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行動 vs. 不行動の後悔

早めに株式投資するか、預金に預けておくか

行動した場合

早くから株式・市場に投資する

15%

行動しなかった場合

預貯金・定期預金で置いておく

48%

それぞれの選択を後で後悔した人の割合。バーと完全な記録は下に表示されます。


金融

最終確認 2026-04-26

証拠の質 4.0/5

8次元のレビュー評価。基準は 品質ルーブリック 。各次元は1〜5で評価。

D1 出典の検証
3/5
D2 出典の権威性と独立性
4/5
D3 後悔率の正確性
3/5
D4 出典の比較可能性
3/5
D5 ギロヴィッチ・パターン
5/5
D6 文章の質
5/5
D7 注意事項の完全性
5/5
D8 サンプルの質
4/5
平均 4.0/5
Two hourglasses side by side, one with coins flowing through, the other with coins stuck at the top.

行動への後悔

早くから株式・市場に投資する

15%

投資家の約15%が市場での能動的な動き(売却して離脱)を後悔

投資する米国成人、オンラインパネル

遡及的、過去1年

不作為への後悔

預貯金・定期預金で置いておく

48%

48%が老後のための貯蓄・投資をもっと早く始めるべきだったと回答

米国成人、オンラインパネル

遡及的、固定期間なし

この選択を後悔した割合

inaction dominates — 不作為が優勢 — 多くは行動しなかったことを後悔しています。

関連する決断

意味的に類似する決断 — 同じ領域、異なるトレードオフ。

金融

投資

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が3.2倍高い

金融直接

老後貯蓄の時期

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が11.0倍高い

金融

仮想通貨 vs. 伝統的投資

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が2.9倍高い

金融直接

住宅購入

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が5.6倍高い

lifestyle

旅行費

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が11.8倍高い

金融

奨学金ローン vs. 安価な道

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.3倍高い

金融

頭金の贈り物 vs. 老後の蓄えを守る

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が2.3倍高い

金融

家賃交渉

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.9倍高い

A Clarify Capital survey of 1,000 adults named “not investing earlier in life” as the single biggest financial regret Americans report, and found that nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving for retirement earlier. Respondents estimated their net worth would be $40,000 higher today had they started sooner — and one in three put the figure at $100,000 or more. On the action side, regret about having invested is far rarer and is not directly surveyed: the closest cited measure comes from MagnifyMoney/CNBC, where 38% of investors pulled money out during volatility and 40% of that group regret it — roughly 15% of investors who took an active market move they wish they hadn’t. Bankrate’s own biggest-financial-regret menu (retirement 22%, emergency savings 18%, credit card debt 14%) contains no investment-loss category at all, underscoring how far action-type investing regret sits below the inaction regrets.

The mechanism is compound interest working in reverse as a regret amplifier. A 25-year-old who puts $10,000 into an S&P 500 index fund and leaves it for 30 years at the historical ~10% nominal return ends up with roughly $175,000; the same person waiting until 35 ends up with ~$67,000 — a gap that exists entirely because of the ten lost years, not because of any difference in skill or risk tolerance. Börsch-Supan et al. (2023) confirmed this pattern with peer-reviewed rigor: surveying US adults aged 60-79, they found 58.5% affirm saving regret — the wish to have saved more earlier. Notably, their analysis found that life shocks (unemployment, health crises, divorce) explained more of the variation than procrastination or psychological traits, suggesting that saving regret is partly driven by circumstance rather than pure inaction bias.

The caveat is regime dependence. These surveys were fielded during or shortly after a 13-year US equity bull run in which the S&P 500 returned roughly 15% annualized. Someone who invested early in Japan’s Nikkei in 1989 waited over 30 years to break even; someone who bought US equities in March 2000 was underwater for a decade. The 48% inaction-regret figure is partly a product of hindsight bias magnified by a historically favorable period. In a high-interest-rate environment — such as 2023-2024, when US savings accounts and CDs offered 5%+ — the gap between “invest early” and “keep in term deposits” narrows considerably. The directional finding (timing regret favors starting early) is robust across most long horizons; the magnitude is era-dependent and should not be read as a universal constant.

出典: 行動

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

  1. [1] CNBC / MagnifyMoney — Nearly 40% of investors who pulled money out of markets in the last year regret it
    Nearly 40% of investors who pulled money out of markets in the last year regret it
    統計値
    38% of investors pulled money from the stock market due to current events; of those, 40% wish they had stayed invested (≈15% of investors)
    抜粋
    “"38 percent of investors said they sold stocks last year due to a current event, and of that group, 40 percent said they wish they'd kept their money invested." ”
    出典データ
    2022-05-16
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    MagnifyMoney/CNBC: 38% of investors pulled money out of the market due to current events, and 40% of that group now regret it. That implies roughly 0.38 × 0.40 ≈ 15% of investors took an active market move they regret. We use this ≈15% as the action-regret rate, because among people who acted on their investments the regret overwhelmingly runs toward wishing they had stayed in the market — not toward wishing they had never invested. The predominant action-regret is about exiting, not entering; no reached survey reports a clean "regret investing early" rate, so this exit-regret figure is the closest cited action-regret measure.
  2. [2] Bankrate — Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    統計値
    Bankrate's biggest-financial-regret menu is led by inaction-type regrets (retirement 22%, emergencies 18%, credit card debt 14%); investment losses are not among the top listed categories
    抜粋
    “"22% of Americans said not saving for retirement early enough is their top financial regret. 18% of Americans said they regretted not socking away enough money to cover emergency expenses. Other financial regrets included incurring too much credit card debt (14%) and buying more house than they could afford (2%)." ”
    出典データ
    2024-08-20
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    Bankrate commissioned YouGov to survey US adults in July 2024, nationally representative via non-probability sample with quotas. The top financial regrets are retirement saving (22%), emergency savings (18%), and credit card debt (14%) — all inaction-type regrets. "Investment losses" or "poor investment decisions" is not a listed top category, which is context that action-side (regret-having-invested) rates are low; Bankrate does not itself supply the action rate.

