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Arrependimento de agir vs. não agir

Aposentar-se cedo vs. trabalhar mais tempo

Se você agir

Aposentar-se cedo

20%

Se você não agir

Trabalhar por mais tempo

5,0%

Porcentagem de quem mais tarde se arrepende de cada escolha. As barras e o registro completo aparecem abaixo.


Carreira

Última revisão 2026-04-26

Qualidade das evidências 4.5/5

Pontuação de revisão em oito dimensões segundo a grelha de qualidade . Cada dimensão pontuada de 1 a 5.

D1 Verificação das fontes
5/5
D2 Autoridade e independência das fontes
5/5
D3 Precisão da taxa de arrependimento
3/5
D4 Comparabilidade das fontes
5/5
D5 Padrão de Gilovich
5/5
D6 Qualidade da prosa
5/5
D7 Completude das ressalvas
4/5
D8 Qualidade da amostra
4/5
Média 4.5/5
Two clocks side by side, one showing an early hour with a calm landscape, the other showing a late hour with an office silhouette.
Dados proxy — não existe nenhuma pesquisa direta sobre arrependimento para esta decisão. As taxas são derivadas de pontuações de satisfação e dados de barreiras de acesso em vez de perguntas que perguntavam diretamente sobre arrependimento. Veja advertências abaixo.

Arrependimento por ação

Aposentar-se cedo

20%

20% dos aposentados precoces se arrependem da decisão

Americanos aposentados auto-relatados nos EUA

retrospectivo, aposentados 5+ anos

Arrependimento por omissão

Trabalhar por mais tempo

5,0%

6% se arrependem de ter trabalhado tempo demais

Americanos aposentados auto-relatados nos EUA

retrospectivo, aposentados 5+ anos

% se arrependem desta escolha

action dominates — A acção domina — a maioria arrepende-se de ter agido.

Decisões relacionadas

Decisões semanticamente semelhantes — mesmo terreno, compromissos diferentes.

career

Mudança de carreira

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.5× maior

career

Abrir negócio

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 5.5× maior

career

Requalificação tardia vs permanecer

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 2.4× maior

family

Ficar em casa vs trabalhar

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 1.3× maior

FinanceiroDireta

Poupança para reforma

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 11.0× maior

career

Freelance vs emprego

% se arrependem desta escolha

A ação predomina

Arrependimento de ação 1.3× maior

career

Deixar o emprego

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 2.2× maior

career

Negociação salarial

% se arrependem desta escolha

A inação predomina

Arrependimento de inação 1.2× maior

20% of early retirees regret their decision to stop working, according to a MedicareFAQ survey of 569 retired Americans (“74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision”). The mirror side — regret about working too long — is much rarer, but no US survey measures it directly, so this pair is proxy- graded: a UK Which? survey (May 2025, n=1,188) found roughly 5% felt they had retired too late, “half as many” as the ~10% who felt they had stopped work too early. Even at that rough level, action (retiring early) generates more regret than inaction (continuing to work), reversing the typical Gilovich pattern. The reason on the action side is almost entirely financial — 86% of the MedicareFAQ respondents wished they had saved more, and 75% of early retirees in a separate Manulife study said they regretted not saving enough.

Hurwitz and Mitchell (NBER Working Paper 30696, 2022) sharpen the direction of retirement-timing regret with a controlled experiment of 1,764 Americans aged 50 and older. In their sample, 37% regretted not working longer and 57% regretted not saving more — both point the same way as the MedicareFAQ finding: the dominant timing regret is retiring too early, not too late. (This 37% is NBER’s figure; the MedicareFAQ article itself does not report a “worked longer” number.) Börsch-Supan et al. (2023) reinforce the underlying cause: 58.5% of those aged 60-79 wished they had saved more. Working longer is often a proxy for the saving people failed to do, which is why “I should have worked longer” and “I should have saved more” track together.

The action-dominates pattern here is unusual in the Gilovich framework, where inaction typically wins long-term. The explanation is that early retirement is not a pure inaction-vs-action binary — it is an irreversible action with immediate, concrete financial consequences. People who retire early and run short of money experience the sharp, specific regret characteristic of action errors. People who work “too long” experience a diffuse, hard-to-quantify opportunity cost (lost leisure years), which is easier to rationalize. The low working-too-long rate may also reflect survivorship bias: those who worked until health failed may not be surveyed.

Fontes: acção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

1/3 fontes verificadas de forma independente palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada

  1. [1] MedicareFAQ — Retirement Regrets Statistics: Advice for the Next Generation
    Retirement Regrets Statistics: Advice for the Next Generation
    Estatística
    74% were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision
    Trecho
    “"Among survey respondents, 74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision. The majority (86%) wish they would have saved more before retiring, and 60% say they did not start investing in their retirement funds early enough." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2024-02-19
    Acessado
    2026-04-26
    Cálculo
    MedicareFAQ surveyed 569 retired Americans (online, self-selected) in January 2024. Sample: 65% female, 35% male, ages 27-90 (average 65), average retirement age 58. The archived article (Wayback snapshot 2024-11-14) states verbatim: "74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision" — this grounds the 20% action rate. The live URL was later revised to remove the retirement-regret content, so the excerpt above is verified against that archived snapshot. The article does NOT report any "34% wished they had worked longer" or "6% regret working too long" figure — earlier drafts of this entry misattributed those to MedicareFAQ; the working-longer regret figure belongs to NBER w30696 (see below).
  2. [2] National Bureau of Economic Research / Hurwitz & Mitchell — Financial Regret at Older Ages and Longevity Awareness
    Financial Regret at Older Ages and Longevity Awareness

