Kualitas bukti 4.75/5
Skor tinjauan delapan dimensi terhadap rubrik kualitas . Setiap dimensi dinilai 1–5.
- D1 Dasar sumber
- 5/5
- D2 Otoritas sumber
- 5/5
- D3 Aritmetika
- 5/5
- D4 Ketidakpastian
- 4/5
- D5 Cakupan
- 5/5
- D6 Prosa
- 5/5
- D7 Kejujuran persepsi
- 4/5
- D8 Kelengkapan peringatan
- 5/5
● faktor Anda — klik risiko ini ▾ untuk menampilkan
- Faktor Anda
≈ Sama mungkinnya dengan
Dipersepsikan
Pemadam kebakaran menempati tempat yang unik dalam imajinasi budaya Amerika sebagai pekerjaan berbahaya yang paling khas. Film, tugu peringatan, dan liputan berita semuanya memperkuat citra bahaya ekstrem. Kebanyakan orang awam — dan banyak pemadam kebakaran sendiri — secara substansial melebih-lebihkan komponen kematian traumatis dari risiko ini, membayangkan runtuhnya struktur yang dramatis dan kematian dalam kobaran api sebagai penyebab dominan. Pada kenyataannya, kejadian jantung secara konsisten menyumbang kira-kira 45-50 % dari semua kematian pemadam kebakaran dalam tugas, dan tingkat kematian karier untuk semua penyebab, meskipun benar-benar lebih tinggi daripada rata-rata pekerja AS, lebih rendah daripada yang diperkirakan kebanyakan orang. Tidak ada survei populasi ketat yang mengisolasi «risiko kematian seumur hidup yang dirasakan untuk pemadam kebakaran karier»; entri ini menggunakan intuisi editorial.
Perkiraan kasar: Kebanyakan orang kemungkinan menebak risiko LODD pemadam kebakaran karier di beberapa persen selama karier; angka semua-penyebab yang sebenarnya lebih dekat ke 0,2-0,3 %
Sumber: intuisi redaksi, bukan hasil survei
Aktual
~30 kematian dalam tugas pemadam kebakaran karier per tahun (rata-rata 2018-2023, semua penyebab)
pemadam kebakaran karier (dibayar) di Amerika Serikat
Tampilkan perhitungan
Subkelompok referensi: seorang pemadam kebakaran karier (dibayar, non-relawan) di Amerika Serikat yang menjalani karier penuh 30 tahun di departemen kota. Pembilang: Laporan tahunan NFPA «Fatal Firefighter Injuries in the United States» mendokumentasikan 30 kematian dalam tugas pemadam kebakaran karier pada 2023, 39 pada 2022, 33 pada 2018, dan 20 pada 2019 (titik terendah historis untuk dekade tersebut). Sepanjang periode 2018-2023 (tidak termasuk pelaporan era COVID 2020-2021 yang anomali, ketika kematian jantung dalam 24 jam setelah tugas dihitung secara berbeda), jumlah LODD karier tahunan rata-rata sekitar 30 kematian per tahun — semua penyebab, termasuk baik cedera traumatis maupun kejadian jantung mendadak. Laporan NFPA mencakup kematian yang terjadi selama pemadaman, respons kendaraan, pelatihan, keadaan darurat non-kebakaran, dan tugas stasiun non-darurat. Penyebut: «U.S. Fire Department Profile» dari NFPA (data 2020, diterbitkan 2022) melaporkan sekitar 370.000 pemadam kebakaran karier secara nasional. Statistik Ketenagakerjaan dan Upah menurut Pekerjaan (OES) dari BLS untuk Mei 2022 menghitung 321.450 pemadam kebakaran yang dibayar, ukuran yang agak lebih sempit (tidak termasuk beberapa jenjang pengawas yang dihitung oleh NFPA). Entri ini menggunakan 370.000 sebagai penyebut, konsisten dengan penyebut NFPA sendiri untuk perhitungan tingkat kematian. Tingkat tahunan: 30 / 370.000 = 8,1 per 100.000 per tahun. Risiko karier 30 tahun: 1 − (1 − 0,000081)^30 ≈ 0,0024 (0,24 %), kira-kira 1 dari 415. Cakupan dinyatakan sebagai activity_specific_lifetime karena ini adalah risiko yang terakumulasi sepanjang karier untuk pekerjaan tertentu, bukan angka seumur hidup populasi umum. Ini tidak langsung sebanding dengan risiko seumur hidup tingkat populasi yang ditampilkan untuk entri Likelier lainnya. Subset khusus-traumatis (runtuhan lokasi kebakaran, kecelakaan kendaraan, tertimpa): Pemadam kebakaran karier meninggal akibat kejadian jantung dalam proporsi yang lebih tinggi daripada relawan (studi perawatan luka bakar oleh Witkiewitz dkk., 2018, menemukan relawan memiliki OR 1,8 untuk kematian trauma dibandingkan karier). Kejadian jantung menyumbang kira-kira 