出典: 不作為

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/3 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Clarify Capital — The Financial Regrets Report: What Americans Wish They Did Differently
    The Financial Regrets Report: What Americans Wish They Did Differently

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    Nearly half (48%) of Americans say they should have started saving for retirement earlier; not investing earlier in life ranked as the single biggest financial regret, with respondents estimating $40,000 higher net worth had they started sooner
    抜粋
    “"Americans' biggest financial regrets were not investing earlier in life, overspending, and taking on too much debt. On average, they estimated their net worth would be $40,000 higher today if they had avoided their biggest financial mistake, while 1 in 3 believed they'd have $100,000 more in their accounts. Retirement accounts topped the list of investments Americans regretted not making sooner. Nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving earlier, including 56% of Gen X, 51% of baby boomers, and 35% of Gen Z." ”
    出典データ
    2023-06-15
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    Clarify Capital surveyed 1,000 Americans (average age 41). The survey names "not investing earlier in life" as the top-ranked biggest financial regret but attaches no single headline percentage to that rank; the closest stated figure for the timing dimension is that "nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving earlier" for retirement. We use that verbatim 48% as the inaction-regret rate. The $40K net-worth gap (and 1 in 3 estimating $100,000 more) is self-estimated and likely conservative for those who kept money in term deposits during a prolonged equity bull market. Verified against the archived snapshot (web.archive.org/web/20250607215536).
  2. [2] Bankrate — Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    Survey: 2 In 5 Americans Regret Not Saving Enough For Retirement Or Emergencies
    統計値
    22% of Americans say not saving for retirement early enough is their No. 1 financial regret — the top regret for six of seven years Bankrate has tracked it
    抜粋
    “"Not saving for retirement early enough has been the No. 1 regret among Americans for six out of the seven years Bankrate has asked about financial regrets. 22 percent cited it as their top regret in 2024. Only 15 percent of people with a financial regret have made significant progress on it in the last 12 months." ”
    出典データ
    2024-08-20
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    Bankrate's 22% figure uses a different framing — "not saving for retirement early enough" — which captures the same timing regret but in a broader financial-regret menu. The lower figure reflects competition with other regret categories (debt, emergencies), not weaker sentiment. The persistence across seven annual surveys confirms this is not a one-year anomaly.
  3. [3] Journal of Economic Psychology / Börsch-Supan, Bucher-Koenen, Hurd & Rohwedder — Saving regret and procrastination 検証済み
    Saving regret and procrastination

    See all 3 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    58% of US adults aged 60-79 affirm saving regret — the wish in hindsight to have saved more earlier in life
    抜粋
    “"We defined saving regret as the wish in hindsight to have saved more earlier in life, and measured this along with possible determinants in a survey of U.S. households where respondents were aged 60–79. We found high levels of saving regret: approximately 58% of respondents affirmed it. Married, older, healthier and wealthier respondents were less likely to report saving regret." ”
    出典データ
    2023-02-01
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    Börsch-Supan et al. (2023), Journal of Economic Psychology 94. Peer-reviewed study using a nationally representative US sample of adults aged 60-79. The paper's preferred estimate is 58.5%; its abstract states "approximately 58% of respondents affirmed it." This corroborates the survey-based timing-regret findings (Clarify Capital 48%, Bankrate 22%) with a stronger methodology. The higher rate likely reflects that older adults have more hindsight and larger realized opportunity costs. Shocks (unemployment, health, divorce) explained more variation than procrastination, suggesting saving regret is partly driven by life events rather than pure inaction bias.

注意事項

The 48% inaction rate (Clarify Capital) and the ≈15% action rate (MagnifyMoney/CNBC) come from different surveys with different question structures, and they measure related but not identical constructs. The Clarify Capital survey named "not investing earlier in life" as the top-ranked biggest financial regret but attached no headline percentage to that rank; the 48% we use is its nearest stated timing figure — "nearly half (48%) said they should have started saving earlier" for retirement — so the inaction rate is a saving/investing-timing regret, not strictly a "wish I had invested in stocks" rate. The ≈15% action figure is derived from exit-regret (38% of investors sold during volatility, 40% of them regret it) because no reached survey reports a clean "regret investing early" rate — action-regret about having invested is not directly measured, and Bankrate's regret menu (retirement 22%, emergencies 18%, credit card debt 14%) contains no investment-loss category at all. The $40,000 net-worth gap is self-estimated, not actuarially calculated — people anchor on round numbers and may overstate or understate the true opportunity cost. The inaction surveys were conducted during or shortly after a historically strong US equity bull market (2009-2022, S&P 500 ~15% annualized). In a prolonged bear market or stagnation regime (Japan post-1989, US 2000-2010), inaction regret would be significantly lower and action regret higher. Term deposit holders in high-interest environments (e.g., 5%+ rates in 2023-2024) may have less regret than these surveys suggest. The Börsch-Supan et al. peer-reviewed finding (58.5% saving regret among 60-79 year-olds) confirms the directional pattern with stronger methodology but also shows that life shocks, not just procrastination, drive much of the variation. The delta of 0.33 is moderate and regime-dependent. Survey data are drawn exclusively from United States samples; satisfaction and regret rates in countries with different institutional structures — financial markets, tax-advantaged account structures, and capital-gains regimes — may differ substantially.

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