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Estatística
    37% of respondents aged 50+ regretted not working longer; 57% regretted not saving more
    Trecho
    “"57% regretted not saving more for retirement, 40% regretted not purchasing Long-Term Care insurance, 37% regretted not working longer, 33% regretted not buying lifetime income payments, 23% regretted delaying Social Security benefit claims, and 10% expressed regret about financial dependence on others." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2022-11-01
    Acessado
    2026-04-26
    Cálculo
    Hurwitz & Mitchell, NBER Working Paper 30696 (2022, revised 2023; published in Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2025). Controlled randomized experiment of 1,764 respondents aged 50+. The full list of stated regret rates — 57% not saving more, 40% not buying LTC insurance, 37% not working longer, 33% not buying lifetime income, 23% delaying Social Security, 10% financial dependence — was verified via Knowledge@Wharton's summary of the paper. This is the sole cited source for the "wished they had worked longer" dimension; it is a regret about NOT working longer (i.e. retiring too early), which supports the action-side (early-retirement) regret, not the inaction side.
  3. [3] Manulife John Hancock Retirement (11th Financial Resilience and Longevity Report) — Manulife John Hancock Releases New Retirement Report with Insights on Preparing for a Better 40-Year Retirement Journey Verificado
    Manulife John Hancock Releases New Retirement Report with Insights on Preparing for a Better 40-Year Retirement Journey
    Estatística
    75% of retirees who retired earlier than expected said they regretted not saving more for retirement
    Trecho
    “"75% of those retiring earlier than expected reported that they regretted not saving more for retirement." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2025-11-18
    Acessado
    2026-07-04
    Verificação
    Trecho obtido novamente de forma independente e confirmado palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada durante nossa auditoria de fundamentação.
    Cálculo
    Manulife John Hancock Retirement's 11th annual Financial Resilience and Longevity Report, fielded May 9-June 2, 2025 among 2,534 retirement-plan participants plus a 512-person American-retiree panel via Angus Reid, commissioned research conducted by Edelman Public Relations Worldwide Canada Inc. Independent third-survey corroboration that early/unplanned retirees specifically show an even higher savings-regret rate than retirees overall (MedicareFAQ 86%, NBER 57%). Grounds the body-text "separate Manulife study" claim.

Fontes: inacção

Registro de evidências

Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.

  1. [1] Which? — The 4 biggest retirement regrets and how to avoid them
    The 4 biggest retirement regrets and how to avoid them
    Estatística
    Around 1 in 10 felt they stopped work too early; half as many (~5%) felt they had retired too late
    Trecho
    “"Around one in 10 people in our survey told us they felt they stopped work too early, while half as many said they felt they had retired too late." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2025-05-01
    Acessado
    2026-07-12
    Cálculo
    Which? surveyed 1,188 retired and semi-retired UK members in May 2025. "Retired too late" is the closest surveyed analogue to "regret working too long" (the inaction side of this pair). The stated figure is "half as many" as the ~10% who felt they retired too early, i.e. ~5%. This is a proxy: it is a UK sample, and the rate is stated as a fraction ("half as many"), not a precise percentage — hence proxy_only:true. No cited US survey reports a direct "regret working too long" rate; MedicareFAQ (US) measured early-retirement regret but never this direction (an earlier draft misattributed a fabricated 6% to it).
  2. [2] PMC / Börsch-Supan et al. — Saving Regret and Procrastination
    Saving Regret and Procrastination

    See all 3 Likelier entries citing this source →

    Estatística
    58.5% of the population aged 60 to 79 wished they had saved more
    Trecho
    “"58.5 percent of the population aged 60 to 79 wished they had saved more." ”
    Dados da fonte de
    2023-02-15
    Acessado
    2026-04-25
    Cálculo
    Börsch-Supan, Bucher-Koenen, Hurd & Rohwedder, "Saving Regret and Procrastination." Peer-reviewed study measuring SAVING regret only (58.5% of ages 60-79 wished they had saved more). It does NOT report a retirement-timing / working-too-long regret rate; it is cited here to establish that the dominant retirement regret is financial (undersaving), which contextualises why the timing-of- retirement inaction rate is low and why the pair is proxy-graded.

Ressalvas

This pair is proxy-graded. The two sides come from different surveys and even different countries, so the 20-vs-5 gap is directional, not a like-for-like measurement. The action rate (20% of early retirees regret it) is from MedicareFAQ, a self-selected online US survey that skews older and female with an average retirement age of 58 (below the US median), over-representing early retirees; that 20% likely reflects financial unpreparedness more than a genuine preference for continued employment — 86% of the same respondents wished they had saved more, and involuntary early retirees (health problems, layoffs) are conflated with voluntary ones. No cited US survey directly measures "regret working too long," so the inaction side uses a UK proxy: Which? (May 2025, n=1,188) found "half as many" as the ~10% who felt they retired too early said they retired too late — roughly 5%. That number is a fraction ("half as many"), not a precise percentage, and a UK sample; it should be read as "regret about working too long is uncommon," bounded around 5%, not a US-calibrated point estimate. The low working-too-long rate may also be suppressed by survivorship bias: people who worked until they were physically unable may not be well enough to participate in surveys. Regret rates in countries with different retirement systems — 401(k) structures, Social Security rules, pension norms, or healthcare entitlements — may differ substantially.

Dados brutos: /api/decisions.json

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