45-50 % dari semua kematian LODD (PMC3710100). Tidak termasuk jantung, kematian LODD karier khusus-traumatis rata-rata sekitar 15-17 per tahun. Pada 16/370.000 ≈ 4,3 per 100.000/tahun, risiko karier 30 tahun khusus-traumatis sekitar 0,13 % (1 dari 750). Angka semua-penyebab digunakan sebagai angka utama karena kerangka «Fatal Firefighter Injuries» dari NFPA sendiri mencakup kematian traumatis maupun jantung dalam tugas sebagai bahaya kerja yang sama-sama dapat dilaporkan. Perbandingan: tingkat kematian kerja pekerja rata-rata AS (BLS CFOI) sekitar 3,4-3,5 per 100.000 pekerja FTE per tahun. Pemadam kebakaran karier pada ~8 per 100.000/tahun sekitar 2,3× rata-rata semua pekerja — lebih tinggi tetapi jauh di bawah ~25/100.000 untuk pekerja perikanan dan ~20/100.000 untuk pekerja penebangan kayu (pekerjaan sipil paling berbahaya menurut tingkat kematian BLS).
Catatan: Angka LODD semua-penyebab mencakup baik cedera traumatis (runtuhnya struktur, ke…
Angka LODD semua-penyebab mencakup baik cedera traumatis (runtuhnya struktur, kecelakaan kendaraan, tertimpa) maupun kejadian jantung mendadak yang terjadi dalam tugas atau dalam 24 jam setelah tugas. Kejadian jantung mewakili sekitar 45-50 % dari LODD pemadam kebakaran karier. Risiko karier 30 tahun khusus-traumatis lebih rendah, sekitar 0,13 % (1 dari 750). Tahun data 2020-2021 dikecualikan dari rata-rata tingkat karena NFPA mengubah pelaporan kematian jantung untuk menangkap kejadian dalam 24 jam setelah tugas alih-alih hanya selama tugas, yang menggelembungkan total tersebut (141 kematian pada 2021 vs 65 pada 2019). Pemadam kebakaran relawan (sekitar 70 % dari semua pemadam kebakaran AS) dikecualikan — mereka memiliki profil paparan yang berbeda dan umumnya tingkat kematian traumatis per pemadam kebakaran yang lebih tinggi daripada pemadam kebakaran karier (OR 1,8 menurut literatur peer-review). Kematian terkait kanker di antara pemadam kebakaran tidak dihitung dalam statistik LODD dan merupakan bahaya kerja tersendiri yang substansial — pemadam kebakaran memiliki insidensi kanker sekitar 9 % lebih besar dan mortalitas kanker 14 % lebih tinggi daripada populasi umum, dan kanker akibat kerja kini disebut sebagai penyebab utama keseluruhan kematian pemadam kebakaran ketika paparan dalam-tugas, luar-tugas, dan karier digabungkan.
Risiko terkait
Risiko lain dengan tema serupa — untuk menjelajahi ketakutan terkait.
Kematian tugas polisi
Berapa peluang seorang polisi AS meninggal dalam tugas sepanjang karier?
Kematian tugas petugas gawat darurat
Berapa peluang seorang EMT atau paramedis meninggal dalam tugas sepanjang karier?
Kematian karier pertambangan
Berapa peluang meninggal saat bekerja sebagai penambang sepanjang karier penuh?
Kematian senjata tak disengaja
Berapa kemungkinan meninggal akibat penembakan senjata api yang tidak disengaja?
Pilih penantang
Career firefighting is genuinely more dangerous than the average American job — but the dominant cause of on-duty death is not the dramatic structural collapse or inferno that cultural imagery suggests. Across the past four decades, roughly 45 to 50 percent of all firefighter line-of-duty deaths (LODDs) in the United States have been sudden cardiac events, most triggered by the extreme physiological stress of suppression activity. For career (paid) firefighters specifically, the National Fire Protection Association recorded 30 career LODDs in 2023 and 39 in 2022. Averaged across the 2018 to 2023 period against a population of approximately 370,000 career firefighters nationally, the annual death rate works out to roughly 8 per 100,000 — about 2.3 times the all-worker occupational fatality rate of 3.4 per 100,000. Over a 30-year career, the cumulative all-cause LODD probability is approximately 0.24 percent, or roughly 1 in 415. For the traumatic subset only (structural entrapment, vehicle crashes, burns, collapse), the 30-year career risk is approximately 0.13 percent, or 1 in 750.
