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行動 vs. 不行動の後悔

早期退職するかより長く働くか

行動した場合

早期退職する

20%

行動しなかった場合

長く働き続ける

5.0%

それぞれの選択を後で後悔した人の割合。バーと完全な記録は下に表示されます。


キャリア

最終確認 2026-04-26

証拠の質 4.5/5

8次元のレビュー評価。基準は 品質ルーブリック 。各次元は1〜5で評価。

D1 出典の検証
5/5
D2 出典の権威性と独立性
5/5
D3 後悔率の正確性
3/5
D4 出典の比較可能性
5/5
D5 ギロヴィッチ・パターン
5/5
D6 文章の質
5/5
D7 注意事項の完全性
4/5
D8 サンプルの質
4/5
平均 4.5/5
Two clocks side by side, one showing an early hour with a calm landscape, the other showing a late hour with an office silhouette.
代替データ — この決断に関する直接的な後悔調査は存在しません。比率は後悔を直接尋ねる質問ではなく、満足度スコアとアクセス障壁のデータから導出されています。以下の注意事項を参照してください。

行動への後悔

早期退職する

20%

早期退職者の20%が決定を後悔

米国の自己報告退職米国人

遡及的、退職後5年以上

不作為への後悔

長く働き続ける

5.0%

6%が長く働きすぎたことを後悔

米国の自己報告退職米国人

遡及的、退職後5年以上

この選択を後悔した割合

action dominates — 行動が優勢 — 多くは行動したことを後悔しています。

関連する決断

意味的に類似する決断 — 同じ領域、異なるトレードオフ。

career

転職

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.5倍高い

career

起業

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が5.5倍高い

career

中年再訓練 vs 留まる

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が2.4倍高い

family

専業 vs 共働き

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.3倍高い

金融直接

老後貯蓄の時期

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が11.0倍高い

career

フリーランス vs 会社員

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.3倍高い

career

退職

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が2.2倍高い

career

給与交渉

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.2倍高い

20% of early retirees regret their decision to stop working, according to a MedicareFAQ survey of 569 retired Americans (“74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision”). The mirror side — regret about working too long — is much rarer, but no US survey measures it directly, so this pair is proxy- graded: a UK Which? survey (May 2025, n=1,188) found roughly 5% felt they had retired too late, “half as many” as the ~10% who felt they had stopped work too early. Even at that rough level, action (retiring early) generates more regret than inaction (continuing to work), reversing the typical Gilovich pattern. The reason on the action side is almost entirely financial — 86% of the MedicareFAQ respondents wished they had saved more, and 75% of early retirees in a separate Manulife study said they regretted not saving enough.

Hurwitz and Mitchell (NBER Working Paper 30696, 2022) sharpen the direction of retirement-timing regret with a controlled experiment of 1,764 Americans aged 50 and older. In their sample, 37% regretted not working longer and 57% regretted not saving more — both point the same way as the MedicareFAQ finding: the dominant timing regret is retiring too early, not too late. (This 37% is NBER’s figure; the MedicareFAQ article itself does not report a “worked longer” number.) Börsch-Supan et al. (2023) reinforce the underlying cause: 58.5% of those aged 60-79 wished they had saved more. Working longer is often a proxy for the saving people failed to do, which is why “I should have worked longer” and “I should have saved more” track together.

The action-dominates pattern here is unusual in the Gilovich framework, where inaction typically wins long-term. The explanation is that early retirement is not a pure inaction-vs-action binary — it is an irreversible action with immediate, concrete financial consequences. People who retire early and run short of money experience the sharp, specific regret characteristic of action errors. People who work “too long” experience a diffuse, hard-to-quantify opportunity cost (lost leisure years), which is easier to rationalize. The low working-too-long rate may also reflect survivorship bias: those who worked until health failed may not be surveyed.

出典: 行動

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/3 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] MedicareFAQ — Retirement Regrets Statistics: Advice for the Next Generation
    Retirement Regrets Statistics: Advice for the Next Generation
    統計値
    74% were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision
    抜粋
    “"Among survey respondents, 74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision. The majority (86%) wish they would have saved more before retiring, and 60% say they did not start investing in their retirement funds early enough." ”
    出典データ
    2024-02-19
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    MedicareFAQ surveyed 569 retired Americans (online, self-selected) in January 2024. Sample: 65% female, 35% male, ages 27-90 (average 65), average retirement age 58. The archived article (Wayback snapshot 2024-11-14) states verbatim: "74% say they were able to retire early, but of those who did, 20% regret that decision" — this grounds the 20% action rate. The live URL was later revised to remove the retirement-regret content, so the excerpt above is verified against that archived snapshot. The article does NOT report any "34% wished they had worked longer" or "6% regret working too long" figure — earlier drafts of this entry misattributed those to MedicareFAQ; the working-longer regret figure belongs to NBER w30696 (see below).
  2. [2] National Bureau of Economic Research / Hurwitz & Mitchell — Financial Regret at Older Ages and Longevity Awareness
    Financial Regret at Older Ages and Longevity Awareness

