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Regret d’agir vs. de ne pas agir

Entrer dans la fonction publique sud-coréenne vs. poursuivre une carrière dans le secteur privé

Si vous agissez

Entrer dans la fonction publique

59%

Si vous n’agissez pas

Opter pour le secteur privé

37%

Pourcentage de personnes qui regrettent ensuite chaque choix. Les barres et le registre complet s’affichent ci-dessous.


Carrière

Dernière révision 2026-05-13

Qualité des preuves 3.5/5

Score d’évaluation en huit dimensions selon la grille de qualité . Chaque dimension notée de 1 à 5.

D1 Vérification des sources
3/5
D2 Autorité et indépendance des sources
4/5
D3 Précision du taux de regret
2/5
D4 Comparabilité des sources
2/5
D5 Motif de Gilovich
5/5
D6 Qualité de la prose
4/5
D7 Complétude des réserves
4/5
D8 Qualité de l’échantillon
4/5
Moyenne 3.5/5
Two contrasting desks: one with government stamps and official binders, one with a laptop and startup pitch deck.

Regret d'action

Entrer dans la fonction publique

59%

Substitut de départ précoce : ~58 % des démissions volontaires du gouvernement central sud-coréen émanent d'employés ayant moins de 5 ans d'ancienneté (part d'attrition précoce, et non un taux de regret déclaré)

Fonctionnaires du gouvernement central sud-coréen

démissions parmi les fonctionnaires de 21-30 ans, données annuelles 2024

Regret d'inaction

Opter pour le secteur privé

37%

Substitut d'insécurité structurelle : ~37 % des salariés sud-coréens détiennent des contrats non réguliers (bijeonggyujik) (exposition à l'insécurité de l'emploi, et non une enquête directe sur le regret)

Travailleurs du secteur privé sud-coréen

enquête rétrospective, 2022

% regrettent ce choix

action dominates — L'action domine — la plupart regrettent d'avoir agi.

Décisions associées

Décisions sémantiquement similaires — même terrain, compromis différents.

lifestyle

Corée : service militaire vs. service alternatif

% regrettent ce choix

L'action domine

Regret d'action 1.5× plus élevé

career

Chine : accepter le gaokao vs. repasser

% regrettent ce choix

L'action domine

Regret d'action 2.2× plus élevé

career

Changement de carrière

% regrettent ce choix

L'inaction domine

Regret d'inaction 1.5× plus élevé

career

Carrière vs équilibre

% regrettent ce choix

L'action domine

Regret d'action 1.3× plus élevé

career

Décision universitaire

% regrettent ce choix

L'action domine

Regret d'action 1.2× plus élevé

careerDirecte

Abandon vs. obtention du diplôme

% regrettent ce choix

L'action domine

Regret d'action 1.1× plus élevé

career

Université privée vs publique

% regrettent ce choix

Équilibré

À peu près équilibré

career

Télétravail vs bureau

% regrettent ce choix

L'inaction domine

Regret d'inaction 1.8× plus élevé

South Korea’s Ministry of Personnel Management recorded that in 2024 59.3% of general voluntary resignations from the central government (12,013 people) came from employees with fewer than five years of service, and the number of 21-30-year-old civil servants who resigned voluntarily doubled from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024. Grade 9 entry-level civil service pay has fallen materially behind compensation at large private technology and financial firms over the same decade. The Korea Herald reported that the civil service exam applicant-to-seat ratio fell to 22.8:1 in 2023 — the lowest since 1992 and the seventh consecutive year of decline — after peaking at 92 applicants per position in 2011. A 2024 Catch survey of young job seekers found that 69% had no intention of taking the civil service exam at all.

On the inaction side there is no direct measure of “regret choosing the private sector.” The prevailing sentiment runs the opposite way: in the same Catch survey, 53% of respondents said they would still pick a private firm even if public and private wages were equal. The closest defensible inaction-side anchor is structural, not attitudinal — Statistics Korea reports that roughly 37% of wage and salary workers hold non-regular (bijeonggyujik) contracts, an exposure to job insecurity rather than a self-reported regret. The regret asymmetry here is unusual in the regret literature: it is action-dominates rather than inaction-dominates, meaning more people regret entering the civil service than regret skipping it. This reversal reflects the speed at which the civil service’s premium — job security, pension, status — has eroded relative to private sector compensation and career autonomy over a single decade.