What the statistics reveal about the perception gap is instructive. The public image of firefighting danger focuses overwhelmingly on traumatic deaths at structure fires, but these represent only about a third of annual LODDs. Cardiac deaths during suppression activity carry an implausibly high relative risk — a 2013 review in Extreme Physiology & Medicine found that the risk of sudden cardiac death during active fire suppression is 10 to 100 times the baseline risk during non-emergency duties, despite suppression accounting for only 1 to 5 percent of annual working time. The practical implication is that the primary modifiable risk factor for career firefighter LODD is cardiovascular fitness, not the structural or tactical conditions of the fireground. An estimated 56 percent of active firefighters do not meet the aerobic fitness standard recommended by the IAFF/IAFC Wellness-Fitness Initiative. Departments with mandatory fitness programs and annual medical evaluations consistently show lower cardiac fatality rates than those without.
The career LODD risk also varies substantially by role, department size, and assignment. Career firefighters in interior suppression roles at busy urban engine companies face a higher exposure profile than those in command, investigation, or prevention assignments. Rural career firefighters face elevated vehicle-crash risk — en-route and returning-from responses account for a meaningful fraction of traumatic LODDs, and rural roads have worse emergency-response crash profiles than urban ones. At the same time, the career LODD rate has declined substantially over decades: the 1990 to 2009 period averaged 47.4 deaths per million firefighters per year, while 2010 to 2016 averaged 35 per million, a statistically significant reduction driven largely by falling traumatic-death rates. Cardiac death rates have remained roughly flat over the same interval — suggesting that training, equipment, and incident command improvements have reduced structural hazards, while the cardiovascular risk driven by physiological stress has not responded to the same interventions.
Fakta terkait
Sekitar 1 in 450 selama karier 30 tahun bagi pemadam kebakaran profesional AS, semua sebab. Citra budaya terpaku pada keruntuhan struktur, tetapi kejadian jantung mendadak menyumbang sekitar 45 sampai 50 persen kematian saat bertugas, menjadikan kebugaran faktor yang paling bisa diubah.
Buku besar klaim
Setiap angka di bawah ini adalah apa yang dilaporkan masing-masing sumber, dengan kutipan kata demi kata yang kami andalkan dan bagaimana kami sampai pada angka kami. Klik tautan mana saja untuk memverifikasi langsung.
2/4 sumber diverifikasi secara independen kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip
-
[1] National Fire Protection Association (Richard Campbell, lead author) — Firefighter Fatalities in the United States — Annual NFPA Report Series Terverifikasi
Firefighter Fatalities in the United States — Annual NFPA Report Series- Statistik
89 on-duty firefighter fatalities in 2023, of which 30 were career firefighters; 62 fatalities in 2024, of which 26 were career firefighters; 97 total in 2022 of which 39 were career; cardiac events account for approximately 45–50% of all LODD deaths historically- Kutipan
“"Reductions in the number of fatalities among career firefighters accounted for most of the overall decline, with a 23% drop from 39 deaths in 2022 to 30 in 2023." "The largest share of deaths (32) occurred while firefighters were operating at fires or explosions, representing 36 percent of the total number of fatalities." ”
- Data sumber dari
- 2024-07-01
- Diakses
- 2026-05-10 · salinan arsip
- Verifikasi
- Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
- Perhitungan
- NFPA annual report series documents on-duty deaths for all US firefighters by employment type (career, volunteer, wildland, military). Career deaths by year from reports: 2023 = 30, 2022 = 39, 2021 elevated due to COVID-era counting, 2019 = 20, 2018 = 33. Six-year (2018–2023) average ≈ 30/year for career firefighters. Rate: 30 / 370,000 (NFPA career firefighter population) = 8.1 per 100,000/year. 30-year career risk: 1 − (1 − 8.1×10⁻⁵)^30 = 0.0024 ≈ 1 in 415.
- Independensi
- NFPA collects fatality data independently from USFA/FEMA through its own survey of fire departments. Both the NFPA and USFA series draw on the same underlying incident reports but compile them through separate channels, providing corroboration.
-
[2] U.S. Fire Administration / FEMA — Annual Report on Firefighter Fatalities in the United States — USFA/FEMA
Annual Report on Firefighter Fatalities in the United States — USFA/FEMA- Statistik
82 firefighter line-of-duty deaths in 2018, of which 33 were career firefighters; USFA tracks all on-duty deaths through the National Firefighter Registry and publishes annual reports- Kutipan
“"33 career [firefighter fatalities] (5 rural, 28 urban/suburban)" in 2018. "82 firefighters died in the line of duty last year, five fewer than the 87 who died in 2017." ”
- Data sumber dari
- 2019-10-01
- Diakses
- 2026-05-10 · salinan arsip
- Perhitungan
- USFA reports confirm the NFPA career-firefighter death counts. 2018 career total = 33, consistent with the 2018–2023 average of approximately 30 career deaths per year used in the native rate calculation. USFA data is the primary government accountability source for the numerator; NFPA's denominator (370,000 career firefighters from Fire Department Profile surveys) is used for rate computation.
