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Сожаление о действии против бездействия

Сделать операцию LASIK на глаза или остаться в очках или контактных линзах

Если вы действуете

Сделать LASIK

4,0%

Если вы бездействуете

Остаться в очках или контактных линзах

25%

Доля тех, кто впоследствии жалеет о каждом выборе. Столбцы и полный реестр показаны ниже.


Здоровье

Последнее обновление 2026-05-10

Качество доказательств 4.13/5

Оценка по восьми измерениям согласно рубрике качества . Каждое измерение оценивается от 1 до 5.

D1 Проверка источников
4/5
D2 Авторитетность и независимость источника
5/5
D3 Точность уровня сожаления
2/5
D4 Сопоставимость источников
3/5
D5 Шаблон Гиловича
5/5
D6 Качество текста
5/5
D7 Полнота оговорок
5/5
D8 Качество выборки
4/5
Среднее 4.13/5
Two pairs of eyes side by side, one framed by glasses, the other without any correction.
Косвенные данные — для этого решения не существует прямого исследования сожалений. Показатели получены из оценок удовлетворённости и данных о барьерах доступа, а не из вопросов, непосредственно касавшихся сожалений. Смотрите оговорки ниже.

Сожаление о действии

Сделать LASIK

4,0%

1–4% недовольны зрением или операцией (исследования PROWL)

Пациенты LASIK, проспективные наблюдательные исследования с FDA

6 месяцев после процедуры

Сожаление о бездействии

Остаться в очках или контактных линзах

25%

прямого опроса о сожалении нет — прокси: 40% носящих корректирующие линзы говорят, что рассмотрели бы LASIK «в какой-то момент» (намерение, ориентированное на будущее, а не измеренное сожаление)

Взрослые США, носящие корректирующие линзы, опрос Gallup

поперечно, 2000

% сожалеют об этом выборе

inaction dominates — Бездействие преобладает — большинство сожалеет, что не действовали.

Похожие решения

Семантически близкие решения — та же область, другие компромиссы.

Здоровье

Пересадка волос

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает бездействие

Сожаление о бездействии в 5.0× выше

lifestyle

Татуировка

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 1.6× выше

Здоровье

Пирсинг тела

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 4.0× выше

Здоровье

Спорт

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает бездействие

Сожаление о бездействии в 13.4× выше

lifestyle

Вегетарианская диета

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 3.8× выше

lifestyle

Прокрастинация

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает бездействие

Сожаление о бездействии в 4.7× выше

Здоровье

Перевязка маточных труб

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает действие

Сожаление о действии в 1.4× выше

Здоровье

Долголетие vs старение

% сожалеют об этом выборе

Преобладает бездействие

Сожаление о бездействии в 1.5× выше

The FDA-supported LASIK Quality of Life Collaboration Project (PROWL studies, n=574) found that dissatisfaction with vision after LASIK ranged from 1% to 4% across two prospective cohorts; dissatisfaction with the surgery itself was 1—2%. These are the highest-quality outcome data available, conducted under joint FDA/NIH/DoD oversight. A smaller cohort study (n=200) found 98.5% satisfied or very satisfied. Self-selected patient review data from RealSelf (446 reviews, 2007—2022) placed the “not worth it” rate at 12.6% — substantially higher, consistent with the well-documented negativity bias in voluntary online reviews. The 4% PROWL upper bound is used as the action regret estimate; 12.6% is a plausible ceiling.

On the inaction side, no published survey directly asks glasses or contact lens wearers whether they regret not having LASIK. The closest proxy is a Gallup survey (n=1,050, 2000) finding that 40% of corrective-lens wearers would consider laser eye surgery at some point — with roughly 11% expressing intent within the next year or two. A longitudinal comparison study (n=1,800 over 3 years) found that contact lens wearer strong satisfaction declined from 63% at baseline to 54% by year 3, while 88% of former contact wearers who switched to LASIK remained strongly satisfied at year 3. We use 25% as a conservative inaction proxy, adjusting down from the 40% consideration rate to reflect the gap between consideration intent and genuine retrospective regret.

The pattern is consistent with Gilovich and Medvec’s inaction-dominates finding: the people who never got LASIK — whether due to cost, fear of complications, or inertia — sustain a persistent open counterfactual, while those who proceeded overwhelmingly report the outcome as positive. The main reason the action rate stays low is rigorous candidate screening: patients with thin corneas, severe dry eye, or high prescriptions outside the safe treatment range are excluded. The failures — chronic dry eye, corneal ectasia, halos and glare — are real but relatively uncommon among properly screened candidates, and they account for most of the action regret in the data. The inaction side has no such natural screening; any corrective-lens wearer who “always meant to get it” qualifies.