Both regret rates carry significant measurement caveats. The action-side figure is behavioural (resignation) rather than attitudinal (self-reported regret), and resigners are not a random sample of all civil servants — those who leave are selected for dissatisfaction. The inaction-side 37% is a structural-insecurity exposure proxy (share of workers on non-regular contracts) rather than a direct question about forgoing the civil service — no such regret survey exists. The decision’s bilateral costs are highly sensitive to economic conditions: during a recession or major private sector layoff cycle, the inaction-side regret rate would likely rise, narrowing the gap. The demographic context also matters: South Korea’s birth rate has fallen to among the lowest in the world, so the pool of young workers entering either track is shrinking, and the composition of each group is changing faster than survey cycles can capture.

Sources : action

Registre des sources

Chaque chiffre ci-dessous correspond à ce que la source a rapporté, avec la citation textuelle sur laquelle nous nous sommes appuyés et la méthode de calcul. Cliquez sur un lien pour vérifier directement.

  1. [1] Korea Herald / South Korea Ministry of Personnel Management — More young Koreans turn away from civil service due to workload, low pay (reporting Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook)
    More young Koreans turn away from civil service due to workload, low pay (reporting Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook)
    Statistique
    59.3% of general voluntary resignations from the central government in 2024 (12,013 people) came from employees with fewer than 5 years of service; resignations among 21-30-year-old civil servants rose from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024
    Extrait
    “"Data from 2024 shows that 12,013 civil servants with fewer than five years of service resigned voluntarily, representing 59.3 percent of all general voluntary resignations." "While slightly lower than the previous year's 65.1 percent, the proportion has remained at or near 60 percent since 2019." "According to the Public Officials Pension Service, resignations among workers aged 21 to 30 jumped from 2,441 in 2015 to 5,105 in 2024, more than doubling." ”
    Données source de
    2026-02-27
    Consulté le
    2026-07-11
    Calcul
    The 59.3% early-exit share (Ministry of Personnel Management statistical yearbook, 2024 data, as reported by the Korea Herald on 2026-02-27) is used as the action-side regret proxy. Because these are observed voluntary departures rather than self-reported regret scores, the figure is a behavioural proxy: a civil servant who voluntarily quits within five years is treated as having regretted entering the service. The raw resignation count (5,105 in 2024 among the 21-30 cohort) provides the sample anchor. We round 59.3% to 0.59 (59%). A prior draft cited 57.5% and 0.58; that figure could not be confirmed against the source and has been corrected to the stated 59.3%.
  2. [2] Korea Herald — From dream job to no-go: Civil servant jobs lose out
    From dream job to no-go: Civil servant jobs lose out
    Statistique
    Civil service exam applicants per seat fell to 22.8:1 in 2023, the lowest since 1992 and the seventh consecutive year of decline
    Extrait
    “"This year's competition for a government employee job with the lowest rank of 9 was 22.8-to-1, the lowest figure since 19.3-to-1 in 1992. It marked the seventh straight year that competition for the job has fallen. In 2011, competition peaked at 92 applicants per position. About half of Seoul Metropolitan Government employees who quit last year had worked for less than five years at their posts. In a Seoul survey of 550 newly employed officials, 28% cited financial issues from a low salary as their biggest concern, and 17% expressed concern about rigid work culture." ”
    Données source de
    2023-04-18
    Consulté le
    2026-05-14
    Calcul
    URL corrected 2026-05-14: the original URL (ud=20240101000100) resolved to an unrelated article about youth happiness and work hours. The correct Korea Herald article on the 22.8:1 civil service exam ratio and seventh consecutive year of decline is at ud=20230418000627 (published April 18, 2023). Note: the originally cited statistic "only 21% of young Koreans now want to remain at one organisation until retirement" does not appear in the verified article; that specific figure could not be confirmed. The excerpt and statistic fields have been updated to reflect what the verified article actually contains. The 22.8:1 ratio and seventh-year decline are confirmed. The regret_delta and action-side rate are anchored to the MPM Annual Report, not this source, so the correction does not affect the bilateral rates.

Sources : inaction

Registre des sources

Chaque chiffre ci-dessous correspond à ce que la source a rapporté, avec la citation textuelle sur laquelle nous nous sommes appuyés et la méthode de calcul. Cliquez sur un lien pour vérifier directement.

