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行動 vs. 不行動の後悔

子供が少ない方がよかったか多い方がよかったか

行動した場合

子どもを増やす(少なくすればよかったと思う)

14%

行動しなかった場合

子どもを増やさない(もっと欲しかったと思う)

37%

それぞれの選択を後で後悔した人の割合。バーと完全な記録は下に表示されます。


家族

最終確認 2026-04-25

証拠の質 4.38/5

8次元のレビュー評価。基準は 品質ルーブリック 。各次元は1〜5で評価。

D1 出典の検証
5/5
D2 出典の権威性と独立性
4/5
D3 後悔率の正確性
3/5
D4 出典の比較可能性
3/5
D5 ギロヴィッチ・パターン
5/5
D6 文章の質
5/5
D7 注意事項の完全性
5/5
D8 サンプルの質
5/5
平均 4.38/5
A row of small houses, some with lights on and some dark, stretching along a quiet street.

行動への後悔

子どもを増やす(少なくすればよかったと思う)

14%

親の14%が子供の数が少ない方がよかったと希望

子を持つ米国成人、全国代表

遡及的、固定期間なし

不作為への後悔

子どもを増やさない(もっと欲しかったと思う)

37%

米国成人の37%がもっと多くの子供を持てばよかったと希望

米国成人(親および非親)、全国代表

遡及的、固定期間なし

この選択を後悔した割合

inaction dominates — 不作為が優勢 — 多くは行動しなかったことを後悔しています。

関連する決断

意味的に類似する決断 — 同じ領域、異なるトレードオフ。

family

もう一人 vs. 止める

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が2.6倍高い

family

私立 vs 公立

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が3.2倍高い

family

専業 vs 共働き

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.3倍高い

family

子供を持つ

この選択を後悔した割合

均衡

ほぼ均衡

family

助ける vs. 自力で乗り越えさせる

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.2倍高い

family

育児休業を取る vs. スキップ

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が4.5倍高い

family

しつけ vs. 寛容

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が2.4倍高い

family

家族の食事

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が6.9倍高い

The Institute for Family Studies surveyed 1,518 US adults in 2021 and found a clear asymmetry in fertility regret. 37% of all US adults wish they had more children than they currently have, including both parents who want additional children (24%) and childless adults who want to start (13%). On the other side, only 14% of parents wish they had fewer children. The desire for more consistently outweighs the desire for fewer, roughly two-to-one.

This asymmetry aligns with Gilovich and Medvec’s prediction that inaction regrets dominate over time. The gap between desired and actual fertility has been a persistent structural feature of US demography for decades, and IFS trend data shows it is widening: the share of Americans who say the ideal family size is three or more children recently hit a 50-year high. People are not adjusting their preferences downward to match their behavior — they continue to wish for more even as birth rates fall.

The comparison is imperfect in several ways. “Wishing for more” is not the same as regretting a specific past decision — it may reflect wistfulness about circumstances (finances, partner, timing) rather than decisional regret. The populations are also not cleanly symmetric: the 14% is measured among parents, while the 37% includes childless adults. And the largest confound is involuntariness: many people who want more children face fertility limitations, financial barriers, or partner disagreement, making the “inaction” label somewhat misleading. They did not choose fewer children — they ended up with fewer.

A complementary signal from the children themselves: a YouGov poll of 2,000 US adults (October 2023) found that 66% of adults who grew up as only children wish they had had at least one sibling, against 34% who were satisfied with the arrangement. The child’s sibling-wish rate (66%) runs nearly double the parent’s wish-for-more rate (37%), a gap that hints at a systematic blind spot: parents may underestimate how much their child will want a sibling, while the child feels the absence as an adult. These are different populations answering different questions, not directly comparable rates, but the directional divergence is worth registering.

出典: 行動

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/2 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Institute for Family Studies / Stone — To Have Kids or Not: Which Decision Do Americans Regret More?
    To Have Kids or Not: Which Decision Do Americans Regret More?

