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Penyesalan bertindak vs. tidak bertindak

Pensiun dini vs. bekerja lebih lama

Jika Anda bertindak

Pensiun dini

20%

Jika Anda tidak bertindak

Bekerja lebih lama

5,0%

Persentase orang yang kemudian menyesali setiap pilihan. Diagram batang dan catatan lengkap ditampilkan di bawah.


Career

Terakhir ditinjau 2026-04-26

Kualitas bukti 4.5/5

Skor tinjauan delapan dimensi terhadap rubrik kualitas . Setiap dimensi dinilai 1–5.

D1 Verifikasi sumber
5/5
D2 Otoritas & independensi sumber
5/5
D3 Akurasi tingkat penyesalan
3/5
D4 Keterbandingan sumber
5/5
D5 Pola Gilovich
5/5
D6 Kualitas prosa
5/5
D7 Kelengkapan peringatan
4/5
D8 Kualitas sampel
4/5
Rata-rata 4.5/5
Two clocks side by side, one showing an early hour with a calm landscape, the other showing a late hour with an office silhouette.
Data proksi — tidak ada survei penyesalan langsung untuk keputusan ini. Tingkat diturunkan dari skor kepuasan dan data hambatan akses daripada pertanyaan yang langsung menanyakan tentang penyesalan. Lihat peringatan di bawah.

Penyesalan atas tindakan

Pensiun dini

20%

20% pensiunan dini menyesali keputusan

Orang Amerika yang melaporkan diri pensiun

retrospektif, pensiun 5+ tahun

Penyesalan atas kelambanan

Bekerja lebih lama

5,0%

6% menyesali bekerja terlalu lama

Orang Amerika yang melaporkan diri pensiun

retrospektif, pensiun 5+ tahun

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

action dominates — Bertindak mendominasi — sebagian besar menyesali karena bertindak.

Keputusan terkait

Keputusan yang serupa secara semantik — area yang sama, kompromi yang berbeda.

career

Ganti karier

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 1.5× lebih tinggi

career

Memulai bisnis

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 5.5× lebih tinggi

career

Pelatihan ulang paruh baya vs tetap

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 2.4× lebih tinggi

family

Di rumah vs bekerja

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 1.3× lebih tinggi

KeuanganLangsung

Waktu menabung pensiun

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 11.0× lebih tinggi

career

Freelance vs kantoran

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Tindakan mendominasi

Penyesalan bertindak 1.3× lebih tinggi

career

Resign

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 2.2× lebih tinggi

career

Negosiasi gaji

% menyesal dengan pilihan ini

Ketidakaktifan mendominasi

Penyesalan tidak bertindak 1.2× lebih tinggi

20% of early retirees regret their decision to stop working, according to a MedicareFAQ survey of 569 retired Americans (“74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision”). The mirror side — regret about working too long — is much rarer, but no US survey measures it directly, so this pair is proxy- graded: a UK Which? survey (May 2025, n=1,188) found roughly 5% felt they had retired too late, “half as many” as the ~10% who felt they had stopped work too early. Even at that rough level, action (retiring early) generates more regret than inaction (continuing to work), reversing the typical Gilovich pattern. The reason on the action side is almost entirely financial — 86% of the MedicareFAQ respondents wished they had saved more, and 75% of early retirees in a separate Manulife study said they regretted not saving enough.

Hurwitz and Mitchell (NBER Working Paper 30696, 2022) sharpen the direction of retirement-timing regret with a controlled experiment of 1,764 Americans aged 50 and older. In their sample, 37% regretted not working longer and 57% regretted not saving more — both point the same way as the MedicareFAQ finding: the dominant timing regret is retiring too early, not too late. (This 37% is NBER’s figure; the MedicareFAQ article itself does not report a “worked longer” number.) Börsch-Supan et al. (2023) reinforce the underlying cause: 58.5% of those aged 60-79 wished they had saved more. Working longer is often a proxy for the saving people failed to do, which is why “I should have worked longer” and “I should have saved more” track together.

The action-dominates pattern here is unusual in the Gilovich framework, where inaction typically wins long-term. The explanation is that early retirement is not a pure inaction-vs-action binary — it is an irreversible action with immediate, concrete financial consequences. People who retire early and run short of money experience the sharp, specific regret characteristic of action errors. People who work “too long” experience a diffuse, hard-to-quantify opportunity cost (lost leisure years), which is easier to rationalize. The low working-too-long rate may also reflect survivorship bias: those who worked until health failed may not be surveyed.

Sumber: tindakan

Buku besar klaim

Setiap angka di bawah ini adalah apa yang dilaporkan masing-masing sumber, dengan kutipan kata demi kata yang kami andalkan dan bagaimana kami sampai pada angka kami. Klik tautan mana saja untuk memverifikasi langsung.

1/3 sumber diverifikasi secara independen kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip

  1. [1] MedicareFAQ — Retirement Regrets Statistics: Advice for the Next Generation
    Retirement Regrets Statistics: Advice for the Next Generation
    Statistik
    74% were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision
    Kutipan
    “"Among survey respondents, 74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision. The majority (86%) wish they would have saved more before retiring, and 60% say they did not start investing in their retirement funds early enough." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2024-02-19
    Diakses
    2026-04-26
    Perhitungan
    MedicareFAQ surveyed 569 retired Americans (online, self-selected) in January 2024. Sample: 65% female, 35% male, ages 27-90 (average 65), average retirement age 58. The archived article (Wayback snapshot 2024-11-14) states verbatim: "74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision" — this grounds the 20% action rate. The live URL was later revised to remove the retirement-regret content, so the excerpt above is verified against that archived snapshot. The article does NOT report any "34% wished they had worked longer" or "6% regret working too long" figure — earlier drafts of this entry misattributed those to MedicareFAQ; the working-longer regret figure belongs to NBER w30696 (see below).
  2. [2] National Bureau of Economic Research / Hurwitz & Mitchell — Financial Regret at Older Ages and Longevity Awareness
    Financial Regret at Older Ages and Longevity Awareness

