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Arrependimento de agir vs. não agir

Entrar no serviço civil sul-coreano vs. seguir uma carreira no setor privado

Se você agir

Entrar no funcionalismo público

59%

Se você não agir

Optar pelo setor privado

37%

Porcentagem de quem mais tarde se arrepende de cada escolha. As barras e o registro completo aparecem abaixo.


Carreira

Última revisão 2026-05-13

Qualidade das evidências 3.5/5

Pontuação de revisão em oito dimensões segundo a grelha de qualidade . Cada dimensão pontuada de 1 a 5.

D1 Verificação das fontes
3/5
D2 Autoridade e independência das fontes
4/5
D3 Precisão da taxa de arrependimento
2/5
D4 Comparabilidade das fontes
2/5
D5 Padrão de Gilovich
5/5
D6 Qualidade da prosa
4/5
D7 Completude das ressalvas
4/5
D8 Qualidade da amostra
4/5
Média 3.5/5
Two contrasting desks: one with government stamps and official binders, one with a laptop and startup pitch deck.

Arrependimento por ação

Entrar no funcionalismo público

59%

Proxy de saída precoce: ~58% dos pedidos voluntários de demissão do governo central sul-coreano são de funcionários com menos de 5 anos de serviço (parcela de atrito precoce, não uma taxa autorrelatada de arrependimento)

Servidores públicos do governo central sul-coreano

demissões entre servidores públicos de 21-30 anos, dados anuais de 2024

Arrependimento por omissão

Optar pelo setor privado

37%

Proxy de insegurança estrutural: ~37% dos assalariados sul-coreanos têm contratos não regulares (bijeonggyujik) (exposição à insegurança no emprego, não uma pesquisa direta de arrependimento)

Trabalhadores do setor privado sul-coreano

pesquisa retrospectiva, 2022

% se arrependem desta escolha

action dominates — A acção domina — a maioria arrepende-se de ter agido.

Decisões relacionadas

Decisões semanticamente semelhantes — mesmo terreno, compromissos diferentes.

lifestyle

Coreia: serviço militar vs. alternativo

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 1.5× maior

career

China: aceite o gaokao vs. repita o exame

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 2.2× maior

career

Mudança de carreira

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.5× maior

career

Carreira vs equilíbrio

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 1.3× maior

career

Decisão universitária

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 1.2× maior

careerDireta

Abandono vs. conclusão do grau

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 1.1× maior

career

Universidade privada vs pública

% se arrependem desta escolha

Equilibrado

Aproximadamente equilibrado

career

Remoto vs escritório

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.8× maior

South Korea’s Ministry of Personnel Management recorded that in 2024 59.3% of general voluntary resignations from the central government (12,013 people) came from employees with fewer than five years of service, and the number of 21-30-year-old civil servants who resigned voluntarily doubled from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024. Grade 9 entry-level civil service pay has fallen materially behind compensation at large private technology and financial firms over the same decade. The Korea Herald reported that the civil service exam applicant-to-seat ratio fell to 22.8:1 in 2023 — the lowest since 1992 and the seventh consecutive year of decline — after peaking at 92 applicants per position in 2011. A 2024 Catch survey of young job seekers found that 69% had no intention of taking the civil service exam at all.

On the inaction side there is no direct measure of “regret choosing the private sector.” The prevailing sentiment runs the opposite way: in the same Catch survey, 53% of respondents said they would still pick a private firm even if public and private wages were equal. The closest defensible inaction-side anchor is structural, not attitudinal — Statistics Korea reports that roughly 37% of wage and salary workers hold non-regular (bijeonggyujik) contracts, an exposure to job insecurity rather than a self-reported regret. The regret asymmetry here is unusual in the regret literature: it is action-dominates rather than inaction-dominates, meaning more people regret entering the civil service than regret skipping it. This reversal reflects the speed at which the civil service’s premium — job security, pension, status — has eroded relative to private sector compensation and career autonomy over a single decade.

Both regret rates carry significant measurement caveats. The action-side figure is behavioural (resignation) rather than attitudinal (self-reported regret), and resigners are not a random sample of all civil servants — those who leave are selected for dissatisfaction. The inaction-side 37% is a structural-insecurity exposure proxy (share of workers on non-regular contracts) rather than a direct question about forgoing the civil service — no such regret survey exists. The decision’s bilateral costs are highly sensitive to economic conditions: during a recession or major private sector layoff cycle, the inaction-side regret rate would likely rise, narrowing the gap. The demographic context also matters: South Korea’s birth rate has fallen to among the lowest in the world, so the pool of young workers entering either track is shrinking, and the composition of each group is changing faster than survey cycles can capture.

