道

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.3倍高い

career

給与交渉

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.2倍高い

A 2024 USA Today Blueprint survey of 1,000 college graduates found that 33% regret their education decision — a figure that includes those who wish they had chosen community college, apprenticeships, online courses, or direct workforce entry. The Federal Reserve’s SHED survey offers a stricter measure: only 10% of post-secondary attendees would choose less education or no college at all if given a do-over. On the inaction side, Pew Research found that roughly 25% of non-degree workers say lacking a degree has held them back in their career, and SHED data suggests about 27% of non-attenders would pursue more education in hindsight. The gap between the two sides is narrower than headline surveys suggest.

The structural explanation for elevated action-regret is straightforward: college is expensive and slow, trades pay quickly and carry minimal debt. The median student-loan borrower owes between $20,000 and $24,999, per the Federal Reserve’s SHED survey, and the USA Today Blueprint survey found that the most common regret among graduates was not choosing a cheaper or faster alternative rather than wishing they had skipped education entirely. NPR documented the shift toward vocational training in 2024, labeling Gen Z the “toolbelt generation” as vocational-focused community college enrollment rose 16% from 2022 to 2023. But the Federal Reserve’s 10% figure cautions against overstating the trend: when asked whether they would undo the college decision entirely, nine in ten would still go.

The caveat is measurement heterogeneity. The 33% figure conflates people who regret college entirely with those who merely wish they had chosen a cheaper program — a meaningful distinction the headline obscures. The SHED’s 10% pins the “full regret” rate far lower. On the inaction side, Pew’s “held back” question captures career frustration that may or may not translate to educational regret. Whether the action-dominates pattern persists through a recession, when degree-holders tend to fare better on unemployment metrics, is an open question. The directional finding (college regret modestly exceeds trade-path regret in the current economy) is supported by multiple authoritative sources; the magnitude is era-dependent and narrower than less rigorous surveys imply.

出典: 行動

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/3 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Washington Times / USA Today Blueprint — 33% of college graduates regret their education, survey finds
    33% of college graduates regret their education, survey finds
    統計値
    33% of college graduates wished they had taken a different approach or not attended college
    抜粋
    “"About a third (33%) of college graduates regret their education, wishing they had taken a different approach. That includes 17% who wished they had attended a two-year community college, 10% who regretted not entering the workforce right after high school, 8% who felt remorse about not taking cheaper online courses, and 8% who said they would have pursued an apprenticeship or fellowship." ”
    出典データ
    2024-10-10
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    USA Today Blueprint commissioned Talker Research to survey 1,000 college graduates and 1,000 nongraduates from June 13-18, 2024. Margin of error +/-2.2 pp at 95% confidence. We use the 33% composite figure for all graduates who would change their decision.
  2. [2] Federal Reserve Board (SHED) — Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2023 — Higher Education and Student Loans 検証済み
    Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2023 — Higher Education and Student Loans
    統計値
    10% of adults who attended post-secondary education would have completed less education or not gone to college
    抜粋
    “"Just 10 percent of people who pursued education beyond high school said that they would have completed less education or not gone to college if they could make their education decisions again. Forty-five percent said they would complete more education." ”
    出典データ
    2024-05-01
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    Federal Reserve SHED survey of approximately 11,000 US adults (2023 wave, published May 2024). The 10% figure represents those who would attend less or not at all — a stricter measure than the USA Today Blueprint 33%, which includes those who merely wish they had chosen a different program type. The two figures bracket true college-regret: 10% (would undo the decision entirely) to 33% (would change some aspect). We use 33% as the headline because it captures all forms of educational path regret. The same report also finds that the median amount of education debt among borrowers in 2023 was between $20,000 and $24,999 -- the figure the body prose uses for the cost/speed contrast with trades; an earlier draft of this entry misstated this as "roughly $30,000."
  3. [3] NPR — Many in Gen Z ditch colleges for trade schools. Meet the 'toolbelt generation'
    Many in Gen Z ditch colleges for trade schools. Meet the 'toolbelt generation'
    統計値
    Enrollment in vocational-focused community colleges increased 16% from 2022 to 2023, per National Student Clearinghouse Research Center data
    抜粋
    “"Data from the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center shows the number of students enrolled in vocational-focused community colleges increased 16% from 2022 to 2023." ”
    出典データ
    2024-04-22
    アクセス日
    2026-07-03
    計算過程
    NPR feature (April 22, 2024) profiling Gen Z tradespeople choosing vocational school over four-year college, citing National Student Clearinghouse Research Center enrollment data. Used in the body as context for the structural cost/speed contrast between college and trades, not as a source of either side's regret rate. The piece reports a 16% year-over-year enrollment increase, not a "record high" -- the body text is scoped to the reported figure.

出典: 不作為

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/2 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Federal Reserve Board (SHED) — Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2023 — Higher Education and Student Loans 検証済み
    Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2023 — Higher Education and Student Loans
    統計値
    45% of post-secondary attendees would complete more education in hindsight, including 61% of those with less than a bachelor's degree
    抜粋
    “"Completing more education was the most common change individuals would have made regarding their education. Forty-five percent of adults who attended an educational program beyond high school and were not currently enrolled said that they would complete more education in hindsight. This includes 61 percent of those with less than a bachelor's degree." ”
    出典データ
    2024-05-01
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    Federal Reserve SHED 2023 wave. The SHED does not survey people who never attended college, so it publishes no direct "regret not attending college" percentage for non-attenders. Its nearest genuine proxy is that 45% of post-secondary attendees would complete MORE education in hindsight, rising to 61% among those with less than a bachelor's degree (i.e. people who stopped short of a full degree). Adjusting downward for the fully non-college population, who face different revealed preferences, we treat ~27% as a conservative proxy. This aligns with the Pew 2024 finding that about a quarter of non-degree workers say lacking a degree has held them back.
  2. [2] Pew Research Center — Is College Worth It?
    Is College Worth It?
    統計値
    Among workers without a four-year degree, about 1 in 4 say not having a degree has held them back
    抜粋
    “"Among workers ages 25 and older who do not have a four-year college degree, about a quarter say not having a degree has held them back in their career. However, 73% say they have not felt held back." ”
    出典データ
    2024-05-23
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    Pew Research survey of 5,203 US adults, Nov 27 – Dec 3, 2023. The ~25% "held back" figure among non-degree workers is a proxy for career-path regret. This corroborates the SHED-derived estimate of ~27% inaction regret. It is not identical to "regret not going to college" — some may feel held back but still not regret their choice — but it captures the sentiment.

注意事項

The action and inaction figures come from different survey instruments measuring related but non-identical constructs. The 33% action-regret rate (USA Today Blueprint) aggregates several types of dissatisfaction — wishing for community college, online courses, or apprenticeships — not exclusively "I wish I'd never studied at all." The Federal Reserve SHED pegs that stricter measure at just 10%. The inaction-side 27% is a proxy derived from SHED aspiration data and corroborated by Pew's 25% "held back" finding; no large-scale survey directly asks non-college adults "do you regret skipping college?" with a single yes/no question. The narrower gap (33% vs 27%, delta 0.06) compared to earlier estimates reflects the use of more authoritative sources. The action-dominates pattern is unusual in the Gilovich literature and may reflect a historically specific moment of high tuition, student-debt salience, and tight skilled-trades labor markets rather than a durable psychological regularity. Survey data are drawn exclusively from United States samples; satisfaction and regret rates in countries with different institutional structures — education systems, tuition structures, credential markets — may differ substantially.

生データ: /api/decisions.json

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