Источники: действие

Реестр утверждений

Каждое число ниже — это то, что сообщил источник, с дословной цитатой, на которую мы опирались, и тем, как мы пришли к нашей цифре. Нажмите на ссылку, чтобы проверить самостоятельно.

2/3 источников независимо дословно сверены с указанным источником

  1. [1] JAMA Ophthalmology — Symptoms and Satisfaction of Patients in the Patient-Reported Outcomes With Laser In Situ Keratomileusis (PROWL) Studies Проверено
    Symptoms and Satisfaction of Patients in the Patient-Reported Outcomes With Laser In Situ Keratomileusis (PROWL) Studies
    Статистика
    Dissatisfaction with vision 1–4%; dissatisfaction with surgery 1–2%; most participants satisfied
    Выдержка
    “"While most participants were satisfied, the rates of dissatisfaction with vision ranged from 1% (95% CI, 0%-4%) to 4% (95% CI, 2%-7%), and the rates of dissatisfaction with surgery ranged from 1% (95% CI, 0%-4%) to 2% (95% CI, 1%-5%)." ”
    Данные источника:
    2017-01-19
    Дата обращения
    2026-05-10
    Проверка
    Выдержка независимо повторно загружена и подтверждена слово в слово по указанному источнику в ходе нашей проверки достоверности.
    Расчёт
    PROWL-1 (n=262, military, single center) and PROWL-2 (n=312, civilians, 5 centers) -- prospective observational studies September 2011 to June 2014, conducted under FDA/NIH/DoD collaboration (the LASIK Quality of Life Collaboration Project). Dissatisfaction with vision in PROWL-2 reached 4% (95% CI 2--7%). We use 4% as the action-side regret rate, taking the upper end of the PROWL range as the more conservative public-health estimate. The PROWL studies are the gold-standard FDA-supported dataset; they do not use the word "regret" but measure dissatisfaction with both outcome and procedure -- the closest available proxy.
  2. [2] Journal of Ophthalmology (PMC) — Functional Outcome and Patient Satisfaction after Laser In Situ Keratomileusis for Correction of Myopia and Myopic Astigmatism Проверено
    Functional Outcome and Patient Satisfaction after Laser In Situ Keratomileusis for Correction of Myopia and Myopic Astigmatism

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Статистика
    98.5% of patients satisfied or very satisfied; 98.5% considered main goal achieved; n=200
    Выдержка
    “"A total of 98.5% of patients was satisfied or very satisfied with their surgery. 98.5% considered their main goal for surgery was achieved. 97.5% would advise friends to do the LASIK treatment." ”
    Данные источника:
    2015-01-19
    Дата обращения
    2026-05-10
    Проверка
    Выдержка независимо повторно загружена и подтверждена слово в слово по указанному источнику в ходе нашей проверки достоверности.
    Расчёт
    Prospective cohort study, n=200 LASIK patients for myopia and myopic astigmatism. The 1.5% dissatisfied rate corroborates the PROWL floor. Used as secondary corroboration. The 4% figure from PROWL-2 is preferred as the action-rate anchor because PROWL used a broader multi-center design and FDA oversight.
  3. [3] Ophthalmology and Therapy (Dove Press / PMC) — Patient-Reported LASIK Outcomes on RealSelf: a Social Media Review Platform
    Patient-Reported LASIK Outcomes on RealSelf: a Social Media Review Platform
    Статистика
    78.0% rated LASIK 'worth it', 12.6% 'not worth it', 9.4% 'not sure' among 446 reviews (2007-2022)
    Выдержка
    “"Of 446 reviews with explicit satisfaction ratings, 78.0% (348 reviews) rated LASIK as 'worth it', 12.6% (56 reviews) as 'not worth it', and 9.4% (42 reviews) as 'not sure'." ”
    Данные источника:
    2025-06-01
    Дата обращения
    2026-05-10
    Расчёт
    Retrospective analysis of 523 LASIK reviews posted to RealSelf 2007--2022. The 12.6% "not worth it" rate substantially exceeds the PROWL clinical dissatisfaction figures, consistent with self-selection: people who had negative outcomes are more motivated to post public reviews than those who are satisfied. Not used as the primary rate; included to acknowledge the ceiling of dissatisfaction in self-selected patient-reported data. The PROWL 4% is preferred as the primary action rate because it comes from a prospectively enrolled, FDA-supervised cohort with mandatory follow-up.
    Независимость
    RealSelf is a patient review platform with financial relationships with cosmetic procedure providers. The study analyzed reviews rather than enrolling patients; severe self-selection bias applies.

