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行動 vs. 不行動の後悔

LASIK眼科手術を受けるか、眼鏡やコンタクトレンズを使い続けるか

行動した場合

LASIKを受ける

4.0%

行動しなかった場合

眼鏡やコンタクトレンズを使い続ける

25%

それぞれの選択を後で後悔した人の割合。バーと完全な記録は下に表示されます。


健康

最終確認 2026-05-10

証拠の質 4.13/5

8次元のレビュー評価。基準は 品質ルーブリック 。各次元は1〜5で評価。

D1 出典の検証
4/5
D2 出典の権威性と独立性
5/5
D3 後悔率の正確性
2/5
D4 出典の比較可能性
3/5
D5 ギロヴィッチ・パターン
5/5
D6 文章の質
5/5
D7 注意事項の完全性
5/5
D8 サンプルの質
4/5
平均 4.13/5
Two pairs of eyes side by side, one framed by glasses, the other without any correction.
代替データ — この決断に関する直接的な後悔調査は存在しません。比率は後悔を直接尋ねる質問ではなく、満足度スコアとアクセス障壁のデータから導出されています。以下の注意事項を参照してください。

行動への後悔

LASIKを受ける

4.0%

1〜4%が視力または手術に不満(PROWL研究)

LASIK患者、FDA共同前向き観察研究

施術後6か月

不作為への後悔

眼鏡やコンタクトレンズを使い続ける

25%

直接の後悔調査なし——プロキシ:矯正レンズ使用者の40%が「いずれ」LASIKを検討すると答えている(将来に向けた意図であり、測定された後悔ではない)

矯正レンズを使用する米国成人、ギャラップ調査

横断的、2000年

この選択を後悔した割合

inaction dominates — 不作為が優勢 — 多くは行動しなかったことを後悔しています。

関連する決断

意味的に類似する決断 — 同じ領域、異なるトレードオフ。

健康

植毛手術

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が5.0倍高い

lifestyle

タトゥー

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.6倍高い

健康

ボディピアス

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が4.0倍高い

健康

運動習慣

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が13.4倍高い

lifestyle

菜食主義

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が3.8倍高い

lifestyle

先延ばし

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が4.7倍高い

健康

卵管結紮術

この選択を後悔した割合

行動が優勢

行動の後悔が1.4倍高い

健康

長寿追求 vs 老化受容

この選択を後悔した割合

不作為が優勢

不作為の後悔が1.5倍高い

The FDA-supported LASIK Quality of Life Collaboration Project (PROWL studies, n=574) found that dissatisfaction with vision after LASIK ranged from 1% to 4% across two prospective cohorts; dissatisfaction with the surgery itself was 1—2%. These are the highest-quality outcome data available, conducted under joint FDA/NIH/DoD oversight. A smaller cohort study (n=200) found 98.5% satisfied or very satisfied. Self-selected patient review data from RealSelf (446 reviews, 2007—2022) placed the “not worth it” rate at 12.6% — substantially higher, consistent with the well-documented negativity bias in voluntary online reviews. The 4% PROWL upper bound is used as the action regret estimate; 12.6% is a plausible ceiling.

On the inaction side, no published survey directly asks glasses or contact lens wearers whether they regret not having LASIK. The closest proxy is a Gallup survey (n=1,050, 2000) finding that 40% of corrective-lens wearers would consider laser eye surgery at some point — with roughly 11% expressing intent within the next year or two. A longitudinal comparison study (n=1,800 over 3 years) found that contact lens wearer strong satisfaction declined from 63% at baseline to 54% by year 3, while 88% of former contact wearers who switched to LASIK remained strongly satisfied at year 3. We use 25% as a conservative inaction proxy, adjusting down from the 40% consideration rate to reflect the gap between consideration intent and genuine retrospective regret.

The pattern is consistent with Gilovich and Medvec’s inaction-dominates finding: the people who never got LASIK — whether due to cost, fear of complications, or inertia — sustain a persistent open counterfactual, while those who proceeded overwhelmingly report the outcome as positive. The main reason the action rate stays low is rigorous candidate screening: patients with thin corneas, severe dry eye, or high prescriptions outside the safe treatment range are excluded. The failures — chronic dry eye, corneal ectasia, halos and glare — are real but relatively uncommon among properly screened candidates, and they account for most of the action regret in the data. The inaction side has no such natural screening; any corrective-lens wearer who “always meant to get it” qualifies.