- Independensi
- USFA/FEMA is the primary US government tracking authority for firefighter LODDs, operating independently of NFPA. USFA data flows through the National Firefighter Registry, which receives incident reports from fire departments and coroners. NFPA conducts a parallel survey. The two series have historically agreed within 5–10 deaths per year on total LODD counts, providing strong mutual corroboration.
-
[3] Extreme Physiology & Medicine / Smith DL, Barr DA, Kales SN (2013) — Extreme sacrifice: sudden cardiac death in the US Fire Service Terverifikasi
Extreme sacrifice: sudden cardiac death in the US Fire Service- Statistik
Sudden cardiac death accounts for approximately 45–50% of all line-of-duty firefighter fatalities over the past 40 years; fire suppression activity accounts for over 30% of line-of-duty cardiac deaths despite representing only 1–5% of annual working time; risk during fire suppression is 10–100× baseline non-emergency risk- Kutipan
“"SCEs are responsible for the leading cause of on-duty deaths over the past 40 years (≈45–50%)." "Although fire suppression duties were found to represent between 1% and 5% of a firefighter's annual working time, fire suppression activity accounted for more than 30% of line-of-duty CHD deaths." ”
- Data sumber dari
- 2013-07-01
- Diakses
- 2026-05-10 · salinan arsip
- Verifikasi
- Kutipan diambil ulang secara independen dan dikonfirmasi kata demi kata terhadap sumber terkutip selama audit pendasaran kami.
- Perhitungan
- Used to establish the cardiac vs traumatic split in career LODD deaths. If ~47% of the 30-per-year career LODD average are cardiac, traumatic-only career deaths ≈ 16/year. Traumatic-only 30-year career risk ≈ 1 − (1 − 16/370000)^30 ≈ 0.0013 (0.13%, about 1 in 750). This is the lower end of the uncertainty band. The all-cause rate (0.24%) anchors the headline; the traumatic-only rate anchors the uncertainty low bound.
- Independensi
- Peer-reviewed medical literature independent of NFPA and USFA administrative data series. Provides the physiological and epidemiological basis for the cardiac/traumatic death split and activity-specific risk magnitudes.
-
[4] Journal of Burn Care & Research / Kahn SA, Leonard C, Siordia C (2019) — Firefighter Fatalities: Crude Mortality Rates and Risk Factors for Line of Duty Injury and Death
Firefighter Fatalities: Crude Mortality Rates and Risk Factors for Line of Duty Injury and Death- Statistik
Analysis of 3,159 firefighter line-of-duty deaths found crude mortality declined from 47.4 to 35 deaths per million comparing 1990-2009 vs 2010-2016 (P<.0001); firefighters aged ≤45 declined from 24.7 to 13.7 per million (P=.0002); trauma-related deaths fell from 13.1 to 8.1 per million while cardiovascular-related deaths stayed roughly flat at approximately 19.4-19.5 per million across both periods- Kutipan
“"Analysis of 3159 FFDs revealed a decline in crude-rate mortality between 1990-2009 and 2010-2016 (47.4 vs 35 FF deaths per million, P < .0001)." ”
- Data sumber dari
- 2019-02-20
- Diakses
- 2026-07-03 · salinan arsip
- Perhitungan
- Corroborates the multi-decade decline referenced in the body prose: the overall crude LODD rate fell by roughly a quarter across the two periods, but the decline is concentrated in trauma-cause deaths (13.1 to 8.1 per million) while cardiac-cause deaths stayed essentially flat (~19.4-19.5 per million). This supports the entry's claim that training/equipment/command improvements have reduced structural hazards while the cardiovascular risk driver has not responded to the same interventions. Not used for the headline native/normalized figures, which remain anchored to the NFPA 2018-2023 career-firefighter series above.
- Independensi
- Peer-reviewed re-analysis of USFA's own published fatality reports (the authors extracted records from USFA's annual PDF booklets rather than an independently collected dataset), so it does not add a separate data source. Its value here is methodological: multinomial regression and multi-decade period grouping (1990-2009 vs 2010-2016) not found in the NFPA/USFA administrative annual reports or in the PMC3710100 cardiac-specific review; used here only for the long-run trauma-vs-cardiac trend comparison.







