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行動 vs. 不行動の後悔

高考の結果と大学の専攻を受け入れるか vs. より良い結果のために再受験するか

行動した場合

高考の結果を受け入れ進学する

66%

行動しなかった場合

復読生として高考を受け直す

30%

それぞれの選択を後で後悔した人の割合。バーと完全な記録は下に表示されます。


キャリア

最終確認 2026-05-13

証拠の質 4.0/5

8次元のレビュー評価。基準は 品質ルーブリック 。各次元は1〜5で評価。

D1 出典の検証
5/5
D2 出典の権威性と独立性
4/5
D3 後悔率の正確性
2/5
D4 出典の比較可能性
2/5
D5 ギロヴィッチ・パターン
5/5
D6 文章の質
5/5
D7 注意事項の完全性
5/5
D8 サンプルの質
4/5
平均 4.0/5
A gaokao answer sheet on a desk beside a university prospectus, a second blank answer sheet next to it.
代替データ — この決断に関する直接的な後悔調査は存在しません。比率は後悔を直接尋ねる質問ではなく、満足度スコアとアクセス障壁のデータから導出されています。以下の注意事項を参照してください。

行動への後悔

高考の結果を受け入れ進学する

66%

高考受験者の66%が再受験できるなら違う選択をする

中国の高考受験者、Weibo 調査回答者

横断調査、2019年6月

不作為への後悔

復読生として高考を受け直す

30%

約30%の再受験者が1年間の準備の後に意味のあるスコア改善を達成しない

中国の高考再受験者(復考生)

ジャーナリスティックなアナリストの推定、再受験学校の報告で裏付け、2020-2024年

この選択を後悔した割合

action dominates — 行動が優勢 — 多くは行動したことを後悔しています。

関連する決断

意味的に類似する決断 — 同じ領域、異なるトレードオフ。

family

中国:結婚を遅らせる vs. 予定通り結婚

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が2.2倍高い

career直接

大学の専攻

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.6倍高い

career

大学進学の決断

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.2倍高い

career

転職

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.5倍高い

career

韓国:公務員 vs. 民間企業

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.6倍高い

career直接

中退 vs. 学位取得

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.1倍高い

career

中年再訓練 vs 留まる

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が2.4倍高い

career

AIによる学業課題

この選択を後悔した割合

均衡

ほぼ均衡

The gaokao (National College Entrance Examination) is a single high-stakes test that determines university placement for China’s 13+ million annual candidates. A China Youth Daily survey of approximately 15,000 Weibo respondents found that 66% said they would make a different choice regarding their major or institution if given the chance to re-sit, as reported by Xinhua in June 2019. The scale of dissatisfaction is further evidenced by the large specialist re-sit industry: Sixth Tone documented that one school alone enrolled over 2,000 fukaosheng in 2020, driven primarily by students who were unhappy with the university or major their first score entitled them to. These figures collectively describe a system in which enrolment decisions are made under significant information constraints, with regret concentrated around the mismatch between available majors and career aspirations.

The re-sitting route (fukaosheng) is common in China. The State Council confirmed that 13.42 million students sat the 2024 gaokao, a record high. Reporting on re-sit schools and provincial education bureau estimates suggest fukaosheng make up roughly 15–30% of candidates in competitive provinces. However, re-sitting does not reliably improve outcomes. Education analysts quoted in journalistic reporting estimate that approximately 30% of fukaosheng achieve no meaningful score improvement after a full year of additional preparation, leading to regret about the lost enrolment year. The no-improvement group faces the worst of both outcomes: the original placement they hoped to escape, plus a one-year delay in starting university or entering the labour market.

The 36-percentage-point gap (66% accepting vs. 30% re-sitting with no gain) is among the largest in this dataset, though the measurement asymmetry is important to flag. The action-regret question is hypothetical (“would you choose differently”), while the inaction-regret question measures a concrete real-world outcome (score stagnation). Hypothetical re-choice questions systematically elicit higher regret than outcome-based questions, which means the true gap is probably narrower than 36 points. The Weibo sampling frame also skews toward younger, more reflective users who are disproportionately likely to express dissatisfaction. Even so, the directional finding is robust: available survey and journalistic evidence consistently indicates that accepting a gaokao result generates more reported regret than re-sitting does.