出典: 行動

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

2/3 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] JAMA Ophthalmology — Symptoms and Satisfaction of Patients in the Patient-Reported Outcomes With Laser In Situ Keratomileusis (PROWL) Studies 検証済み
    Symptoms and Satisfaction of Patients in the Patient-Reported Outcomes With Laser In Situ Keratomileusis (PROWL) Studies
    統計値
    Dissatisfaction with vision 1–4%; dissatisfaction with surgery 1–2%; most participants satisfied
    抜粋
    “"While most participants were satisfied, the rates of dissatisfaction with vision ranged from 1% (95% CI, 0%-4%) to 4% (95% CI, 2%-7%), and the rates of dissatisfaction with surgery ranged from 1% (95% CI, 0%-4%) to 2% (95% CI, 1%-5%)." ”
    出典データ
    2017-01-19
    アクセス日
    2026-05-10
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    PROWL-1 (n=262, military, single center) and PROWL-2 (n=312, civilians, 5 centers) -- prospective observational studies September 2011 to June 2014, conducted under FDA/NIH/DoD collaboration (the LASIK Quality of Life Collaboration Project). Dissatisfaction with vision in PROWL-2 reached 4% (95% CI 2--7%). We use 4% as the action-side regret rate, taking the upper end of the PROWL range as the more conservative public-health estimate. The PROWL studies are the gold-standard FDA-supported dataset; they do not use the word "regret" but measure dissatisfaction with both outcome and procedure -- the closest available proxy.
  2. [2] Journal of Ophthalmology (PMC) — Functional Outcome and Patient Satisfaction after Laser In Situ Keratomileusis for Correction of Myopia and Myopic Astigmatism 検証済み
    Functional Outcome and Patient Satisfaction after Laser In Situ Keratomileusis for Correction of Myopia and Myopic Astigmatism

    See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

    統計値
    98.5% of patients satisfied or very satisfied; 98.5% considered main goal achieved; n=200
    抜粋
    “"A total of 98.5% of patients was satisfied or very satisfied with their surgery. 98.5% considered their main goal for surgery was achieved. 97.5% would advise friends to do the LASIK treatment." ”
    出典データ
    2015-01-19
    アクセス日
    2026-05-10
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    Prospective cohort study, n=200 LASIK patients for myopia and myopic astigmatism. The 1.5% dissatisfied rate corroborates the PROWL floor. Used as secondary corroboration. The 4% figure from PROWL-2 is preferred as the action-rate anchor because PROWL used a broader multi-center design and FDA oversight.
  3. [3] Ophthalmology and Therapy (Dove Press / PMC) — Patient-Reported LASIK Outcomes on RealSelf: a Social Media Review Platform
    Patient-Reported LASIK Outcomes on RealSelf: a Social Media Review Platform
    統計値
    78.0% rated LASIK 'worth it', 12.6% 'not worth it', 9.4% 'not sure' among 446 reviews (2007-2022)
    抜粋
    “"Of 446 reviews with explicit satisfaction ratings, 78.0% (348 reviews) rated LASIK as 'worth it', 12.6% (56 reviews) as 'not worth it', and 9.4% (42 reviews) as 'not sure'." ”
    出典データ
    2025-06-01
    アクセス日
    2026-05-10
    計算過程
    Retrospective analysis of 523 LASIK reviews posted to RealSelf 2007--2022. The 12.6% "not worth it" rate substantially exceeds the PROWL clinical dissatisfaction figures, consistent with self-selection: people who had negative outcomes are more motivated to post public reviews than those who are satisfied. Not used as the primary rate; included to acknowledge the ceiling of dissatisfaction in self-selected patient-reported data. The PROWL 4% is preferred as the primary action rate because it comes from a prospectively enrolled, FDA-supervised cohort with mandatory follow-up.
    独立性
    RealSelf is a patient review platform with financial relationships with cosmetic procedure providers. The study analyzed reviews rather than enrolling patients; severe self-selection bias applies.

