The Institute for Family Studies surveyed 1,518 US adults in 2021 and
found a clear asymmetry in fertility regret. 37% of all US adults
wish they had more children than they currently have, including both
parents who want additional children (24%) and childless adults who
want to start (13%). On the other side, only 14% of parents wish
they had fewer children. The desire for more consistently outweighs
the desire for fewer, roughly two-to-one.
This asymmetry aligns with Gilovich and Medvec’s prediction that
inaction regrets dominate over time. The gap between desired and actual
fertility has been a persistent structural feature of US demography for
decades, and IFS trend data shows it is widening: the share of Americans
who say the ideal family size is three or more children recently hit a
50-year high. People are not adjusting their preferences downward to
match their behavior — they continue to wish for more even as birth
rates fall.
The comparison is imperfect in several ways. “Wishing for more” is not
the same as regretting a specific past decision — it may reflect
wistfulness about circumstances (finances, partner, timing) rather than
decisional regret. The populations are also not cleanly symmetric: the
14% is measured among parents, while the 37% includes childless adults.
And the largest confound is involuntariness: many people who want more
children face fertility limitations, financial barriers, or partner
disagreement, making the “inaction” label somewhat misleading. They did
not choose fewer children — they ended up with fewer.
A complementary signal from the children themselves: a YouGov poll of
2,000 US adults (October 2023) found that 66% of adults who grew up
as only children wish they had had at least one sibling, against 34%
who were satisfied with the arrangement. The child’s sibling-wish rate
(66%) runs nearly double the parent’s wish-for-more rate (37%), a gap
that hints at a systematic blind spot: parents may underestimate how
much their child will want a sibling, while the child feels the absence
as an adult. These are different populations answering different
questions, not directly comparable rates, but the directional divergence
is worth registering.
Fontes: acção
Registro de evidências
Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.
1/2 fontes verificadas de forma independente palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada
[1]Institute for Family Studies / Stone — To Have Kids or Not: Which Decision Do Americans Regret More?↗ 1 other entry
Fonte de referência
14% of people with children agreed 'I wish I had had fewer children' (10% of all US adults)
Trecho
“"Just 14% of people with children agreed with the statement 'I wish I had had fewer children' (which equals 10% of all adults). The vast majority of people want to have children and more than a third wish they had more."
”
Dados da fonte de
2021-12-08
Acessado
2026-04-25
Cálculo
Data from the second wave of the US Adult Sexual Behaviors and Attitudes Study, fielded March 2021 (n=1,518). The 14% is among parents specifically. We use 0.14 as the regret_rate for the action side (having had too many).
[2]Pew Research Center — The Experiences of U.S. Adults Who Don't Have Children
Verificado
↗ 2 other entries
Fonte de referência
Among adults 50+ without children, 38% say there was a time they wanted children; broader context for fertility preference gaps
Trecho
“"Among adults ages 50 and older who don't have children, 38% say there was a time when they wanted to have children. About three-in-ten (32%) say they never wanted children."
”
Dados da fonte de
2024-07-25
Acessado
2026-04-25
Verificação
Trecho obtido novamente de forma independente e confirmado palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada durante nossa auditoria de fundamentação.
Cálculo
Pew data provides cross-validation for the IFS survey. The 38% who once wanted children among the childless represents a ceiling for wish-for-more regret. Used as contextual support, not as the primary figure.
Fontes: inacção
Registro de evidências
Cada número abaixo é o que cada fonte relatou, com a citação literal em que nos baseamos e como chegamos ao nosso valor. Clique em qualquer link para verificar diretamente.
1/2 fontes verificadas de forma independente palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada
[1]Institute for Family Studies / Stone — To Have Kids or Not: Which Decision Do Americans Regret More?
Verificado
↗ 1 other entry
Fonte de referência
37% of US adults wish they had more children than they currently have (including 24% who are parents and want more, plus 13% who are childless and want children)
Trecho
“"34% have children and are happy with the number they have ... Another third—the largest group—wish they had more (37%), whether currently parents or not."
”
Dados da fonte de
2021-12-08
Acessado
2026-04-25
Verificação
Trecho obtido novamente de forma independente e confirmado palavra por palavra em relação à fonte citada durante nossa auditoria de fundamentação.
Cálculo
The IFS source reports a single wish-for-more figure of 37%, combining parents who want more (24%) and childless adults who want children (13%, inferred as 37 minus 24). It is the largest fertility-preference group. We use 0.37 as the regret_rate for the inaction side.
[2]Institute for Family Studies — Americans' Desire for Large Families Hits 50-Year High↗ 1 other entry
Fonte de referência
The share of Americans who say the ideal family size is 3+ children rose to the highest level in 50 years, indicating a persistent gap between desired and actual fertility
Trecho
“"The share of Americans who say the ideal family size is three or more children has risen to the highest level in 50 years, widening the gap between desired and actual fertility."
”
Dados da fonte de
2023-06-28
Acessado
2026-04-25
Cálculo
Trend data showing that the desire-for-more gap is widening over time. Supports the 37% wish-for-more figure as durable rather than transient. The gap between desired and actual fertility is a structural feature of modern US demography.
Ressalvas
The "wish for fewer" and "wish for more" populations overlap imperfectly: the 14% is among current parents, while the 37% includes both parents who want more and childless adults who want children. Comparing a parent-only subset to an all-adults figure inflates the apparent asymmetry. The IFS survey used single-item agreement scales, not a validated regret instrument. "Wishing you had more" is not the same as regretting a specific decision — it may reflect wistfulness rather than decisional regret. Financial constraints, fertility limitations, and partner disagreement mean that not having more children is often involuntary, which complicates the action/inaction framing.
A complementary angle from the child's perspective: YouGov (October 2023, n=2,000 US adults, sample-matched from 2019 ACS) found that 66% of adults who grew up as only children wished they had had at least one sibling; only 34% were satisfied with being an only child. About 12% of US adults grew up as only children. The child-perspective sibling-wish rate (66%) runs substantially higher than the parent- perspective wish-for-more rate (37%), suggesting that the cost of stopping at one child is felt more acutely by the child than it is anticipated by the parent making the decision. This child-perspective data cannot be directly compared to the action/inaction parent regret rates — different populations, different question frames — but it provides relevant context for understanding who bears the regret asymmetry. Source: https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/47825-most-only-children-wish-they-had-at-least-one-sibling-us-poll