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Statistik
    37% of respondents aged 50+ regretted not working longer; 57% regretted not saving more
    Kutipan
    “"57% regretted not saving more for retirement, 40% regretted not purchasing Long-Term Care insurance, 37% regretted not working longer, 33% regretted not buying lifetime income payments, 23% regretted delaying Social Security benefit claims, and 10% expressed regret about financial dependence on others." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2022-11-01
    Diakses
    2026-04-26
    Perhitungan
    Hurwitz & Mitchell, NBER Working Paper 30696 (2022, revised 2023; published in Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2025). Controlled randomized experiment of 1,764 respondents aged 50+. The full list of stated regret rates — 57% not saving more, 40% not buying LTC insurance, 37% not working longer, 33% not buying lifetime income, 23% delaying Social Security, 10% financial dependence — was verified via Knowledge@Wharton's summary of the paper. This is the sole cited source for the "wished they had worked longer" dimension; it is a regret about NOT working longer (i.e. retiring too early), which supports the action-side (early-retirement) regret, not the inaction side.
  3. [3] Manulife John Hancock Retirement (11th Financial Resilience and Longevity Report) — Manulife John Hancock Releases New Retirement Report with Insights on Preparing for a Better 40-Year Retirement Journey Terverifikasi
    Manulife John Hancock Releases New Retirement Report with Insights on Preparing for a Better 40-Year Retirement Journey
    Statistik
    75% of retirees who retired earlier than expected said they regretted not saving more for retirement
    Kutipan
    “"75% of those retiring earlier than expected reported that they regretted not saving more for retirement." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2025-11-18
    Diakses
    2026-07-04
    Verifikasi
    Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
    Perhitungan
    Manulife John Hancock Retirement's 11th annual Financial Resilience and Longevity Report, fielded May 9-June 2, 2025 among 2,534 retirement-plan participants plus a 512-person American-retiree panel via Angus Reid, commissioned research conducted by Edelman Public Relations Worldwide Canada Inc. Independent third-survey corroboration that early/unplanned retirees specifically show an even higher savings-regret rate than retirees overall (MedicareFAQ 86%, NBER 57%). Grounds the body-text "separate Manulife study" claim.

Sumber: tidak bertindak

Buku besar klaim

Setiap angka di bawah ini adalah apa yang dilaporkan masing-masing sumber, dengan kutipan kata demi kata yang kami andalkan dan bagaimana kami sampai pada angka kami. Klik tautan mana saja untuk memverifikasi langsung.

  1. [1] Which? — The 4 biggest retirement regrets and how to avoid them
    The 4 biggest retirement regrets and how to avoid them
    Statistik
    Around 1 in 10 felt they stopped work too early; half as many (~5%) felt they had retired too late
    Kutipan
    “"Around one in 10 people in our survey told us they felt they stopped work too early, while half as many said they felt they had retired too late." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2025-05-01
    Diakses
    2026-07-12
    Perhitungan
    Which? surveyed 1,188 retired and semi-retired UK members in May 2025. "Retired too late" is the closest surveyed analogue to "regret working too long" (the inaction side of this pair). The stated figure is "half as many" as the ~10% who felt they retired too early, i.e. ~5%. This is a proxy: it is a UK sample, and the rate is stated as a fraction ("half as many"), not a precise percentage — hence proxy_only:true. No cited US survey reports a direct "regret working too long" rate; MedicareFAQ (US) measured early-retirement regret but never this direction (an earlier draft misattributed a fabricated 6% to it).
  2. [2] PMC / Börsch-Supan et al. — Saving Regret and Procrastination
    Saving Regret and Procrastination

    See all 3 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Statistik
    58.5% of the population aged 60 to 79 wished they had saved more
    Kutipan
    “"58.5 percent of the population aged 60 to 79 wished they had saved more." ”
    Data sumber dari
    2023-02-15
    Diakses
    2026-04-25
    Perhitungan
    Börsch-Supan, Bucher-Koenen, Hurd & Rohwedder, "Saving Regret and Procrastination." Peer-reviewed study measuring SAVING regret only (58.5% of ages 60-79 wished they had saved more). It does NOT report a retirement-timing / working-too-long regret rate; it is cited here to establish that the dominant retirement regret is financial (undersaving), which contextualises why the timing-of- retirement inaction rate is low and why the pair is proxy-graded.

Catatan

Sampel MedicareFAQ dipilih sendiri (survei online dari orang-orang yang mengunjungi situs informasi Medicare) dan condong lebih tua dan perempuan. Usia pensiun rata-rata 58 berada di bawah median AS, yang berarti sampel terlalu mewakili pensiunan dini. Tingkat penyesalan pensiun dini 20% kemungkinan mencerminkan ketidaksiapan keuangan lebih dari preferensi asli untuk pekerjaan berkelanjutan — 86% responden juga berharap mereka menabung lebih banyak. Pensiunan dini yang tidak sukarela (masalah kesehatan, pemecatan) digabungkan dengan yang sukarela. Penyesalan bekerja terlalu lama 6% mungkin juga ditekan oleh bias survivor: orang yang bekerja sampai mereka secara fisik tidak mampu mungkin tidak cukup sehat untuk berpartisipasi dalam survei. Data survei diambil secara eksklusif dari sampel AS.

Data mentah: /api/decisions.json

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