出典: 不作為

根拠台帳

以下の各数値は各出典が報告した内容であり、引用した原文の抜粋と算出方法を記載しています。リンクをクリックして直接確認できます。

1/2 件の出典が引用元と一字一句一致することを独立して検証済み

  1. [1] Gallup — Forty Percent of Americans Who Use Glasses Would Consider Laser Eye Surgery 検証済み
    Forty Percent of Americans Who Use Glasses Would Consider Laser Eye Surgery
    統計値
    40% of US glasses/contacts wearers would consider laser eye surgery; ~10-11% said within the next 1-2 years
    抜粋
    “"Over four out of ten Americans who wear glasses or contacts would consider having laser eye surgery to correct their vision problems at some point in the future. About 10 percent of current glasses or contact wearers are considering it within the next year or two." ”
    出典データ
    2000-02-15
    アクセス日
    2026-05-10
    検証
    グラウンディング監査の際、抜粋を引用元から独立して再取得し、原文と一字一句一致することを確認しました。
    計算過程
    Gallup survey of 1,050 US adults, February 14--15, 2000. The verified finding is that "over four out of ten Americans who wear glasses or contacts would consider having laser eye surgery ... at some point in the future," with about 10-11% considering it within the next year or two. This is a FORWARD-LOOKING ASPIRATION (would-consider intent), not a retrospective measure of regret about not having had LASIK -- the Gallup poll does not ask any regret question. No published survey directly asks corrective-lens wearers whether they regret not having LASIK; that direct-regret figure does not exist. The 0.25 stored on this side is therefore an aspiration-derived PLACEHOLDER, decoupled from any claim of measured inaction-regret: it is a conservative downward adjustment from the 40% "would consider" intent figure, kept only because the schema requires a numeric rate on each side. The regret_display states this explicitly. This survey is from 2000 and predates modern wavefront/topography-guided LASIK, so current intent among glasses/contacts wearers may differ.
  2. [2] Ophthalmology — Three-Year Longitudinal Survey Comparing Visual Satisfaction with LASIK and Contact Lenses
    Three-Year Longitudinal Survey Comparing Visual Satisfaction with LASIK and Contact Lenses
    統計値
    Contact lens wearer strong satisfaction declined from 63% to 54% over 3 years; 88% of former contact wearers who switched to LASIK strongly satisfied at year 3
    抜粋
    “"[Paraphrase from abstract -- full text paywalled] The proportion of contact lens control participants expressing strong satisfaction with their correction method decreased from 63% at baseline to 54% at year 3. Among former contact lens wearers who received LASIK, 88% were strongly satisfied at year 3." ”
    出典データ
    2016-07-01
    アクセス日
    2026-05-10
    計算過程
    Multicenter prospective longitudinal study, n=1,800 across 20 US sites (3 groups: continued contacts, switched from contacts to LASIK, switched from glasses to LASIK). The declining satisfaction trend in the contact lens group (63% to 54%) compared to the high retained satisfaction in the LASIK group (88% at 3 years) supports the directional inference that non-surgery carries a latent dissatisfaction cost over time. This is not a regret measure -- it is a comparative satisfaction trajectory -- but it corroborates the inaction-proxy estimate.

注意事項

The action and inaction measures are methodologically mismatched. The 4% action-regret figure is drawn from the PROWL studies (FDA-supervised, n=574, prospectively enrolled), which measure dissatisfaction at 6 months -- not direct regret. Long-term outcomes (corneal ectasia, progressive dry eye, regression requiring re-treatment) may shift the action rate upward over longer follow-up; PROWL did not follow patients beyond 6 months for satisfaction measures. The RealSelf self-selected review data (12.6% "not worth it") provides a real-world upper bound but is subject to substantial negativity bias. The inaction rate (25%) is a proxy constructed from a Gallup consideration survey (2000, n=1,050) and a longitudinal satisfaction comparison study -- neither is a direct regret measure. The consideration intent (40%) is adjusted down to 25% to reflect the gap between "would consider" and "regrets not doing it." No published survey directly asks glasses or contact lens wearers whether they regret not having LASIK; absent such data, the inaction rate carries substantial uncertainty. The Gallup survey predates modern LASIK techniques (wavefront-guided, topography- guided) that have further improved outcomes -- current consideration rates among glasses/contacts wearers may differ. The inaction-dominates pattern is broadly consistent with the satisfaction literature (most who get LASIK are satisfied; many who don't continue to wear corrective lenses with declining satisfaction over time), but the 21-point estimated gap is approximate rather than empirically derived.

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