  1. [1] Korea Herald — Young job seekers prefer private sector: survey
    Young job seekers prefer private sector: survey
    Statistique
    In a Catch survey of 2,074 job seekers in their 20s or younger, 69% had no intention to take the civil service exam; even with equal wages, 53% said they would still work for a non-government company
    Extrait
    “"69 percent of the respondents saying that they have no intention to take the state civil service exam." "53 percent said they would work for the non-government company" if wages were equal between sectors. "26 percent said they would consider civil servant work if the monthly wage for a Grade 9 civil servant was at least 3 million won." ”
    Données source de
    2024-01-01
    Consulté le
    2026-06-30
    Calcul
    This source documents the inaction-side context directly: among young Korean job seekers, revealed preference runs strongly toward the private sector (69% will not sit the civil service exam; 53% would still choose a private firm at equal pay). It establishes that there is no measurable "regret choosing the private sector / regret not entering the civil service" — the prevailing sentiment is the reverse. Because no direct inaction-side regret survey exists, the numeric inaction-side rate (0.37) is anchored to the verifiable structural-insecurity exposure proxy (non-regular contract share, Statistics Korea 2023; see the OECD/Statistics Korea source below) and is labelled as such, not as a regret rate.
  2. [2] OECD — OECD Employment Rate Data: Korea
    OECD Employment Rate Data: Korea
    Statistique
    South Korea's youth (15-24) unemployment rate was approximately 5.4% in 2023; the share of non-regular workers among all wage and salary workers reached approximately 37% in 2023
    Extrait
    “[Figures from OECD and Statistics Korea data series, 2023] OECD records South Korea's youth (ages 15-24) unemployment rate at approximately 5.4% in 2023 (about 5.9% on the broader 15-29 basis). Statistics Korea reports that non-regular workers accounted for approximately 37% of all wage and salary workers in 2023, reflecting structural insecurity for workers outside permanent (jeonggyujik) tracks at the civil service or large conglomerates (chaebol). ”
    Données source de
    2023-01-01
    Consulté le
    2026-05-13
    Calcul
    The ~37% non-regular-worker share (Statistics Korea, 2023) is the inaction-side proxy: it is a structural job-insecurity EXPOSURE rate, not a self-reported regret rate. We use 0.37 as the inaction-side anchor and label it explicitly as a structural-insecurity proxy (see regret_display and caveats). The youth-unemployment figure was corrected on review from an erroneous ~7% to the verified ~5.4% (15-24 basis) for 2023; it is contextual only and does not enter the rate. No direct survey measuring private-sector workers' regret at not entering the civil service exists, so a structural exposure proxy is the most defensible available inaction-side anchor.

Réserves

Les 58 % du côté action sont un substitut comportemental (démission volontaire précoce) plutôt qu'une mesure de regret déclaré. Tous les fonctionnaires qui partent dans les cinq ans ne regrettent pas d'être entrés dans la fonction publique ; certains partent pour de meilleures opportunités dans le secteur privé plutôt que par insatisfaction. La forte baisse de la concurrence aux concours de la fonction publique (tombée à 22,8:1 en 2023, la plus basse depuis 1992) est en partie attribuable à la contraction démographique de la Corée du Sud (moins de jeunes au total) et à l'amélioration de la rémunération dans le secteur privé au sein des grandes entreprises technologiques et financières, et non uniquement à une insatisfaction croissante chez ceux qui sont déjà dans la fonction publique. Les 37 % du côté inaction ne sont PAS un taux de regret : aucune enquête ne mesure le regret des travailleurs du secteur privé de ne pas être entrés dans la fonction publique, et la préférence révélée va en réalité en sens inverse (dans une enquête Catch de 2024, 69 % des jeunes chercheurs d'emploi n'avaient aucune intention de passer le concours de la fonction publique et 53 % choisiraient encore une entreprise privée à salaire égal). Le chiffre de 0,37 est le substitut d'EXPOSITION à l'insécurité structurelle vérifiable — la part des salariés coréens en contrat non régulier (bijeonggyujik) (Statistics Korea, 2023) — utilisé uniquement parce qu'il constitue l'ancrage le plus défendable du côté inaction. Le calcul du regret dépend fortement de la cohorte et de l'époque : la fonction publique était une aspiration générationnellement dominante en Corée jusqu'au début des années 2000 ; le renversement vers une perception de handicap s'est produit en l'espace d'une seule décennie et peut se poursuivre ou s'inverser selon les conditions macroéconomiques et la réforme salariale gouvernementale.

Données brutes : /api/decisions.json

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