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    14% of people with children agreed 'I wish I had had fewer children' (10% of all US adults)
    抜粋
    “"Just 14% of people with children agreed with the statement 'I wish I had had fewer children' (which equals 10% of all adults). The vast majority of people want to have children and more than a third wish they had more." ”
    出典データ
    2021-12-08
    アクセス日
    2026-04-25
    計算過程
    Data from the second wave of the US Adult Sexual Behaviors and Attitudes Study, fielded March 2021 (n=1,518). The 14% is among parents specifically. We use 0.14 as the regret_rate for the action side (having had too many).
  2. [2] Pew Research Center — The Experiences of U.S. Adults Who Don't Have Children 検証済み
    The Experiences of U.S. Adults Who Don't Have Children

    See all 3 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    Among adults 50+ without children, 38% say there was a time they wanted children; broader context for fertility preference gaps
    抜粋
    “"Among adults ages 50 and older who don't have children, 38% say there was a time when they wanted to have children. About three-in-ten (32%) say they never wanted children." ”
    出典データ
    2024-07-25
    アクセス日
    2026-04-25
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    Pew data provides cross-validation for the IFS survey. The 38% who once wanted children among the childless represents a ceiling for wish-for-more regret. Used as contextual support, not as the primary figure.

出典: 不作為

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/2 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Institute for Family Studies / Stone — To Have Kids or Not: Which Decision Do Americans Regret More? 検証済み
    To Have Kids or Not: Which Decision Do Americans Regret More?

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    37% of US adults wish they had more children than they currently have (including 24% who are parents and want more, plus 13% who are childless and want children)
    抜粋
    “"34% have children and are happy with the number they have ... Another third—the largest group—wish they had more (37%), whether currently parents or not." ”
    出典データ
    2021-12-08
    アクセス日
    2026-04-25
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    The IFS source reports a single wish-for-more figure of 37%, combining parents who want more (24%) and childless adults who want children (13%, inferred as 37 minus 24). It is the largest fertility-preference group. We use 0.37 as the regret_rate for the inaction side.
  2. [2] Institute for Family Studies — Americans' Desire for Large Families Hits 50-Year High
    Americans' Desire for Large Families Hits 50-Year High

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    The share of Americans who say the ideal family size is 3+ children rose to the highest level in 50 years, indicating a persistent gap between desired and actual fertility
    抜粋
    “"The share of Americans who say the ideal family size is three or more children has risen to the highest level in 50 years, widening the gap between desired and actual fertility." ”
    出典データ
    2023-06-28
    アクセス日
    2026-04-25
    計算過程
    Trend data showing that the desire-for-more gap is widening over time. Supports the 37% wish-for-more figure as durable rather than transient. The gap between desired and actual fertility is a structural feature of modern US demography.

注意事項

The "wish for fewer" and "wish for more" populations overlap imperfectly: the 14% is among current parents, while the 37% includes both parents who want more and childless adults who want children. Comparing a parent-only subset to an all-adults figure inflates the apparent asymmetry. The IFS survey used single-item agreement scales, not a validated regret instrument. "Wishing you had more" is not the same as regretting a specific decision — it may reflect wistfulness rather than decisional regret. Financial constraints, fertility limitations, and partner disagreement mean that not having more children is often involuntary, which complicates the action/inaction framing. A complementary angle from the child's perspective: YouGov (October 2023, n=2,000 US adults, sample-matched from 2019 ACS) found that 66% of adults who grew up as only children wished they had had at least one sibling; only 34% were satisfied with being an only child. About 12% of US adults grew up as only children. The child-perspective sibling-wish rate (66%) runs substantially higher than the parent- perspective wish-for-more rate (37%), suggesting that the cost of stopping at one child is felt more acutely by the child than it is anticipated by the parent making the decision. This child-perspective data cannot be directly compared to the action/inaction parent regret rates — different populations, different question frames — but it provides relevant context for understanding who bears the regret asymmetry. Source: https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/47825-most-only-children-wish-they-had-at-least-one-sibling-us-poll

生データ: /api/decisions.json

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