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1. [1] Federal Bureau of Investigation — FBI Releases 2024 Reported Crimes in the Nation Statistics ↗ 1 other entry Báo cáo chính phủ

   FBI Releases 2024 Reported Crimes in the Nation Statistics

   See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

   Thống kê

   779,542 total burglaries in 2024; rate of 229.2 per 100,000 residents; residential burglaries accounted for ~52% of the total

   Trích đoạn

   “"The FBI reported 779,542 burglary offenses in 2024, a rate of 229.2 per 100,000 inhabitants, down from 253.3 per 100,000 in 2023 — a 9.5% year-over-year decline." ”

   Dữ liệu nguồn từ

   2025-09-30

   Truy cập

   2026-04-22 · bản sao lưu trữ

   Tính toán

   779,542 total burglaries × 52% residential = ~405,776 residential burglaries. Divided by ~140 million US households = 2.9 per 1,000 households per year. Over 40 years: 1 - (1 - 0.0029)^40 = 0.109, or ~11% lifetime probability. The 2024 rate continues a long-term decline: the 2005 rate was 738.9 per 100,000, meaning burglary has fallen ~69% in rate over two decades.

2. [2] Bureau of Justice Statistics, U.S. Department of Justice — Victimization During Household Burglary Báo cáo chính phủ

   Victimization During Household Burglary

   Thống kê

   28% of burglaries occurred while a household member was present; 7% involved violence; 38% of entries were through unlocked doors/windows

   Trích đoạn

   “"A household member was present in roughly 28% of the 3.7 million average annual burglaries that occurred between 2003 and 2007. In about 7% of all household burglaries, a household member experienced some form of violent victimization. Simple assault (15%) was the most common form of violence when a resident was home." ”

   Dữ liệu nguồn từ

   2010-09-01

   Truy cập

   2026-04-22 · bản sao lưu trữ

   Tính toán

   BJS NCVS data (2003-2007 average): 3.7 million burglaries/year (including unreported). 28% occurred with someone home ("hot burglary") = ~1.04 million. Of those, 26% involved violence against a resident. 38% of all entries used no force (unlocked door/window). Of occupied burglaries, offenders entered through an unlocked (28%) or open (27%) door/window in 55% of cases. 65% of violent burglary offenders were known to the victim. These figures are from 2003-2007; current absolute numbers are lower due to the overall decline in burglary, but the proportional breakdowns (occupied vs unoccupied, forced vs unforced) are the most recent detailed data available.

3. [3] Bureau of Justice Statistics (Koppel, 1987) — Lifetime Likelihood of Victimization ↗ 1 other entry Báo cáo chính phủ

   Lifetime Likelihood of Victimization

   See all 2 Likelier entries citing this source →

   Thống kê

   72% lifetime probability of household burglary (based on 1975-1984 NCVS rates)

   Trích đoạn

   “"Based on 1975-84 annual victimization rates and life tables, the lifetime likelihood of being a victim of a personal theft or household burglary was estimated at 72% for burglary." ”

   Dữ liệu nguồn từ

   1987-03-01

   Truy cập

   2026-04-22 · bản sao lưu trữ

   Tính toán

   Koppel (1987) used 1975-1984 NCVS annual burglary rates (which ranged from ~60-80 per 1,000 households) and NCHS life tables. At those rates the 72% lifetime figure was mathematically sound. However, the NCVS burglary rate has fallen from ~63/1,000 (1994) to ~12/1,000 (2019) — a decline of over 80%. Recalculating with the 2024 FBI police-reported rate of 2.9/1,000 yields ~11% over 40 years. The 72% figure is included because it is still widely cited and shapes public perception, but it is no longer representative of current risk.