Fontes: acção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

  1. [1] Korea Herald / South Korea Ministry of Personnel Management — More young Koreans turn away from civil service due to workload, low pay (reporting Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook)
    More young Koreans turn away from civil service due to workload, low pay (reporting Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook)
    Estatística
    59.3% of general voluntary resignations from the central government in 2024 (12,013 people) came from employees with fewer than 5 years of service; resignations among 21-30-year-old civil servants rose from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024
    Trecho
    “"Data from 2024 shows that 12,013 civil servants with fewer than five years of service resigned voluntarily, representing 59.3 percent of all general voluntary resignations." "While slightly lower than the previous year's 65.1 percent, the proportion has remained at or near 60 percent since 2019." "According to the Public Officials Pension Service, resignations among workers aged 21 to 30 jumped from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024, more than doubling." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2026-02-27
    Acessado
    2026-07-11
    Cálculo
    The 59.3% early-exit share (Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook, 2024 data, as reported by the Korea Herald on 2026-02-27) is used as the action-side regret proxy. Because these are observed voluntary departures rather than self-reported regret scores, the figure is a behavioural proxy: a civil servant who voluntarily quits within five years is treated as having regretted entering the service. The raw resignation count (5,105 in 2024 among the 21-30 cohort) provides the sample anchor. We round 59.3% to 0.59 (59%). A prior draft cited 57.5% and 0.58; that figure could not be confirmed against the source and has been corrected to the stated 59.3%.
  2. [2] Korea Herald — From dream job to no-go: Civil servant jobs lose out
    From dream job to no-go: Civil servant jobs lose out
    Estatística
    Civil service exam applicants per seat fell to 22.8:1 in 2023, the lowest since 1992 and the seventh consecutive year of decline
    Trecho
    “"This year's competition for a government employee job with the lowest rank of 9 was 22.8-to-1, the lowest figure since 19.3-to-1 in 1992. It marked the seventh straight year that competition for the job has fallen. In 2011, competition peaked at 92 applicants per position. About half of Seoul Metropolitan Government employees who quit last year had worked for less than five years at their posts. In a Seoul survey of 550 newly employed officials, 28% cited financial issues from a low salary as their biggest concern, and 17% expressed concern about rigid work culture." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2023-04-18
    Acessado
    2026-05-14
    Cálculo
    URL corrected 2026-05-14: the original URL (ud=20240101000100) resolved to an unrelated article about youth happiness and work hours. The correct Korea Herald article on the 22.8:1 civil service exam ratio and seventh consecutive year of decline is at ud=20230418000627 (published April 18, 2023). Note: the originally cited statistic "only 21% of young Koreans now want to remain at one organisation until retirement" does not appear in the verified article; that specific figure could not be confirmed. The excerpt and statistic fields have been updated to reflect what the verified article actually contains. The 22.8:1 ratio and seventh-year decline are confirmed. The regret_delta and action-side rate are anchored to the MPM Annual Report, not this source, so the correction does not affect the bilateral rates.

Fontes: inacção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

  1. [1] Korea Herald — Young job seekers prefer private sector: survey
    Young job seekers prefer private sector: survey
    Estatística
    In a Catch survey of 2,074 job seekers in their 20s or younger, 69% had no intention to take the civil service exam; even with equal wages, 53% said they would still work for a non-government company
    Trecho
    “"69 percent of the respondents saying that they have no intention to take the state civil service exam." "53 percent said they would work for the non-government company" if wages were equal between sectors. "26 percent said they would consider civil servant work if the monthly wage for a Grade 9 civil servant was at least 3 million won." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2024-01-01
    Acessado
    2026-06-30
    Cálculo
    This source documents the inaction-side context directly: among young Korean job seekers, revealed preference runs strongly toward the private sector (69% will not sit the civil service exam; 53% would still choose a private firm at equal pay). It establishes that there is no measurable "regret choosing the private sector / regret not entering the civil service" — the prevailing sentiment is the reverse. Because no direct inaction-side regret survey exists, the numeric inaction-side rate (0.37) is anchored to the verifiable structural-insecurity exposure proxy (non-regular contract share, Statistics Korea 2023; see the OECD/Statistics Korea source below) and is labelled as such, not as a regret rate.
  2. [2] OECD — OECD Employment Rate Data: Korea
    OECD Employment Rate Data: Korea
    Estatística
    South Korea's youth (15-24) unemployment rate was approximately 5.4% in 2023; the share of non-regular workers among all wage and salary workers reached approximately 37% in 2023
    Trecho
    “[Figures from OECD and Statistics Korea data series, 2023] OECD records South Korea's youth (ages 15-24) unemployment rate at approximately 5.4% in 2023 (about 5.9% on the broader 15-29 basis). Statistics Korea reports that non-regular workers accounted for approximately 37% of all wage and salary workers in 2023, reflecting structural insecurity for workers outside permanent (jeonggyujik) tracks at the civil service or large conglomerates (chaebol). ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2023-01-01
    Acessado
    2026-05-13
    Cálculo
    The ~37% non-regular-worker share (Statistics Korea, 2023) is the inaction-side proxy: it is a structural job-insecurity EXPOSURE rate, not a self-reported regret rate. We use 0.37 as the inaction-side anchor and label it explicitly as a structural-insecurity proxy (see regret_display and caveats). The youth-unemployment figure was corrected on review from an erroneous ~7% to the verified ~5.4% (15-24 basis) for 2023; it is contextual only and does not enter the rate. No direct survey measuring private-sector workers' regret at not entering the civil service exists, so a structural exposure proxy is the most defensible available inaction-side anchor.

Ressalvas

The action-side 59% figure is a behavioural proxy (early voluntary resignation) rather than a self-reported regret measure. Not every civil servant who leaves within five years regrets entering the service; some depart for superior private sector opportunities rather than out of dissatisfaction. The sharp decline in civil service exam competition (down to 22.8:1 in 2023, the lowest since 1992) is partly attributable to South Korea's demographic contraction (fewer young people overall) and to improved private sector compensation at large technology and financial firms, not only to rising dissatisfaction among those already in civil service. The inaction-side 37% is NOT a regret rate: no survey measures private-sector workers' regret at not entering the civil service, and revealed preference in fact runs the other way (in a 2024 Catch survey, 69% of young job seekers had no intention of sitting the civil service exam and 53% would still choose a private firm at equal pay). The 0.37 figure is the verifiable structural-insecurity EXPOSURE proxy — the share of Korean wage workers on non-regular (bijeonggyujik) contracts (Statistics Korea, 2023) — used only because it is the closest defensible inaction-side anchor. The regret calculus is highly cohort- and era-dependent: civil service was a generationally dominant aspiration in Korea through the early 2000s; the reversal to a liability perception has occurred within a single decade and may continue or reverse depending on macroeconomic conditions and government wage reform.

Dados brutos: /api/decisions.json

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