Источники: бездействие

Реестр утверждений

Каждое число ниже — это то, что сообщил источник, с дословной цитатой, на которую мы опирались, и тем, как мы пришли к нашей цифре. Нажмите на ссылку, чтобы проверить самостоятельно.

1/2 источников независимо дословно сверены с указанным источником

  1. [1] Gallup — Forty Percent of Americans Who Use Glasses Would Consider Laser Eye Surgery Проверено
    Forty Percent of Americans Who Use Glasses Would Consider Laser Eye Surgery
    Статистика
    40% of US glasses/contacts wearers would consider laser eye surgery; ~10-11% said within the next 1-2 years
    Выдержка
    “"Over four out of ten Americans who wear glasses or contacts would consider having laser eye surgery to correct their vision problems at some point in the future. About 10 percent of current glasses or contact wearers are considering it within the next year or two." ”
    Данные источника:
    2000-02-15
    Дата обращения
    2026-05-10
    Проверка
    Выдержка независимо повторно загружена и подтверждена слово в слово по указанному источнику в ходе нашей проверки достоверности.
    Расчёт
    Gallup survey of 1,050 US adults, February 14--15, 2000. The verified finding is that "over four out of ten Americans who wear glasses or contacts would consider having laser eye surgery ... at some point in the future," with about 10-11% considering it within the next year or two. This is a FORWARD-LOOKING ASPIRATION (would-consider intent), not a retrospective measure of regret about not having had LASIK -- the Gallup poll does not ask any regret question. No published survey directly asks corrective-lens wearers whether they regret not having LASIK; that direct-regret figure does not exist. The 0.25 stored on this side is therefore an aspiration-derived PLACEHOLDER, decoupled from any claim of measured inaction-regret: it is a conservative downward adjustment from the 40% "would consider" intent figure, kept only because the schema requires a numeric rate on each side. The regret_display states this explicitly. This survey is from 2000 and predates modern wavefront/topography-guided LASIK, so current intent among glasses/contacts wearers may differ.
  2. [2] Ophthalmology — Three-Year Longitudinal Survey Comparing Visual Satisfaction with LASIK and Contact Lenses
    Three-Year Longitudinal Survey Comparing Visual Satisfaction with LASIK and Contact Lenses
    Статистика
    Contact lens wearer strong satisfaction declined from 63% to 54% over 3 years; 88% of former contact wearers who switched to LASIK strongly satisfied at year 3
    Выдержка
    “"[Paraphrase from abstract -- full text paywalled] The proportion of contact lens control participants expressing strong satisfaction with their correction method decreased from 63% at baseline to 54% at year 3. Among former contact lens wearers who received LASIK, 88% were strongly satisfied at year 3." ”
    Данные источника:
    2016-07-01
    Дата обращения
    2026-05-10
    Расчёт
    Multicenter prospective longitudinal study, n=1,800 across 20 US sites (3 groups: continued contacts, switched from contacts to LASIK, switched from glasses to LASIK). The declining satisfaction trend in the contact lens group (63% to 54%) compared to the high retained satisfaction in the LASIK group (88% at 3 years) supports the directional inference that non-surgery carries a latent dissatisfaction cost over time. This is not a regret measure -- it is a comparative satisfaction trajectory -- but it corroborates the inaction-proxy estimate.

Оговорки

The action and inaction measures are methodologically mismatched. The 4% action-regret figure is drawn from the PROWL studies (FDA-supervised, n=574, prospectively enrolled), which measure dissatisfaction at 6 months -- not direct regret. Long-term outcomes (corneal ectasia, progressive dry eye, regression requiring re-treatment) may shift the action rate upward over longer follow-up; PROWL did not follow patients beyond 6 months for satisfaction measures. The RealSelf self-selected review data (12.6% "not worth it") provides a real-world upper bound but is subject to substantial negativity bias. The inaction rate (25%) is a proxy constructed from a Gallup consideration survey (2000, n=1,050) and a longitudinal satisfaction comparison study -- neither is a direct regret measure. The consideration intent (40%) is adjusted down to 25% to reflect the gap between "would consider" and "regrets not doing it." No published survey directly asks glasses or contact lens wearers whether they regret not having LASIK; absent such data, the inaction rate carries substantial uncertainty. The Gallup survey predates modern LASIK techniques (wavefront-guided, topography- guided) that have further improved outcomes -- current consideration rates among glasses/contacts wearers may differ. The inaction-dominates pattern is broadly consistent with the satisfaction literature (most who get LASIK are satisfied; many who don't continue to wear corrective lenses with declining satisfaction over time), but the 21-point estimated gap is approximate rather than empirically derived.

Исходные данные: /api/decisions.json

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