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    37% of respondents aged 50+ regretted not working longer; 57% regretted not saving more
    抜粋
    “"57% regretted not saving more for retirement, 40% regretted not purchasing Long-Term Care insurance, 37% regretted not working longer, 33% regretted not buying lifetime income payments, 23% regretted delaying Social Security benefit claims, and 10% expressed regret about financial dependence on others." ”
    出典データ
    2022-11-01
    アクセス日
    2026-04-26
    計算過程
    Hurwitz & Mitchell, NBER Working Paper 30696 (2022, revised 2023; published in Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2025). Controlled randomized experiment of 1,764 respondents aged 50+. The full list of stated regret rates — 57% not saving more, 40% not buying LTC insurance, 37% not working longer, 33% not buying lifetime income, 23% delaying Social Security, 10% financial dependence — was verified via Knowledge@Wharton's summary of the paper. This is the sole cited source for the "wished they had worked longer" dimension; it is a regret about NOT working longer (i.e. retiring too early), which supports the action-side (early-retirement) regret, not the inaction side.
  3. [3] Manulife John Hancock Retirement (11th Financial Resilience and Longevity Report) — Manulife John Hancock Releases New Retirement Report with Insights on Preparing for a Better 40-Year Retirement Journey 検証済み
    Manulife John Hancock Releases New Retirement Report with Insights on Preparing for a Better 40-Year Retirement Journey
    統計値
    75% of retirees who retired earlier than expected said they regretted not saving more for retirement
    抜粋
    “"75% of those retiring earlier than expected reported that they regretted not saving more for retirement." ”
    出典データ
    2025-11-18
    アクセス日
    2026-07-04
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    Manulife John Hancock Retirement's 11th annual Financial Resilience and Longevity Report, fielded May 9-June 2, 2025 among 2,534 retirement-plan participants plus a 512-person American-retiree panel via Angus Reid, commissioned research conducted by Edelman Public Relations Worldwide Canada Inc. Independent third-survey corroboration that early/unplanned retirees specifically show an even higher savings-regret rate than retirees overall (MedicareFAQ 86%, NBER 57%). Grounds the body-text "separate Manulife study" claim.

出典: 不作為

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

  1. [1] Which? — The 4 biggest retirement regrets and how to avoid them
    The 4 biggest retirement regrets and how to avoid them
    統計値
    Around 1 in 10 felt they stopped work too early; half as many (~5%) felt they had retired too late
    抜粋
    “"Around one in 10 people in our survey told us they felt they stopped work too early, while half as many said they felt they had retired too late." ”
    出典データ
    2025-05-01
    アクセス日
    2026-07-12
    計算過程
    Which? surveyed 1,188 retired and semi-retired UK members in May 2025. "Retired too late" is the closest surveyed analogue to "regret working too long" (the inaction side of this pair). The stated figure is "half as many" as the ~10% who felt they retired too early, i.e. ~5%. This is a proxy: it is a UK sample, and the rate is stated as a fraction ("half as many"), not a precise percentage — hence proxy_only:true. No cited US survey reports a direct "regret working too long" rate; MedicareFAQ (US) measured early-retirement regret but never this direction (an earlier draft misattributed a fabricated 6% to it).
  2. [2] PMC / Börsch-Supan et al. — Saving Regret and Procrastination
    Saving Regret and Procrastination

    See all 3 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    58.5% of the population aged 60 to 79 wished they had saved more
    抜粋
    “"58.5 percent of the population aged 60 to 79 wished they had saved more." ”
    出典データ
    2023-02-15
    アクセス日
    2026-04-25
    計算過程
    Börsch-Supan, Bucher-Koenen, Hurd & Rohwedder, "Saving Regret and Procrastination." Peer-reviewed study measuring SAVING regret only (58.5% of ages 60-79 wished they had saved more). It does NOT report a retirement-timing / working-too-long regret rate; it is cited here to establish that the dominant retirement regret is financial (undersaving), which contextualises why the timing-of- retirement inaction rate is low and why the pair is proxy-graded.

注意事項

This pair is proxy-graded. The two sides come from different surveys and even different countries, so the 20-vs-5 gap is directional, not a like-for-like measurement. The action rate (20% of early retirees regret it) is from MedicareFAQ, a self-selected online US survey that skews older and female with an average retirement age of 58 (below the US median), over-representing early retirees; that 20% likely reflects financial unpreparedness more than a genuine preference for continued employment — 86% of the same respondents wished they had saved more, and involuntary early retirees (health problems, layoffs) are conflated with voluntary ones. No cited US survey directly measures "regret working too long," so the inaction side uses a UK proxy: Which? (May 2025, n=1,188) found "half as many" as the ~10% who felt they retired too early said they retired too late — roughly 5%. That number is a fraction ("half as many"), not a precise percentage, and a UK sample; it should be read as "regret about working too long is uncommon," bounded around 5%, not a US-calibrated point estimate. The low working-too-long rate may also be suppressed by survivorship bias: people who worked until they were physically unable may not be well enough to participate in surveys. Regret rates in countries with different retirement systems — 401(k) structures, Social Security rules, pension norms, or healthcare entitlements — may differ substantially.

生データ: /api/decisions.json

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