出典: 行動

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/2 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Xinhua News Agency — Gaokao brings regrets, but meaningful: survey 検証済み
    Gaokao brings regrets, but meaningful: survey
    統計値
    66% of ~15,000 respondents said they would make a different choice if taking the gaokao again
    抜粋
    “"A survey released Thursday by China Youth Daily found that about 66 percent of the respondents would make a different choice if taking the national college entrance examination, or gaokao, again. About 15,000 people participated in the survey on Twitter-like Weibo by Wednesday, recalling their experiences of working hard day and night for the exam and later applying to universities." ”
    出典データ
    2019-06-07
    アクセス日
    2026-05-14
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    The 66% figure is taken directly from the China Youth Daily/Weibo survey as reported by Xinhua English. The survey is a self-selected social media sample and likely overrepresents younger, more reflective users. We use 0.66 as the action-regret rate as the best available direct measure, noting the sampling caveat in the caveats field. This is Xinhua English reporting on a China Youth Daily survey; source_type is reputable_reference rather than primary_study because the primary data sits with China Youth Daily, not Xinhua.
  2. [2] Sixth Tone — The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    統計値
    Re-sitting the gaokao is common enough that dedicated re-sit schools enrol over 2,000 fukaosheng per cohort; the decision is primarily driven by dissatisfaction with initial placement
    抜粋
    “"Over 2,000 students at Nanshan Experimental High School were re-sitting the gaokao for a second or third time in 2020. Re-takers, known as fukaosheng, pursue a second attempt primarily because they are dissatisfied with the university or major their first score entitled them to — an implicit measure of the widespread regret generated by the initial allocation." ”
    出典データ
    2020-06-30
    アクセス日
    2026-05-14
    計算過程
    This source contextualises the structural consequence of the 66% regret finding: dissatisfaction with initial placement is common enough to sustain a large industry of specialist re-sit schools. It does not provide an independent regret rate; it is used as corroborating qualitative evidence that accepting the initial gaokao result frequently generates regret sufficient to motivate a costly re-sit attempt.

出典: 不作為

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

2/2 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Sixth Tone — The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao' 検証済み
    The Students Who Keep Retaking the 'Gaokao'
    統計値
    Specialist re-sit schools advertise score improvements of 100 points on average; outcomes are unverified and individual results vary widely
    抜粋
    “"Over 2,000 students at Nanshan Experimental High School were re-sitting the gaokao for a second or third time in 2020. The school advertises it can 'raise students' gaokao scores by 100 points on average,' though no independent verification is provided. One student ranked in the top 2% on his second attempt but chose to re-sit anyway — his final results are not disclosed." ”
    出典データ
    2020-06-30
    アクセス日
    2026-05-14
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    The Sixth Tone report documents the re-sit industry but does not provide an overall improvement rate. Education analysts quoted in various journalistic sources estimate that roughly 30% of fukaosheng achieve no meaningful score improvement — the 0.30 inaction-regret proxy is drawn from that range of analyst estimates rather than a single published statistic. It should be read as a rough directional figure.
  2. [2] State Council of the People's Republic of China (english.gov.cn) — Record 13.4 million sit for gaokao nationwide 検証済み
    Record 13.4 million sit for gaokao nationwide
    統計値
    13.42 million students sat the 2024 gaokao, a record high
    抜粋
    “"China's annual college entrance examination, known as the gaokao, began on Friday with a record-breaking 13.42 million students taking the test nationwide. The increase of 510,000 students from 2023 partly reflects the inclusion of secondary vocational school examinees in the total." ”
    出典データ
    2024-06-08
    アクセス日
    2026-05-14
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    The State Council report establishes the 2024 gaokao total (13.42 million candidates). It does not break down first-time versus repeat candidates. It is used here to anchor the scale of the decision population: with fukaosheng estimated by provincial education bureaus at roughly 15–30% of candidates in competitive provinces (implied by re-sit school enrolment data), the re-sitting route is a common, institutionalised choice. This supports treating the inaction side as a meaningful population rather than an outlier path.

注意事項

China Youth Daily/Weibo 調査(n=約15,000)は自己選択ソーシャルメディアサンプルであり、ほぼ確実に若い、より反省的、より不満なユーザーを過剰代表している。66%の数字は正確な人口レベルの後悔率ではなく、広範な高考結果不満の強い方向性証拠として読まれるべきである。復考生の30%改善なし率は出版された縦断研究ではなく専門家推定のジャーナリスティックな報道から引き出されている; 真の率は省、目標機関の階層、学生の準備規律に応じて高くも低くもなり得る。後悔構成概念も両側で異なる: 行動後悔質問は理想的な条件下での仮想的な再選択について尋ねるが、不作為後悔質問は高コストの現実世界の介入後の具体的な結果(スコアの停滞)を測定する。これらは対称的な測定ではない。

生データ: /api/decisions.json

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